{
  "competition": "fantasy_premier_league",
  "gameweek": 1,
  "article": "defenders",
  "title": "Best defenders & keepers — Gameweek 1",
  "generated_at": "2026-08-04T11:00:46.508788+00:00",
  "sims": 50000,
  "methodology": "Player scoring rates (goals, assists, defensive contributions) come from each player's own FPL data, not betting markets; match outcomes (de-vigged market odds, or a team-strength rating when a fixture isn't priced) drive 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "entries": [
    {
      "name": "Senesi",
      "team": "TOT",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.45,
      "captain_ev": 8.89,
      "ceiling": 10.68,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 11.3,
      "value": 0.741,
      "bonus": 0.25,
      "defcon": 1.17,
      "p_defcon": 0.587,
      "cs_points": 0.93,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T16:30:00+00:00",
      "rank": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "Virgil",
      "team": "LIV",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.37,
      "captain_ev": 8.74,
      "ceiling": 10.86,
      "price": 6.5,
      "ownership_pct": 15.8,
      "value": 0.672,
      "bonus": 0.27,
      "defcon": 0.75,
      "p_defcon": 0.373,
      "cs_points": 1.11,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T15:30:00+00:00",
      "rank": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "Tarkowski",
      "team": "EVE",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.31,
      "captain_ev": 8.63,
      "ceiling": 10.71,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 9.9,
      "value": 0.719,
      "bonus": 0.32,
      "defcon": 0.91,
      "p_defcon": 0.456,
      "cs_points": 1.01,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 3
    },
    {
      "name": "Gabriel",
      "team": "ARS",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.97,
      "captain_ev": 7.93,
      "ceiling": 11.12,
      "price": 8.0,
      "ownership_pct": 25.4,
      "value": 0.496,
      "bonus": 0.76,
      "defcon": 0.55,
      "p_defcon": 0.274,
      "cs_points": 1.05,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-21T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 4
    },
    {
      "name": "N.Williams",
      "team": "NFO",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.95,
      "captain_ev": 7.9,
      "ceiling": 10.6,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 13.3,
      "value": 0.79,
      "bonus": 0.36,
      "defcon": 0.26,
      "p_defcon": 0.129,
      "cs_points": 1.02,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 5
    },
    {
      "name": "Van Hecke",
      "team": "TOT",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.74,
      "captain_ev": 7.48,
      "ceiling": 10.21,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 8.2,
      "value": 0.748,
      "bonus": 0.25,
      "defcon": 0.62,
      "p_defcon": 0.309,
      "cs_points": 0.91,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T16:30:00+00:00",
      "rank": 6
    },
    {
      "name": "Raya",
      "team": "ARS",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.68,
      "captain_ev": 7.36,
      "ceiling": 8.07,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 30.2,
      "value": 0.613,
      "bonus": 0.39,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 1.29,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-21T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 7
    },
    {
      "name": "O'Shea",
      "team": "IPS",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.66,
      "captain_ev": 7.32,
      "ceiling": 9.39,
      "price": 4.0,
      "ownership_pct": 1.2,
      "value": 0.915,
      "bonus": 0.07,
      "defcon": 0.84,
      "p_defcon": 0.421,
      "cs_points": 0.91,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 8
    },
    {
      "name": "Guéhi",
      "team": "MCI",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.64,
      "captain_ev": 7.27,
      "ceiling": 9.59,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 24.5,
      "value": 0.606,
      "bonus": 0.24,
      "defcon": 0.42,
      "p_defcon": 0.21,
      "cs_points": 1.13,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T13:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 9
    },
    {
      "name": "Mukiele",
      "team": "SUN",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.58,
      "captain_ev": 7.17,
      "ceiling": 10.39,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 7.9,
      "value": 0.651,
      "bonus": 0.42,
      "defcon": 0.5,
      "p_defcon": 0.252,
      "cs_points": 0.84,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Lacroix",
      "team": "CRY",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.47,
      "captain_ev": 6.94,
      "ceiling": 9.02,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 11.8,
      "value": 0.578,
      "bonus": 0.15,
      "defcon": 0.96,
      "p_defcon": 0.481,
      "cs_points": 0.86,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 11
    },
    {
      "name": "Pickford",
      "team": "EVE",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.42,
      "captain_ev": 6.84,
      "ceiling": 8.23,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 8.9,
      "value": 0.622,
      "bonus": 0.32,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 1.04,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 12
    },
    {
      "name": "Kelleher",
      "team": "BRE",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.37,
      "captain_ev": 6.73,
      "ceiling": 8.5,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 5.5,
      "value": 0.673,
      "bonus": 0.4,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 0.99,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T16:30:00+00:00",
      "rank": 13
    },
    {
      "name": "Roefs",
      "team": "SUN",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.34,
      "captain_ev": 6.69,
      "ceiling": 8.56,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 5.7,
      "value": 0.669,
      "bonus": 0.62,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 0.91,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "Thiaw",
      "team": "NEW",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.33,
      "captain_ev": 6.66,
      "ceiling": 9.76,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 2.4,
      "value": 0.666,
      "bonus": 0.12,
      "defcon": 0.56,
      "p_defcon": 0.282,
      "cs_points": 0.76,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T15:30:00+00:00",
      "rank": 15
    },
    {
      "name": "Alderete",
      "team": "SUN",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.22,
      "captain_ev": 6.44,
      "ceiling": 9.01,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 1.2,
      "value": 0.644,
      "bonus": 0.13,
      "defcon": 0.74,
      "p_defcon": 0.368,
      "cs_points": 0.83,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 16
    },
    {
      "name": "Verbruggen",
      "team": "BHA",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.22,
      "captain_ev": 6.45,
      "ceiling": 8.05,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 16.8,
      "value": 0.716,
      "bonus": 0.3,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 0.92,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T13:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 17
    },
    {
      "name": "Dean Henderson",
      "team": "CRY",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.19,
      "captain_ev": 6.38,
      "ceiling": 8.19,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 3.1,
      "value": 0.638,
      "bonus": 0.33,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 0.91,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 18
    },
    {
      "name": "Milenković",
      "team": "NFO",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.15,
      "captain_ev": 6.3,
      "ceiling": 7.55,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 2.2,
      "value": 0.573,
      "bonus": 0.03,
      "defcon": 0.52,
      "p_defcon": 0.258,
      "cs_points": 1.05,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 19
    },
    {
      "name": "Keane",
      "team": "EVE",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.13,
      "captain_ev": 6.26,
      "ceiling": 9.21,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 1.5,
      "value": 0.626,
      "bonus": 0.12,
      "defcon": 0.76,
      "p_defcon": 0.38,
      "cs_points": 0.79,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 20
    }
  ],
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)"
}