{
  "gameweek": 2,
  "generated_at": "2026-08-25T13:17:04.870089+00:00",
  "id": 11,
  "name": "Mosquera",
  "web_name": "Mosquera",
  "team": "ARS",
  "position": "DEF",
  "price": 5.5,
  "ownership_pct": 6.0,
  "status": "a",
  "news": "",
  "flag": null,
  "kickoff": "2026-08-31T19:00:00+00:00",
  "projection": {
    "x_points": 3.83,
    "captain_ev": 7.65,
    "ceiling": 8.63,
    "value": 0.696,
    "bonus": 0.14,
    "defcon": 0.52,
    "p_defcon": 0.259,
    "cs_points": 1.52,
    "start_prob": 0.23684210526315788
  },
  "season": {
    "total_points": 6,
    "event_points": 6,
    "minutes": 986,
    "realized_ppm": 1.09
  },
  "ranks": {
    "xpts_rank": 28,
    "own_rank": 62,
    "own_vs_xpts_gap": 34
  },
  "verdict_tier": "S",
  "verdict": {
    "tier": "S",
    "price_band": "Mid",
    "call": "buy"
  },
  "six_week_xpts": {
    "1": 4.45,
    "2": 0.91,
    "3": 1.07,
    "4": 0.91,
    "5": 0.91,
    "6": 1.07
  },
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "gw": 2,
      "opponent": "AVL",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-08-31T19:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 1,
      "lam_for": 1.933,
      "lam_against": 0.866,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 3,
      "opponent": "CHE",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-09-06T15:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": 2,
      "lam_for": 1.177,
      "lam_against": 0.857,
      "source": "fdr_prior_calibrated_on_gw1_market_odds"
    },
    {
      "gw": 4,
      "opponent": "SUN",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-09-12T19:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 3,
      "lam_for": 1.391,
      "lam_against": 1.177,
      "source": "fdr_prior_calibrated_on_gw1_market_odds"
    },
    {
      "gw": 5,
      "opponent": "BHA",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-09-19T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 3,
      "lam_for": 1.391,
      "lam_against": 1.177,
      "source": "fdr_prior_calibrated_on_gw1_market_odds"
    }
  ],
  "squads": {
    "model": false,
    "consensus": false
  },
  "notes": [
    "Mosquera"
  ],
  "distribution": null,
  "page": "/fpl/players/11-mosquera/",
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)"
}