{
  "competition": "fantasy_premier_league",
  "gameweek": 3,
  "article": "efficiency",
  "title": "Best value — points per million — Gameweek 3",
  "generated_at": "2026-09-03T14:39:37.562989+00:00",
  "sims": 50000,
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "entries": [
    {
      "name": "Szoboszlai",
      "team": "LIV",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 6.66,
      "captain_ev": 13.32,
      "ceiling": 16.78,
      "price": 7.0,
      "ownership_pct": 41.4,
      "value": 0.952,
      "bonus": 1.25,
      "defcon": 0.45,
      "p_defcon": 0.223,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-04T19:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "2": 10292,
        "4": 4350,
        "13": 2041,
        "8": 2146,
        "18": 969,
        "12": 1991,
        "9": 2901,
        "3": 2330,
        "16": 638,
        "5": 2293,
        "20": 469,
        "7": 2356,
        "14": 762,
        "10": 2934,
        "6": 1916,
        "1": 1763,
        "11": 1238,
        "15": 1740,
        "17": 559,
        "26": 71,
        "-1": 151,
        "21": 309,
        "19": 156,
        "23": 237,
        "25": 83,
        "24": 86,
        "0": 4955,
        "-2": 25,
        "33": 5,
        "27": 19,
        "28": 43,
        "22": 99,
        "35": 3,
        "31": 22,
        "34": 3,
        "29": 18,
        "38": 1,
        "-3": 1,
        "30": 15,
        "32": 8,
        "36": 1,
        "37": 1
      },
      "p10": 0,
      "median": 5,
      "p90": 15,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.2904,
      "p_blank": 0.3437,
      "start_prob": 0.9081395348837209,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 1,
      "tier": "Mid"
    },
    {
      "name": "Kayode",
      "team": "BRE",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.78,
      "captain_ev": 7.56,
      "ceiling": 9.15,
      "price": 4.6,
      "ownership_pct": 9.3,
      "value": 0.822,
      "bonus": 0.3,
      "defcon": 0.02,
      "p_defcon": 0.011,
      "cs_points": 1.47,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-05T14:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "2": 12554,
        "8": 2619,
        "5": 2694,
        "7": 3846,
        "1": 9413,
        "6": 8288,
        "10": 658,
        "11": 502,
        "9": 1315,
        "14": 227,
        "4": 1196,
        "0": 5057,
        "3": 454,
        "13": 217,
        "-2": 129,
        "15": 125,
        "12": 294,
        "-1": 251,
        "16": 24,
        "18": 34,
        "21": 13,
        "-3": 19,
        "17": 53,
        "-4": 2,
        "19": 3,
        "20": 12,
        "23": 1
      },
      "p10": 0,
      "median": 2,
      "p90": 8,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0433,
      "p_blank": 0.5485,
      "start_prob": 0.9313953488372092,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 2,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Gakpo",
      "team": "LIV",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 5.6,
      "captain_ev": 11.2,
      "ceiling": 15.31,
      "price": 7.0,
      "ownership_pct": 8.1,
      "value": 0.8,
      "bonus": 1.43,
      "defcon": 0.16,
      "p_defcon": 0.082,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-04T19:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "7": 2173,
        "9": 2756,
        "3": 3710,
        "13": 1968,
        "8": 1791,
        "4": 3359,
        "2": 8786,
        "18": 763,
        "12": 1390,
        "5": 2526,
        "16": 512,
        "10": 3187,
        "6": 1968,
        "11": 775,
        "0": 9236,
        "1": 1826,
        "15": 1245,
        "17": 337,
        "20": 282,
        "14": 476,
        "36": 4,
        "23": 162,
        "24": 43,
        "21": 212,
        "-2": 38,
        "-1": 182,
        "19": 109,
        "26": 47,
        "25": 37,
        "-3": 1,
        "33": 4,
        "22": 42,
        "27": 14,
        "32": 2,
        "28": 16,
        "31": 4,
        "29": 8,
        "30": 5,
        "34": 2,
        "35": 2
      },
      "p10": 0,
      "median": 4,
      "p90": 13,
      "mode": 0,
      "p_haul": 0.233,
      "p_blank": 0.4014,
