{
  "competition": "fantasy_premier_league",
  "gameweek": 1,
  "article": "efficiency",
  "title": "Best value — points per million — Gameweek 1",
  "generated_at": "2026-08-04T11:00:46.508788+00:00",
  "sims": 50000,
  "methodology": "Player scoring rates (goals, assists, defensive contributions) come from each player's own FPL data, not betting markets; match outcomes (de-vigged market odds, or a team-strength rating when a fixture isn't priced) drive 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "entries": [
    {
      "name": "O'Shea",
      "team": "IPS",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.66,
      "captain_ev": 7.32,
      "ceiling": 9.39,
      "price": 4.0,
      "ownership_pct": 1.2,
      "value": 0.915,
      "bonus": 0.07,
      "defcon": 0.84,
      "p_defcon": 0.421,
      "cs_points": 0.91,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 1,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Ndiaye",
      "team": "EVE",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 5.04,
      "captain_ev": 10.07,
      "ceiling": 14.9,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 20.0,
      "value": 0.839,
      "bonus": 0.85,
      "defcon": 0.26,
      "p_defcon": 0.129,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 2,
      "tier": "Mid"
    },
    {
      "name": "E.Le Fée",
      "team": "SUN",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 4.95,
      "captain_ev": 9.91,
      "ceiling": 13.36,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 9.9,
      "value": 0.826,
      "bonus": 1.15,
      "defcon": 0.36,
      "p_defcon": 0.18,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 3,
      "tier": "Mid"
    },
    {
      "name": "N.Williams",
      "team": "NFO",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.95,
      "captain_ev": 7.9,
      "ceiling": 10.6,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 13.3,
      "value": 0.79,
      "bonus": 0.36,
      "defcon": 0.26,
      "p_defcon": 0.129,
      "cs_points": 1.02,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 4,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Van Hecke",
      "team": "TOT",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.74,
      "captain_ev": 7.48,
      "ceiling": 10.21,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 8.2,
      "value": 0.748,
      "bonus": 0.25,
      "defcon": 0.62,
      "p_defcon": 0.309,
      "cs_points": 0.91,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T16:30:00+00:00",
      "rank": 5,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Senesi",
      "team": "TOT",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.45,
      "captain_ev": 8.89,
      "ceiling": 10.68,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 11.3,
      "value": 0.741,
      "bonus": 0.25,
      "defcon": 1.17,
      "p_defcon": 0.587,
      "cs_points": 0.93,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T16:30:00+00:00",
      "rank": 6,
      "tier": "Mid"
    },
    {
      "name": "Tarkowski",
      "team": "EVE",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.31,
      "captain_ev": 8.63,
      "ceiling": 10.71,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 9.9,
      "value": 0.719,
      "bonus": 0.32,
      "defcon": 0.91,
      "p_defcon": 0.456,
      "cs_points": 1.01,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 7,
      "tier": "Mid"
    },
    {
      "name": "Verbruggen",
      "team": "BHA",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.22,
      "captain_ev": 6.45,
      "ceiling": 8.05,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 16.8,
      "value": 0.716,
      "bonus": 0.3,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 0.92,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T13:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 8,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Dubravka",
      "team": "TOT",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 2.85,
      "captain_ev": 5.69,
      "ceiling": 6.98,
      "price": 4.0,
      "ownership_pct": 24.8,
      "value": 0.711,
      "bonus": 0.12,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 0.88,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T16:30:00+00:00",
      "rank": 9,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Thiago",
      "team": "BRE",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 5.62,
      "captain_ev": 11.24,
      "ceiling": 13.73,
      "price": 8.0,
      "ownership_pct": 16.0,
      "value": 0.703,
      "bonus": 1.26,
      "defcon": 0.02,
      "p_defcon": 0.011,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T16:30:00+00:00",
      "rank": 10,
      "tier": "Mid"
    },
    {
      "name": "Leno",
      "team": "FUL",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.12,
      "captain_ev": 6.24,
      "ceiling": 7.95,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 3.2,
      "value": 0.694,
      "bonus": 0.27,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 0.87,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-24T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 11,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Hume",
      "team": "SUN",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.11,
      "captain_ev": 6.23,
      "ceiling": 9.03,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 1.4,
      "value": 0.692,
      "bonus": 0.13,
      "defcon": 0.13,
      "p_defcon": 0.066,
      "cs_points": 0.88,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 12,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Calvert-Lewin",
      "team": "LEE",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 4.12,
      "captain_ev": 8.24,
      "ceiling": 12.02,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 17.7,
      "value": 0.687,
      "bonus": 1.05,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 13,
      "tier": "Mid"
    },
    {
      "name": "Shaw",
      "team": "MUN",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.04,
      "captain_ev": 6.08,
      "ceiling": 7.09,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 23.3,
      "value": 0.676,
      "bonus": 0.05,
      "defcon": 0.16,
      "p_defcon": 0.078,
      "cs_points": 1.16,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T11:30:00+00:00",
      "rank": 14,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Kelleher",
      "team": "BRE",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.37,
      "captain_ev": 6.73,
      "ceiling": 8.5,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 5.5,
      "value": 0.673,
      "bonus": 0.4,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 0.99,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T16:30:00+00:00",
      "rank": 15,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Virgil",
      "team": "LIV",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.37,
      "captain_ev": 8.74,
      "ceiling": 10.86,
      "price": 6.5,
      "ownership_pct": 15.8,
      "value": 0.672,
      "bonus": 0.27,
      "defcon": 0.75,
      "p_defcon": 0.373,
      "cs_points": 1.11,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T15:30:00+00:00",
      "rank": 16,
      "tier": "Mid"
    },
    {
      "name": "Roefs",
      "team": "SUN",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.34,
      "captain_ev": 6.69,
      "ceiling": 8.56,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 5.7,
      "value": 0.669,
      "bonus": 0.62,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 0.91,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 17,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Thiaw",
      "team": "NEW",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.33,
      "captain_ev": 6.66,
      "ceiling": 9.76,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 2.4,
      "value": 0.666,
      "bonus": 0.12,
      "defcon": 0.56,
      "p_defcon": 0.282,
      "cs_points": 0.76,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-23T15:30:00+00:00",
      "rank": 18,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Kayode",
      "team": "BRE",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 2.95,
      "captain_ev": 5.9,
      "ceiling": 7.71,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 4.7,
      "value": 0.655,
      "bonus": 0.11,
      "defcon": 0.14,
      "p_defcon": 0.071,
      "cs_points": 0.98,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T16:30:00+00:00",
      "rank": 19,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Davis",
      "team": "IPS",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 2.62,
      "captain_ev": 5.24,
      "ceiling": 7.87,
      "price": 4.0,
      "ownership_pct": 4.1,
      "value": 0.655,
      "bonus": 0.07,
      "defcon": 0.04,
      "p_defcon": 0.022,
      "cs_points": 0.83,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-22T14:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 20,
      "tier": "Budget"
    }
  ],
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)"
}