{
  "competition": "fantasy_premier_league",
  "gameweek": 2,
  "article": "defenders",
  "title": "Best defenders & keepers — Gameweek 2",
  "generated_at": "2026-08-25T13:17:04.870089+00:00",
  "sims": 50000,
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "entries": [
    {
      "name": "Virgil",
      "team": "LIV",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 5.07,
      "captain_ev": 10.15,
      "ceiling": 11.79,
      "price": 6.5,
      "ownership_pct": 19.6,
      "value": 0.78,
      "bonus": 0.31,
      "defcon": 0.74,
      "p_defcon": 0.372,
      "cs_points": 1.5,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-29T11:30:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 1.0,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "Senesi",
      "team": "TOT",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.56,
      "captain_ev": 9.12,
      "ceiling": 11.55,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 8.0,
      "value": 0.76,
      "bonus": 0.33,
      "defcon": 1.07,
      "p_defcon": 0.536,
      "cs_points": 0.93,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-29T16:30:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.9736842105263158,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "Truffert",
      "team": "BOU",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.27,
      "captain_ev": 8.54,
      "ceiling": 10.43,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 4.3,
      "value": 0.777,
      "bonus": 0.38,
      "defcon": 0.46,
      "p_defcon": 0.228,
      "cs_points": 1.25,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-29T14:00:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 1.0,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 3
    },
    {
      "name": "Gabriel",
      "team": "ARS",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.26,
      "captain_ev": 8.52,
      "ceiling": 11.27,
      "price": 8.0,
      "ownership_pct": 29.4,
      "value": 0.532,
      "bonus": 0.73,
      "defcon": 0.55,
      "p_defcon": 0.273,
      "cs_points": 1.33,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-31T19:00:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.7894736842105263,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 4
    },
    {
      "name": "Calafiori",
      "team": "ARS",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.15,
      "captain_ev": 8.29,
      "ceiling": 11.3,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 41.1,
      "value": 0.754,
      "bonus": 0.34,
      "defcon": 0.06,
      "p_defcon": 0.029,
      "cs_points": 1.41,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-31T19:00:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.5789473684210527,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 5
    },
    {
      "name": "Van Hecke",
      "team": "TOT",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.13,
      "captain_ev": 8.26,
      "ceiling": 11.08,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 10.1,
      "value": 0.826,
      "bonus": 0.31,
      "defcon": 0.62,
      "p_defcon": 0.308,
      "cs_points": 0.97,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-29T16:30:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.9473684210526315,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 6
    },
    {
      "name": "Guéhi",
      "team": "MCI",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.1,
      "captain_ev": 8.21,
      "ceiling": 10.39,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 18.4,
      "value": 0.684,
      "bonus": 0.27,
      "defcon": 0.42,
      "p_defcon": 0.209,
      "cs_points": 1.31,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-28T19:00:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.9210526315789473,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 7
    },
    {
      "name": "Raya",
      "team": "ARS",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.95,
      "captain_ev": 7.9,
      "ceiling": 8.03,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 38.0,
      "value": 0.658,
      "bonus": 0.3,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 1.64,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-31T19:00:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.9736842105263158,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 8
    },
    {
      "name": "De Cuyper",
      "team": "BHA",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.9,
      "captain_ev": 7.8,
      "ceiling": 12.11,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 5.1,
      "value": 0.866,
      "bonus": 0.49,
      "defcon": 0.02,
      "p_defcon": 0.012,
      "cs_points": 0.64,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-30T13:00:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.4473684210526316,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 9
    },
    {
      "name": "Mosquera",
      "team": "ARS",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.83,
      "captain_ev": 7.65,
      "ceiling": 8.63,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 6.0,
      "value": 0.696,
      "bonus": 0.14,
      "defcon": 0.52,
      "p_defcon": 0.259,
      "cs_points": 1.52,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-31T19:00:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.23684210526315788,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Maguire",
      "team": "MUN",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.81,
      "captain_ev": 7.63,
      "ceiling": 9.38,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 17.6,
      "value": 0.763,
      "bonus": 0.24,
      "defcon": 0.42,
      "p_defcon": 0.21,
      "cs_points": 1.43,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-30T15:30:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.5,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 11
    },
    {
      "name": "Tarkowski",
      "team": "EVE",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.74,
      "captain_ev": 7.49,
      "ceiling": 9.9,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 8.9,
      "value": 0.624,
      "bonus": 0.25,
      "defcon": 0.92,
      "p_defcon": 0.458,
      "cs_points": 0.8,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-29T14:00:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.9736842105263158,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 12
    },
    {
      "name": "Mukiele",
      "team": "SUN",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.74,
      "captain_ev": 7.48,
      "ceiling": 10.42,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 2.7,
      "value": 0.68,
      "bonus": 0.34,
      "defcon": 0.5,
      "p_defcon": 0.252,
      "cs_points": 1.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-30T13:00:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.8421052631578947,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 13
    },
    {
      "name": "Shaw",
      "team": "MUN",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.73,
      "captain_ev": 7.45,
      "ceiling": 7.66,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 20.3,
      "value": 0.828,
      "bonus": 0.04,
      "defcon": 0.16,
      "p_defcon": 0.079,
      "cs_points": 1.61,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-30T15:30:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 1.0,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "O'Reilly",
      "team": "MCI",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.71,
      "captain_ev": 7.41,
      "ceiling": 11.18,
      "price": 6.5,
      "ownership_pct": 21.2,
      "value": 0.57,
      "bonus": 0.29,
      "defcon": 0.11,
      "p_defcon": 0.054,
      "cs_points": 1.11,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-28T19:00:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.7631578947368421,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 15
    },
    {
      "name": "Lacroix",
      "team": "CHE",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.66,
      "captain_ev": 7.31,
      "ceiling": 8.78,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 9.3,
      "value": 0.609,
      "bonus": 0.09,
      "defcon": 0.96,
      "p_defcon": 0.482,
      "cs_points": 1.06,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-30T13:00:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.9210526315789473,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 16
    },
    {
      "name": "Petrović",
      "team": "BOU",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.58,
      "captain_ev": 7.15,
      "ceiling": 8.06,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 3.3,
      "value": 0.795,
      "bonus": 0.29,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 1.25,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-29T14:00:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 1.0,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 17
    },
    {
      "name": "Andersen",
      "team": "FUL",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.56,
      "captain_ev": 7.11,
      "ceiling": 9.47,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 0.0,
      "value": 0.711,
      "bonus": 0.11,
      "defcon": 0.8,
      "p_defcon": 0.401,
      "cs_points": 0.9,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-30T13:00:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.868421052631579,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 18
    },
    {
      "name": "Roefs",
      "team": "SUN",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.45,
      "captain_ev": 6.89,
      "ceiling": 8.65,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 4.2,
      "value": 0.689,
      "bonus": 0.5,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 1.1,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-30T13:00:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.9210526315789473,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 19
    },
    {
      "name": "Thiaw",
      "team": "NEW",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.43,
      "captain_ev": 6.86,
      "ceiling": 10.38,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 1.7,
      "value": 0.686,
      "bonus": 0.16,
      "defcon": 0.57,
      "p_defcon": 0.283,
      "cs_points": 0.68,
      "kickoff": "2026-08-29T16:30:00+00:00",
      "start_prob": 0.868421052631579,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 20
    }
  ],
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)"
}