      "start_prob": 0.8151162790697674,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 3,
      "tier": "Mid"
    },
    {
      "name": "Thiaw",
      "team": "NEW",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.98,
      "captain_ev": 7.97,
      "ceiling": 11.53,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 2.0,
      "value": 0.797,
      "bonus": 0.13,
      "defcon": 0.59,
      "p_defcon": 0.294,
      "cs_points": 0.82,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-05T11:30:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "15": 477,
        "2": 7075,
        "1": 7334,
        "10": 968,
        "9": 1242,
        "3": 4022,
        "4": 3678,
        "8": 3793,
        "6": 4552,
        "0": 10028,
        "7": 2426,
        "-1": 309,
        "17": 188,
        "21": 82,
        "14": 609,
        "5": 1010,
        "13": 617,
        "-2": 90,
        "11": 289,
        "16": 297,
        "12": 468,
        "20": 93,
        "18": 102,
        "22": 48,
        "19": 78,
        "-3": 25,
        "28": 13,
        "26": 12,
        "23": 38,
        "29": 4,
        "24": 13,
        "27": 5,
        "31": 1,
        "25": 11,
        "33": 1,
        "32": 1,
        "30": 1
      },
      "p10": 0,
      "median": 3,
      "p90": 9,
      "mode": 0,
      "p_haul": 0.0883,
      "p_blank": 0.4972,
      "start_prob": 0.8383720930232558,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 4,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "N.Williams",
      "team": "NFO",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.93,
      "captain_ev": 7.85,
      "ceiling": 10.14,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 8.4,
      "value": 0.785,
      "bonus": 0.23,
      "defcon": 0.63,
      "p_defcon": 0.315,
      "cs_points": 1.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-05T14:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "5": 2104,
        "4": 5222,
        "9": 1682,
        "1": 7780,
        "3": 4456,
        "2": 8144,
        "6": 4082,
        "8": 2986,
        "10": 1279,
        "13": 400,
        "7": 3008,
        "-1": 245,
        "11": 757,
        "-2": 100,
        "0": 6533,
        "16": 131,
        "17": 74,
        "14": 238,
        "12": 469,
        "19": 36,
        "15": 163,
        "-4": 2,
        "18": 49,
        "27": 1,
        "20": 19,
        "24": 1,
        "-3": 22,
        "21": 7,
        "23": 3,
        "25": 1,
        "22": 4,
        "26": 2
      },
      "p10": 0,
      "median": 3,
      "p90": 9,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0727,
      "p_blank": 0.4565,
      "start_prob": 0.9081395348837209,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 5,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Cash",
      "team": "AVL",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.48,
      "captain_ev": 6.96,
      "ceiling": 8.92,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 7.1,
      "value": 0.773,
      "bonus": 0.05,
      "defcon": 0.23,
      "p_defcon": 0.116,
      "cs_points": 1.21,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-05T16:30:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "4": 2903,
        "5": 2805,
        "6": 9367,
        "1": 8229,
        "2": 9903,
        "3": 1610,
        "10": 526,
        "15": 125,
        "-2": 85,
        "9": 1093,
        "0": 8552,
        "8": 2201,
        "14": 188,
        "7": 933,
        "-1": 229,
        "11": 433,
        "12": 307,
        "16": 82,
        "13": 260,
        "18": 27,
        "17": 67,
        "20": 23,
        "-3": 13,
        "19": 20,
        "-4": 3,
        "22": 1,
        "21": 8,
        "28": 1,
        "24": 2,
        "23": 3,
        "29": 1
      },
      "p10": 0,
      "median": 2,
      "p90": 8,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0415,
      "p_blank": 0.5403,
      "start_prob": 0.8616279069767441,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 6,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Tavernier",
      "team": "BOU",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 4.53,
      "captain_ev": 9.06,
      "ceiling": 13.55,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 2.3,
