{
  "competition": "fantasy_premier_league",
  "gameweek": 1,
  "article": "captains",
  "title": "Best captain picks — Gameweek 1",
  "generated_at": "2026-08-04T11:00:46.508788+00:00",
  "sims": 50000,
  "methodology": "Player scoring rates (goals, assists, defensive contributions) come from each player's own FPL data, not betting markets; match outcomes (de-vigged market odds, or a team-strength rating when a fixture isn't priced) drive 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "entries": [
    {
      "name": "B.Fernandes",
      "team": "MUN",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 7.42,
      "captain_ev": 14.84,
      "ceiling": 16.82,
      "price": 12.0,
      "ownership_pct": 48.7,
      "value": 0.618,
      "bonus": 2.25,
      "defcon": 0.2,
      "p_defcon": 0.099,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T11:30:00+00:00",
      "rank": 1,
      "kickoff_order": 57
    },
    {
      "name": "Haaland",
      "team": "MCI",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 6.15,
      "captain_ev": 12.31,
      "ceiling": 14.67,
      "price": 15.5,
      "ownership_pct": 75.2,
      "value": 0.397,
      "bonus": 1.72,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T13:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 2,
      "kickoff_order": 337
    },
    {
      "name": "Thiago",
      "team": "BRE",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 5.62,
      "captain_ev": 11.24,
      "ceiling": 13.73,
      "price": 8.0,
      "ownership_pct": 16.0,
      "value": 0.703,
      "bonus": 1.26,
      "defcon": 0.02,
      "p_defcon": 0.011,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T16:30:00+00:00",
      "rank": 3,
      "kickoff_order": 275
    },
    {
      "name": "Watkins",
      "team": "AVL",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 5.2,
      "captain_ev": 10.39,
      "ceiling": 13.67,
      "price": 8.0,
      "ownership_pct": 12.2,
      "value": 0.65,
      "bonus": 1.32,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T13:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 4,
      "kickoff_order": 338
    },
    {
      "name": "Ndiaye",
      "team": "EVE",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 5.04,
      "captain_ev": 10.07,
      "ceiling": 14.9,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 20.0,
      "value": 0.839,
      "bonus": 0.85,
      "defcon": 0.26,
      "p_defcon": 0.129,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 5,
      "kickoff_order": 119
    },
    {
      "name": "E.Le Fée",
      "team": "SUN",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 4.95,
      "captain_ev": 9.91,
      "ceiling": 13.36,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 9.9,
      "value": 0.826,
      "bonus": 1.15,
      "defcon": 0.36,
      "p_defcon": 0.18,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 6,
      "kickoff_order": 120
    },
    {
      "name": "Gibbs-White",
      "team": "NFO",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 4.92,
      "captain_ev": 9.84,
      "ceiling": 13.71,
      "price": 8.0,
      "ownership_pct": 12.3,
      "value": 0.615,
      "bonus": 0.88,
      "defcon": 0.01,
      "p_defcon": 0.007,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 7,
      "kickoff_order": 121
    },
    {
      "name": "Saka",
      "team": "ARS",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 4.89,
      "captain_ev": 9.78,
      "ceiling": 15.64,
      "price": 9.5,
      "ownership_pct": 10.7,
      "value": 0.515,
      "bonus": 1.53,
      "defcon": 0.08,
      "p_defcon": 0.039,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-21T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 8,
      "kickoff_order": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "Senesi",
      "team": "TOT",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.45,
      "captain_ev": 8.89,
      "ceiling": 10.68,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 11.3,
      "value": 0.741,
      "bonus": 0.25,
      "defcon": 1.17,
      "p_defcon": 0.587,
      "cs_points": 0.93,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T16:30:00+00:00",
      "rank": 9,
      "kickoff_order": 276
    },
    {
      "name": "Virgil",
      "team": "LIV",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.37,
      "captain_ev": 8.74,
      "ceiling": 10.86,
      "price": 6.5,
      "ownership_pct": 15.8,
      "value": 0.672,
      "bonus": 0.27,
      "defcon": 0.75,
