{
  "competition": "fantasy_premier_league",
  "gameweek": 2,
  "article": "consensus-squad",
  "title": "The consensus XI — Gameweek 2",
  "generated_at": "2026-08-25T13:17:04.870089+00:00",
  "sims": 50000,
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "entries": [
    {
      "name": "Raya",
      "team": "ARS",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.95,
      "captain_ev": 7.9,
      "ceiling": 8.03,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 38.0,
      "value": 0.658,
      "bonus": 0.3,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 1.64,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-31T19:00:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.9736842105263158,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 1,
      "role": "XI",
      "is_captain": false,
      "is_vice": false,
      "bench_order": null
    },
    {
      "name": "Calafiori",
      "team": "ARS",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.15,
      "captain_ev": 8.29,
      "ceiling": 11.3,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 41.1,
      "value": 0.754,
      "bonus": 0.34,
      "defcon": 0.06,
      "p_defcon": 0.029,
      "cs_points": 1.41,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-31T19:00:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.5789473684210527,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 2,
      "role": "XI",
      "is_captain": false,
      "is_vice": false,
      "bench_order": null
    },
    {
      "name": "O'Reilly",
      "team": "MCI",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.71,
      "captain_ev": 7.41,
      "ceiling": 11.18,
      "price": 6.5,
      "ownership_pct": 21.2,
      "value": 0.57,
      "bonus": 0.29,
      "defcon": 0.11,
      "p_defcon": 0.054,
      "cs_points": 1.11,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-28T19:00:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.7631578947368421,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 3,
      "role": "XI",
      "is_captain": false,
      "is_vice": false,
      "bench_order": null
    },
    {
      "name": "Shaw",
      "team": "MUN",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.73,
      "captain_ev": 7.45,
      "ceiling": 7.66,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 20.3,
      "value": 0.828,
      "bonus": 0.04,
      "defcon": 0.16,
      "p_defcon": 0.079,
      "cs_points": 1.61,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-30T15:30:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 1.0,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 4,
      "role": "XI",
      "is_captain": false,
      "is_vice": false,
      "bench_order": null
    },
    {
      "name": "Szoboszlai",
      "team": "LIV",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 5.91,
      "captain_ev": 11.81,
      "ceiling": 15.25,
      "price": 7.0,
      "ownership_pct": 42.6,
      "value": 0.844,
      "bonus": 0.95,
      "defcon": 0.35,
      "p_defcon": 0.174,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-29T11:30:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.9473684210526315,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 5,
      "role": "XI",
      "is_captain": false,
      "is_vice": false,
      "bench_order": null
    },
    {
      "name": "Mbeumo",
      "team": "MUN",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 5.1,
      "captain_ev": 10.21,
      "ceiling": 14.75,
      "price": 8.0,
      "ownership_pct": 37.0,
      "value": 0.638,
      "bonus": 0.84,
      "defcon": 0.01,
      "p_defcon": 0.003,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-30T15:30:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.8157894736842105,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 6,
      "role": "XI",
      "is_captain": false,
      "is_vice": false,
      "bench_order": null
    },
    {
      "name": "Tzolis",
      "team": "ARS",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 2.4,
      "captain_ev": 4.81,
      "ceiling": 7.31,
      "price": 6.5,
      "ownership_pct": 25.7,
      "value": 0.37,
      "bonus": 0.03,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-31T19:00:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.25,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 7,
      "role": "XI",
      "is_captain": false,
      "is_vice": false,
      "bench_order": null
    },
    {
      "name": "Rogers",
      "team": "CHE",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 2.96,
      "captain_ev": 5.92,
      "ceiling": 8.3,
      "price": 7.5,
      "ownership_pct": 25.3,
      "value": 0.395,
      "bonus": 0.2,
      "defcon": 0.04,
      "p_defcon": 0.022,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-30T13:00:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.9736842105263158,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 8,
      "role": "XI",
      "is_captain": false,
      "is_vice": false,
      "bench_order": null
    },
    {
      "name": "Haaland",
      "team": "MCI",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 7.31,
      "captain_ev": 14.62,
      "ceiling": 16.35,
      "price": 15.5,
      "ownership_pct": 68.6,
      "value": 0.472,
      "bonus": 1.98,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-28T19:00:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.8947368421052632,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 9,
      "role": "XI",
      "is_captain": true,
      "is_vice": false,
      "bench_order": null
    },
    {
      "name": "João Pedro",
      "team": "CHE",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 3.43,
      "captain_ev": 6.86,
      "ceiling": 10.48,
      "price": 7.5,
      "ownership_pct": 65.6,
      "value": 0.457,
      "bonus": 0.86,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.002,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-30T13:00:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.8157894736842105,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 10,
      "role": "XI",
      "is_captain": false,
      "is_vice": true,
      "bench_order": null
    },
    {
      "name": "Calvert-Lewin",
      "team": "LEE",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 4.56,
      "captain_ev": 9.12,
      "ceiling": 12.88,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 29.8,
      "value": 0.76,
      "bonus": 0.91,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-30T13:00:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.7894736842105263,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 11,
      "role": "XI",
      "is_captain": false,
      "is_vice": false,
      "bench_order": null
    },
    {
      "name": "Kinsky",
      "team": "TOT",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 2.97,
      "captain_ev": 5.95,
      "ceiling": 6.79,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 23.3,
      "value": 0.661,
      "bonus": 0.08,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 0.98,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-29T16:30:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.18421052631578946,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 12,
      "role": "Bench",
      "is_captain": false,
      "is_vice": false,
      "bench_order": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "Guéhi",
      "team": "MCI",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.1,
      "captain_ev": 8.21,
      "ceiling": 10.39,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 18.4,
      "value": 0.684,
      "bonus": 0.27,
      "defcon": 0.42,
      "p_defcon": 0.209,
      "cs_points": 1.31,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-28T19:00:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.9210526315789473,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 13,
      "role": "Bench",
      "is_captain": false,
      "is_vice": false,
      "bench_order": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "Diop",
      "team": "IPS",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 2.1,
      "captain_ev": 4.21,
      "ceiling": 7.92,
      "price": 4.0,
      "ownership_pct": 17.7,
      "value": 0.526,
      "bonus": 0.11,
      "defcon": 0.23,
      "p_defcon": 0.115,
      "cs_points": 0.39,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-30T15:30:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.21052631578947367,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 14,
      "role": "Bench",
      "is_captain": false,
      "is_vice": false,
      "bench_order": 3
    },
    {
      "name": "Slater",
      "team": "HUL",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 2.98,
      "captain_ev": 5.96,
      "ceiling": 10.61,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 3.5,
      "value": 0.662,
      "bonus": 0.56,
      "defcon": 0.05,
      "p_defcon": 0.026,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-29T14:00:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.25,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 15,
      "role": "Bench",
      "is_captain": false,
      "is_vice": false,
      "bench_order": 4
    }
  ],
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)",
  "squad": {
    "team_name": "The Consensus XI",
    "strategy": "consensus",
    "formation": "3-4-3",
    "xi_xpoints": 47.21,
    "projected_total": 54.52,
    "captain": "Haaland",
    "vice": "João Pedro",
    "total_cost": 99.5,
    "free_transfers": 1,
    "chips_used": [
      "wildcard"
    ]
  }
}