      "value": 0.755,
      "bonus": 0.89,
      "defcon": 0.31,
      "p_defcon": 0.156,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-05T11:30:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "2": 13104,
        "8": 1671,
        "1": 2223,
        "11": 943,
        "13": 1149,
        "10": 1992,
        "3": 2450,
        "4": 3960,
        "6": 1526,
        "5": 2246,
        "21": 120,
        "12": 1345,
        "18": 372,
        "9": 2215,
        "7": 1742,
        "16": 279,
        "15": 760,
        "14": 527,
        "23": 67,
        "20": 163,
        "17": 319,
        "25": 23,
        "-1": 172,
        "24": 23,
        "22": 46,
        "29": 6,
        "0": 10387,
        "-2": 35,
        "19": 89,
        "26": 18,
        "31": 5,
        "27": 10,
        "28": 7,
        "33": 1,
        "-3": 2,
        "30": 2,
        "34": 1
      },
      "p10": 0,
      "median": 2,
      "p90": 12,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.1653,
      "p_blank": 0.5185,
      "start_prob": 0.791860465116279,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 7,
      "tier": "Mid"
    },
    {
      "name": "Verbruggen",
      "team": "BHA",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.35,
      "captain_ev": 6.7,
      "ceiling": 7.06,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 21.6,
      "value": 0.745,
      "bonus": 0.12,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 1.28,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-05T14:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "10": 133,
        "3": 8567,
        "1": 5701,
        "7": 3153,
        "6": 9254,
        "2": 15784,
        "5": 1436,
        "8": 1336,
        "0": 2985,
        "4": 851,
        "9": 522,
        "-1": 201,
        "-2": 68,
        "-3": 5,
        "11": 4
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 3,
      "p90": 7,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0027,
      "p_blank": 0.4949,
      "start_prob": 0.9546511627906976,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 8,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "F.Kadıoğlu",
      "team": "BHA",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.28,
      "captain_ev": 6.55,
      "ceiling": 8.69,
      "price": 4.4,
      "ownership_pct": 2.0,
      "value": 0.745,
      "bonus": 0.01,
      "defcon": 0.05,
      "p_defcon": 0.023,
      "cs_points": 1.12,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-05T14:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "9": 1663,
        "1": 9003,
        "3": 667,
        "6": 9453,
        "5": 3017,
        "2": 10194,
        "0": 9905,
        "12": 721,
        "4": 1792,
        "10": 230,
        "7": 834,
        "8": 1345,
        "14": 94,
        "15": 113,
        "-1": 227,
        "-3": 13,
        "-2": 104,
        "18": 27,
        "11": 349,
        "13": 84,
        "16": 54,
        "17": 42,
        "19": 22,
        "30": 1,
        "20": 13,
        "-5": 1,
        "22": 1,
        "21": 14,
        "27": 2,
        "24": 7,
        "23": 6,
        "29": 1,
        "-4": 1
      },
      "p10": 0,
      "median": 2,
      "p90": 7,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0356,
      "p_blank": 0.589,
      "start_prob": 0.8383720930232558,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 9,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Guéhi",
      "team": "MCI",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.41,
      "captain_ev": 8.81,
      "ceiling": 10.98,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 18.9,
      "value": 0.735,
      "bonus": 0.31,
      "defcon": 0.02,
      "p_defcon": 0.012,
      "cs_points": 1.65,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-05T14:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "7": 4017,
        "5": 2620,
        "2": 10461,
        "6": 9561,
        "0": 6639,
        "12": 629,
        "4": 930,
        "8": 2865,
        "1": 6721,
        "9": 1227,
        "11": 587,
        "10": 854,
        "14": 673,
        "13": 799,
        "3": 395,
        "15": 219,
        "20": 66,
        "-1": 162,
        "18": 72,
