{
  "competition": "fantasy_premier_league",
  "gameweek": 1,
  "article": "defcon",
  "title": "DefCon leaders — Gameweek 1",
  "generated_at": "2026-08-04T11:00:46.508788+00:00",
  "sims": 50000,
  "methodology": "Player scoring rates (goals, assists, defensive contributions) come from each player's own FPL data, not betting markets; match outcomes (de-vigged market odds, or a team-strength rating when a fixture isn't priced) drive 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "entries": [
    {
      "name": "Anderson",
      "team": "MCI",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.65,
      "captain_ev": 7.29,
      "ceiling": 7.45,
      "price": 6.5,
      "ownership_pct": 12.0,
      "value": 0.561,
      "bonus": 0.11,
      "defcon": 1.2,
      "p_defcon": 0.602,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T13:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 1,
      "defcon_threshold": 12
    },
    {
      "name": "Senesi",
      "team": "TOT",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.45,
      "captain_ev": 8.89,
      "ceiling": 10.68,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 11.3,
      "value": 0.741,
      "bonus": 0.25,
      "defcon": 1.17,
      "p_defcon": 0.587,
      "cs_points": 0.93,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T16:30:00+00:00",
      "rank": 2,
      "defcon_threshold": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Lacroix",
      "team": "CRY",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.47,
      "captain_ev": 6.94,
      "ceiling": 9.02,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 11.8,
      "value": 0.578,
      "bonus": 0.15,
      "defcon": 0.96,
      "p_defcon": 0.481,
      "cs_points": 0.86,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 3,
      "defcon_threshold": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Tarkowski",
      "team": "EVE",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.31,
      "captain_ev": 8.63,
      "ceiling": 10.71,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 9.9,
      "value": 0.719,
      "bonus": 0.32,
      "defcon": 0.91,
      "p_defcon": 0.456,
      "cs_points": 1.01,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 4,
      "defcon_threshold": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "O'Shea",
      "team": "IPS",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.66,
      "captain_ev": 7.32,
      "ceiling": 9.39,
      "price": 4.0,
      "ownership_pct": 1.2,
      "value": 0.915,
      "bonus": 0.07,
      "defcon": 0.84,
      "p_defcon": 0.421,
      "cs_points": 0.91,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 5,
      "defcon_threshold": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Ampadu",
      "team": "LEE",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 2.92,
      "captain_ev": 5.84,
      "ceiling": 6.25,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 1.3,
      "value": 0.531,
      "bonus": 0.09,
      "defcon": 0.77,
      "p_defcon": 0.386,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 6,
      "defcon_threshold": 12
    },
    {
      "name": "Wieffer",
      "team": "BHA",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 2.71,
      "captain_ev": 5.42,
      "ceiling": 9.57,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 0.3,
      "value": 0.542,
      "bonus": 0.29,
      "defcon": 0.76,
      "p_defcon": 0.382,
      "cs_points": 0.55,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T13:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 7,
      "defcon_threshold": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Keane",
      "team": "EVE",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.13,
      "captain_ev": 6.26,
      "ceiling": 9.21,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 1.5,
      "value": 0.626,
      "bonus": 0.12,
      "defcon": 0.76,
      "p_defcon": 0.38,
      "cs_points": 0.79,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 8,
      "defcon_threshold": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Virgil",
      "team": "LIV",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.37,
      "captain_ev": 8.74,
      "ceiling": 10.86,
      "price": 6.5,
      "ownership_pct": 15.8,
      "value": 0.672,
      "bonus": 0.27,
      "defcon": 0.75,
      "p_defcon": 0.373,
      "cs_points": 1.11,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T15:30:00+00:00",
      "rank": 9,
      "defcon_threshold": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Alderete",
      "team": "SUN",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.22,
      "captain_ev": 6.44,
      "ceiling": 9.01,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 1.2,
      "value": 0.644,
      "bonus": 0.13,
      "defcon": 0.74,
      "p_defcon": 0.368,
      "cs_points": 0.83,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 10,
      "defcon_threshold": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Richards",
      "team": "CRY",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.02,
      "captain_ev": 6.04,
      "ceiling": 8.65,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 0.8,
      "value": 0.604,
      "bonus": 0.1,
      "defcon": 0.72,
      "p_defcon": 0.359,
      "cs_points": 0.76,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 11,
      "defcon_threshold": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Scott",
      "team": "BOU",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.14,
      "captain_ev": 6.29,
      "ceiling": 7.94,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 1.6,
      "value": 0.524,
      "bonus": 0.14,
      "defcon": 0.7,
      "p_defcon": 0.352,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T13:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 12,
      "defcon_threshold": 12
    },
    {
      "name": "Ballard",
      "team": "SUN",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 2.96,
      "captain_ev": 5.92,
      "ceiling": 10.15,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 2.9,
      "value": 0.592,
      "bonus": 0.28,
      "defcon": 0.7,
      "p_defcon": 0.352,
      "cs_points": 0.63,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 13,
      "defcon_threshold": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Collins",
      "team": "BRE",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.12,
      "captain_ev": 6.24,
      "ceiling": 8.6,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 2.0,
      "value": 0.567,
      "bonus": 0.11,
      "defcon": 0.7,
      "p_defcon": 0.348,
      "cs_points": 0.85,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T16:30:00+00:00",
      "rank": 14,
      "defcon_threshold": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Caicedo",
      "team": "CHE",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 2.58,
      "captain_ev": 5.15,
      "ceiling": 5.72,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 3.8,
      "value": 0.468,
      "bonus": 0.09,
      "defcon": 0.65,
      "p_defcon": 0.325,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-24T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 15,
      "defcon_threshold": 12
    },
    {
      "name": "Hill",
      "team": "BOU",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 2.07,
      "captain_ev": 4.15,
      "ceiling": 7.54,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 1.4,
      "value": 0.377,
      "bonus": 0.14,
      "defcon": 0.64,
      "p_defcon": 0.32,
      "cs_points": 0.44,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T13:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 16,
      "defcon_threshold": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Van Hecke",
      "team": "TOT",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.74,
      "captain_ev": 7.48,
      "ceiling": 10.21,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 8.2,
      "value": 0.748,
      "bonus": 0.25,
      "defcon": 0.62,
      "p_defcon": 0.309,
      "cs_points": 0.91,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T16:30:00+00:00",
      "rank": 17,
      "defcon_threshold": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Struijk",
      "team": "BHA",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 2.99,
      "captain_ev": 5.99,
      "ceiling": 8.33,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 0.5,
      "value": 0.599,
      "bonus": 0.05,
      "defcon": 0.6,
      "p_defcon": 0.302,
      "cs_points": 0.8,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T13:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 18,
      "defcon_threshold": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Xhaka",
      "team": "SUN",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.47,
      "captain_ev": 6.94,
      "ceiling": 8.67,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 6.3,
      "value": 0.631,
      "bonus": 0.68,
      "defcon": 0.59,
      "p_defcon": 0.296,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 19,
      "defcon_threshold": 12
    },
    {
      "name": "Gomes",
      "team": "AVL",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 2.14,
      "captain_ev": 4.27,
      "ceiling": 5.77,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 0.3,
      "value": 0.389,
      "bonus": 0.1,
      "defcon": 0.58,
      "p_defcon": 0.29,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T13:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 20,
      "defcon_threshold": 12
    }
  ],
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)"
}