{
  "gameweek": 2,
  "generated_at": "2026-09-02T08:03:09.922359+00:00",
  "id": 619,
  "name": "Exequiel Palacios",
  "web_name": "Palacios",
  "team": "IPS",
  "position": "MID",
  "price": 5.0,
  "ownership_pct": 0.0,
  "status": "a",
  "news": "",
  "flag": null,
  "kickoff": "2026-08-30T15:30:00+00:00",
  "projection": {
    "x_points": 0.47,
    "captain_ev": 0.94,
    "ceiling": 2.6,
    "value": 0.094,
    "bonus": 0.04,
    "defcon": 0.04,
    "p_defcon": 0.019,
    "cs_points": 0.0,
    "start_prob": 0.26249999999999996
  },
  "season": {
    "total_points": 1,
    "event_points": 1,
    "minutes": 28,
    "realized_ppm": 0.2
  },
  "transfers": {
    "in_event": 901,
    "out_event": 206
  },
  "ranks": {
    "xpts_rank": 401,
    "own_rank": 534,
    "own_vs_xpts_gap": 133
  },
  "verdict_tier": "C",
  "verdict": {
    "tier": "C",
    "price_band": "Budget",
    "stance": "we do not own him",
    "rank_call": "hold"
  },
  "six_week_xpts": {
    "3": 0.54,
    "4": 0.52,
    "5": 0.54,
    "6": 0.61,
    "7": 0.53
  },
  "form_history": [
    {
      "round": 2,
      "total_points": 1,
      "minutes": 28
    }
  ],
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "gw": 2,
      "opponent": "MUN",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-08-30T15:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": 5,
      "lam_for": 0.875,
      "lam_against": 2.192,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 3,
      "opponent": "LIV",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-09-04T19:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 5,
      "lam_for": 1.119,
      "lam_against": 2.145,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 4,
      "opponent": "CRY",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-09-12T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 4,
      "lam_for": 1.029,
      "lam_against": 1.584,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 5,
      "opponent": "EVE",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-09-19T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 6,
      "opponent": "FUL",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-10T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    }
  ],
  "squads": {
    "model": false,
    "consensus": false,
    "model_role": null,
    "consensus_role": null
  },
  "notes": [],
  "distribution": {
    "histogram": {
      "1": 8666,
      "0": 38179,
      "6": 488,
      "-2": 102,
      "4": 1024,
      "9": 107,
      "8": 81,
      "7": 168,
      "11": 44,
      "3": 793,
      "5": 92,
      "2": 98,
      "10": 66,
      "13": 27,
      "12": 23,
      "-3": 13,
      "14": 5,
      "16": 8,
      "15": 4,
      "18": 3,
      "17": 5,
      "-1": 2,
      "20": 1,
      "19": 1
    },
    "sims": 50000,
    "p10": 0,
    "median": 0,
    "mode": 0,
    "p90": 1,
    "p_haul": 0.0037,
    "p_blank": 0.9412
  },
  "page": "/fpl/players/619-palacios/",
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)"
}