        "16": 143,
        "17": 150,
        "-2": 79,
        "19": 52,
        "23": 13,
        "21": 32,
        "22": 7,
        "27": 1,
        "24": 6,
        "-3": 10,
        "25": 3,
        "29": 2,
        "26": 2,
        "-4": 1,
        "35": 1,
        "28": 1
      },
      "p10": 0,
      "median": 4,
      "p90": 9,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0862,
      "p_blank": 0.4815,
      "start_prob": 0.8848837209302325,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 10,
      "tier": "Mid"
    },
    {
      "name": "M.Sangaré",
      "team": "BRE",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 4.14,
      "captain_ev": 8.29,
      "ceiling": 10.55,
      "price": 5.7,
      "ownership_pct": 13.4,
      "value": 0.727,
      "bonus": 0.39,
      "defcon": 1.06,
      "p_defcon": 0.528,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-05T14:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "2": 8001,
        "9": 1536,
        "1": 2234,
        "4": 14443,
        "11": 846,
        "6": 1549,
        "13": 364,
        "10": 1262,
        "7": 3060,
        "5": 2684,
        "12": 709,
        "8": 1749,
        "21": 8,
        "3": 2686,
        "-1": 89,
        "15": 292,
        "14": 361,
        "18": 80,
        "16": 104,
        "0": 7738,
        "-3": 1,
        "19": 20,
        "17": 104,
        "20": 30,
        "22": 8,
        "-2": 23,
        "23": 11,
        "25": 3,
        "24": 1,
        "26": 3,
        "27": 1
      },
      "p10": 0,
      "median": 4,
      "p90": 9,
      "mode": 4,
      "p_haul": 0.0841,
      "p_blank": 0.3617,
      "start_prob": 0.0941860465116279,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 11,
      "tier": "Mid"
    },
    {
      "name": "Egan",
      "team": "HUL",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 2.91,
      "captain_ev": 5.81,
      "ceiling": 9.46,
      "price": 4.0,
      "ownership_pct": 4.5,
      "value": 0.727,
      "bonus": 0.55,
      "defcon": 1.16,
      "p_defcon": 0.58,
      "cs_points": 0.47,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-05T16:30:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "3": 9718,
        "2": 3416,
        "9": 1806,
        "4": 5595,
        "10": 2063,
        "0": 19728,
        "6": 1153,
        "8": 1015,
        "1": 1088,
        "11": 1051,
        "13": 136,
        "5": 2143,
        "7": 581,
        "14": 110,
        "-1": 74,
        "16": 47,
        "12": 132,
        "17": 81,
        "-2": 17,
        "15": 25,
        "19": 4,
        "20": 10,
        "-3": 4,
        "18": 1,
        "21": 1,
        "26": 1
      },
      "p10": 0,
      "median": 3,
      "p90": 9,
      "mode": 0,
      "p_haul": 0.0732,
      "p_blank": 0.4865,
      "start_prob": 0.61,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 12,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Yeremy",
      "team": "CRY",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.97,
      "captain_ev": 7.94,
      "ceiling": 12.68,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 0.2,
      "value": 0.722,
      "bonus": 1.13,
      "defcon": 0.65,
      "p_defcon": 0.323,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-05T14:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "2": 5400,
        "13": 718,
        "4": 6129,
        "11": 1043,
        "1": 1686,
        "9": 1696,
        "3": 2821,
        "17": 227,
        "7": 1464,
        "12": 1297,
        "5": 2938,
        "6": 2051,
        "10": 1591,
        "8": 1331,
        "14": 485,
        "16": 177,
        "22": 21,
        "-1": 93,
        "15": 759,
        "18": 232,
        "23": 69,
        "20": 144,
        "19": 56,
        "0": 17438,
        "21": 56,
        "26": 15,
        "-2": 19,
        "27": 5,
        "25": 15,
        "24": 12,
        "32": 1,
        "31": 3,
        "29": 1,
        "30": 2,
        "28": 4,
        "34": 1
      },
      "p10": 0,
      "median": 3,
      "p90": 11,
      "mode": 0,
      "p_haul": 0.1387,
      "p_blank": 0.4927,
      "start_prob": 0.6523255813953489,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 13,
