{
  "gameweek": 2,
  "generated_at": "2026-08-25T13:17:04.870089+00:00",
  "id": 387,
  "name": "O'Reilly",
  "web_name": "O'Reilly",
  "team": "MCI",
  "position": "DEF",
  "price": 6.5,
  "ownership_pct": 21.2,
  "status": "a",
  "news": "",
  "flag": null,
  "kickoff": "2026-08-28T19:00:00+00:00",
  "projection": {
    "x_points": 3.71,
    "captain_ev": 7.41,
    "ceiling": 11.18,
    "value": 0.57,
    "bonus": 0.29,
    "defcon": 0.11,
    "p_defcon": 0.054,
    "cs_points": 1.11,
    "start_prob": 0.7631578947368421
  },
  "season": {
    "total_points": 2,
    "event_points": 2,
    "minutes": 2643,
    "realized_ppm": 0.31
  },
  "ranks": {
    "xpts_rank": 35,
    "own_rank": 15,
    "own_vs_xpts_gap": -20
  },
  "verdict_tier": "A",
  "verdict": {
    "tier": "A",
    "price_band": "Mid",
    "call": "buy"
  },
  "six_week_xpts": {
    "1": 2.4,
    "2": 3.17,
    "3": 3.91,
    "4": 3.01,
    "5": 3.85,
    "6": 2.95
  },
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "gw": 2,
      "opponent": "CRY",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-08-28T19:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 1,
      "lam_for": 1.959,
      "lam_against": 1.022,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 3,
      "opponent": "COV",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-09-05T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 1,
      "lam_for": 1.91,
      "lam_against": 0.857,
      "source": "fdr_prior_calibrated_on_gw1_market_odds"
    },
    {
      "gw": 4,
      "opponent": "MUN",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-09-13T15:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": 3,
      "lam_for": 1.092,
      "lam_against": 1.177,
      "source": "fdr_prior_calibrated_on_gw1_market_odds"
    },
    {
      "gw": 5,
      "opponent": "SUN",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-09-19T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 1,
      "lam_for": 1.91,
      "lam_against": 0.857,
      "source": "fdr_prior_calibrated_on_gw1_market_odds"
    }
  ],
  "squads": {
    "model": false,
    "consensus": true
  },
  "notes": [
    "O'Reilly"
  ],
  "distribution": null,
  "page": "/fpl/players/387-o-reilly/",
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)"
}