{
  "gameweek": 3,
  "generated_at": "2026-09-03T14:39:37.562989+00:00",
  "id": 631,
  "name": "Mbaye",
  "web_name": "Mbaye",
  "team": "AVL",
  "position": "MID",
  "price": 6.0,
  "ownership_pct": 0.0,
  "status": "a",
  "news": "",
  "flag": null,
  "kickoff": "2026-09-05T16:30:00+00:00",
  "projection": {
    "x_points": 0.98,
    "captain_ev": 1.96,
    "ceiling": 5.57,
    "value": 0.163,
    "bonus": 0.16,
    "defcon": 0.0,
    "p_defcon": 0.0,
    "cs_points": 0.0,
    "start_prob": 0.25
  },
  "season": {
    "total_points": 0,
    "event_points": 0,
    "minutes": 0,
    "realized_ppm": 0.0
  },
  "transfers": {
    "in_event": 1304,
    "out_event": 132
  },
  "ranks": {
    "xpts_rank": 265,
    "own_rank": 602,
    "own_vs_xpts_gap": 337
  },
  "verdict_tier": "B",
  "verdict": {
    "tier": "B",
    "price_band": "Mid",
    "stance": "we do not own him",
    "rank_call": "hold"
  },
  "six_week_xpts": {
    "3": 0.99,
    "4": 0.96,
    "5": 0.86,
    "6": 0.88,
    "7": 0.9
  },
  "form_history": [],
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "gw": 3,
      "opponent": "HUL",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-09-05T16:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": 2,
      "lam_for": 1.651,
      "lam_against": 1.042,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 4,
      "opponent": "NFO",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-09-12T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 2,
      "lam_for": 1.596,
      "lam_against": 1.097,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 5,
      "opponent": "TOT",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-09-19T11:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 6,
      "opponent": "BRE",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-10T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 7,
      "opponent": "NEW",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-17T16:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    }
  ],
  "squads": {
    "model": false,
    "consensus": false,
    "model_role": null,
    "consensus_role": null
  },
  "notes": [],
  "distribution": {
    "histogram": {
      "2": 5284,
      "1": 2070,
      "5": 1420,
      "12": 174,
      "8": 289,
      "7": 905,
      "0": 37691,
      "4": 514,
      "6": 390,
      "-1": 72,
      "11": 240,
      "10": 271,
      "9": 135,
      "-2": 20,
      "14": 84,
      "15": 65,
      "13": 112,
      "18": 58,
      "21": 20,
      "20": 13,
      "3": 49,
      "17": 33,
      "19": 14,
      "16": 46,
      "23": 9,
      "-3": 3,
      "22": 4,
      "28": 2,
      "31": 1,
      "25": 2,
      "24": 7,
      "26": 2,
      "27": 1
    },
    "sims": 50000,
    "p10": 0,
    "median": 0,
    "mode": 0,
    "p90": 2,
    "p_haul": 0.0232,
    "p_blank": 0.9028
  },
  "page": "/fpl/players/631-mbaye/",
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)"
}