      "tier": "Mid"
    },
    {
      "name": "Kelleher",
      "team": "BRE",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.59,
      "captain_ev": 7.19,
      "ceiling": 7.49,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 7.3,
      "value": 0.719,
      "bonus": 0.17,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 1.48,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-05T14:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "2": 13935,
        "3": 7759,
        "7": 3620,
        "6": 10151,
        "8": 1877,
        "1": 4741,
        "5": 1754,
        "13": 4,
        "9": 859,
        "0": 3967,
        "10": 247,
        "4": 824,
        "-1": 153,
        "12": 14,
        "-2": 59,
        "-3": 8,
        "11": 28
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 3,
      "p90": 7,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0059,
      "p_blank": 0.4573,
      "start_prob": 0.9313953488372092,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 14,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Enzo",
      "team": "MCI",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 4.94,
      "captain_ev": 9.89,
      "ceiling": 13.59,
      "price": 6.9,
      "ownership_pct": 3.4,
      "value": 0.717,
      "bonus": 0.46,
      "defcon": 0.56,
      "p_defcon": 0.279,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-05T14:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "4": 6633,
        "10": 1625,
        "7": 3380,
        "14": 805,
        "12": 1165,
        "5": 3513,
        "2": 11977,
        "8": 2123,
        "1": 1846,
        "13": 794,
        "6": 1152,
        "9": 2132,
        "21": 74,
        "11": 1414,
        "3": 921,
        "19": 170,
        "22": 78,
        "17": 374,
        "-1": 140,
        "15": 620,
        "20": 160,
        "16": 418,
        "18": 254,
        "24": 20,
        "0": 8045,
        "25": 33,
        "34": 1,
        "-2": 28,
        "23": 55,
        "28": 5,
        "27": 9,
        "26": 23,
        "29": 2,
        "30": 1,
        "31": 3,
        "37": 2,
        "33": 2,
        "32": 1,
        "36": 2
      },
      "p10": 0,
      "median": 4,
      "p90": 12,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.1622,
      "p_blank": 0.4407,
      "start_prob": 0.8383720930232558,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 15,
      "tier": "Mid"
    },
    {
      "name": "Konsa",
      "team": "ARS",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.13,
      "captain_ev": 6.27,
      "ceiling": 7.94,
      "price": 4.4,
      "ownership_pct": 10.5,
      "value": 0.712,
      "bonus": 0.05,
      "defcon": 0.42,
      "p_defcon": 0.208,
      "cs_points": 1.2,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-06T15:30:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "5": 1515,
        "2": 9556,
        "4": 3322,
        "-2": 103,
        "8": 3322,
        "6": 8875,
        "1": 7517,
        "11": 127,
        "3": 2733,
        "0": 10551,
        "12": 94,
        "7": 1089,
        "9": 313,
        "15": 120,
        "14": 151,
        "17": 32,
        "10": 223,
        "-1": 202,
        "18": 7,
        "20": 2,
        "16": 35,
        "13": 81,
        "-3": 20,
        "21": 2,
        "19": 4,
        "26": 1,
        "-4": 1,
        "22": 2
      },
      "p10": 0,
      "median": 2,
      "p90": 7,
      "mode": 0,
      "p_haul": 0.0176,
      "p_blank": 0.559,
      "start_prob": 0.8151162790697674,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 16,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Leno",
      "team": "FUL",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.17,
      "captain_ev": 6.35,
      "ceiling": 7.36,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 3.1,
      "value": 0.705,
      "bonus": 0.18,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 1.07,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-05T14:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "5": 1145,
        "0": 3205,
        "8": 1870,
        "2": 16944,
        "1": 6699,
        "6": 6126,
        "3": 8574,
        "7": 3269,
        "9": 802,
        "4": 839,