      "p_defcon": 0.373,
      "cs_points": 1.11,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T15:30:00+00:00",
      "rank": 10,
      "kickoff_order": 452
    },
    {
      "name": "Tarkowski",
      "team": "EVE",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.31,
      "captain_ev": 8.63,
      "ceiling": 10.71,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 9.9,
      "value": 0.719,
      "bonus": 0.32,
      "defcon": 0.91,
      "p_defcon": 0.456,
      "cs_points": 1.01,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 11,
      "kickoff_order": 122
    },
    {
      "name": "Rice",
      "team": "ARS",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 4.25,
      "captain_ev": 8.5,
      "ceiling": 10.24,
      "price": 7.5,
      "ownership_pct": 21.9,
      "value": 0.567,
      "bonus": 0.8,
      "defcon": 0.58,
      "p_defcon": 0.288,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-21T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 12,
      "kickoff_order": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "Szoboszlai",
      "team": "LIV",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 4.25,
      "captain_ev": 8.5,
      "ceiling": 11.59,
      "price": 7.0,
      "ownership_pct": 47.3,
      "value": 0.607,
      "bonus": 0.58,
      "defcon": 0.35,
      "p_defcon": 0.173,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T15:30:00+00:00",
      "rank": 13,
      "kickoff_order": 453
    },
    {
      "name": "Calvert-Lewin",
      "team": "LEE",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 4.12,
      "captain_ev": 8.24,
      "ceiling": 12.02,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 17.7,
      "value": 0.687,
      "bonus": 1.05,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 14,
      "kickoff_order": 123
    },
    {
      "name": "Gakpo",
      "team": "LIV",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 4.12,
      "captain_ev": 8.24,
      "ceiling": 12.79,
      "price": 7.0,
      "ownership_pct": 3.3,
      "value": 0.588,
      "bonus": 0.57,
      "defcon": 0.01,
      "p_defcon": 0.004,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T15:30:00+00:00",
      "rank": 15,
      "kickoff_order": 454
    },
    {
      "name": "Enzo",
      "team": "CHE",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 4.06,
      "captain_ev": 8.12,
      "ceiling": 11.85,
      "price": 7.0,
      "ownership_pct": 5.1,
      "value": 0.58,
      "bonus": 0.61,
      "defcon": 0.08,
      "p_defcon": 0.041,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-24T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 16,
      "kickoff_order": 511
    },
    {
      "name": "Mbeumo",
      "team": "MUN",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 4.06,
      "captain_ev": 8.11,
      "ceiling": 12.66,
      "price": 8.0,
      "ownership_pct": 13.6,
      "value": 0.507,
      "bonus": 0.74,
      "defcon": 0.01,
      "p_defcon": 0.003,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T11:30:00+00:00",
      "rank": 17,
      "kickoff_order": 58
    },
    {
      "name": "Gabriel",
      "team": "ARS",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.97,
      "captain_ev": 7.93,
      "ceiling": 11.12,
      "price": 8.0,
      "ownership_pct": 25.4,
      "value": 0.496,
      "bonus": 0.76,
      "defcon": 0.55,
      "p_defcon": 0.274,
      "cs_points": 1.05,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-21T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 18,
      "kickoff_order": 3
    },
    {
      "name": "N.Williams",
      "team": "NFO",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.95,
      "captain_ev": 7.9,
      "ceiling": 10.6,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 13.3,
      "value": 0.79,
      "bonus": 0.36,
      "defcon": 0.26,
      "p_defcon": 0.129,
      "cs_points": 1.02,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 19,
      "kickoff_order": 124
    },
    {
      "name": "Welbeck",
      "team": "BHA",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 3.86,
      "captain_ev": 7.73,
      "ceiling": 12.28,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 2.9,
      "value": 0.644,
      "bonus": 1.21,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.001,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T13:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 20,
      "kickoff_order": 339
    }
  ],
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)"
}