        "-1": 241,
        "-2": 85,
        "10": 173,
        "-3": 9,
        "11": 19
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 2,
      "p90": 7,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0038,
      "p_blank": 0.5437,
      "start_prob": 0.9546511627906976,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 17,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Hall",
      "team": "NEW",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.57,
      "captain_ev": 7.15,
      "ceiling": 11.59,
      "price": 5.1,
      "ownership_pct": 8.7,
      "value": 0.701,
      "bonus": 0.79,
      "defcon": 0.87,
      "p_defcon": 0.433,
      "cs_points": 0.62,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-05T11:30:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "11": 2012,
        "5": 1517,
        "3": 5764,
        "7": 1324,
        "10": 1947,
        "1": 2685,
        "2": 3176,
        "4": 4327,
        "0": 19291,
        "8": 1575,
        "26": 1,
        "9": 1966,
        "6": 1698,
        "18": 46,
        "14": 653,
        "-1": 128,
        "12": 553,
        "17": 216,
        "16": 158,
        "19": 66,
        "13": 550,
        "15": 184,
        "20": 62,
        "23": 15,
        "22": 15,
        "-2": 41,
        "21": 13,
        "-3": 10,
        "27": 1,
        "25": 2,
        "-4": 1,
        "24": 3
      },
      "p10": 0,
      "median": 2,
      "p90": 10,
      "mode": 0,
      "p_haul": 0.1299,
      "p_blank": 0.5066,
      "start_prob": 0.6290697674418605,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 18,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Struijk",
      "team": "BHA",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.48,
      "captain_ev": 6.96,
      "ceiling": 9.56,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 0.2,
      "value": 0.696,
      "bonus": 0.01,
      "defcon": 0.55,
      "p_defcon": 0.274,
      "cs_points": 1.05,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-05T14:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "6": 6582,
        "3": 3439,
        "2": 7616,
        "8": 4340,
        "-1": 193,
        "1": 6294,
        "0": 11737,
        "9": 629,
        "5": 1262,
        "4": 4066,
        "7": 1343,
        "13": 207,
        "11": 258,
        "16": 54,
        "10": 487,
        "14": 422,
        "12": 735,
        "-3": 10,
        "-2": 66,
        "15": 101,
        "22": 7,
        "18": 28,
        "20": 24,
        "17": 42,
        "23": 6,
        "19": 25,
        "28": 1,
        "25": 2,
        "21": 19,
        "26": 1,
        "24": 3,
        "27": 1
      },
      "p10": 0,
      "median": 2,
      "p90": 8,
      "mode": 0,
      "p_haul": 0.0485,
      "p_blank": 0.5183,
      "start_prob": 0.791860465116279,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 19,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Scott",
      "team": "BOU",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 4.14,
      "captain_ev": 8.27,
      "ceiling": 10.65,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 1.9,
      "value": 0.689,
      "bonus": 0.68,
      "defcon": 0.93,
      "p_defcon": 0.467,
      "cs_points": 0.0,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-05T11:30:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "4": 11533,
        "9": 1515,
        "2": 9244,
        "1": 2128,
        "18": 60,
        "7": 1901,
        "13": 321,
        "5": 4345,
        "8": 1471,
        "3": 3954,
        "6": 2362,
        "12": 934,
        "-1": 145,
        "10": 1222,
        "11": 897,
        "0": 6960,
        "15": 372,
        "14": 313,
        "17": 115,
        "-2": 25,
        "19": 21,
        "16": 89,
        "20": 46,
        "24": 1,
        "21": 8,
        "22": 7,
        "26": 2,
        "25": 2,
        "23": 5,
        "-3": 1,
        "27": 1
      },
      "p10": 0,
      "median": 4,
      "p90": 9,
      "mode": 4,
      "p_haul": 0.0883,
      "p_blank": 0.3701,
      "start_prob": 0.8616279069767441,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 20,
      "tier": "Mid"
    }
  ],
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)"
}