{
  "gameweek": 3,
  "generated_at": "2026-09-03T14:39:37.562989+00:00",
  "id": 634,
  "name": "Fernandez-Pardo",
  "web_name": "Fernandez-Pardo",
  "team": "NEW",
  "position": "FWD",
  "price": 6.0,
  "ownership_pct": 0.0,
  "status": "a",
  "news": "",
  "flag": null,
  "kickoff": "2026-09-05T11:30:00+00:00",
  "projection": {
    "x_points": 1.2,
    "captain_ev": 2.39,
    "ceiling": 6.96,
    "value": 0.199,
    "bonus": 0.33,
    "defcon": 0.0,
    "p_defcon": 0.0,
    "cs_points": 0.0,
    "start_prob": 0.25
  },
  "season": {
    "total_points": 0,
    "event_points": 0,
    "minutes": 0,
    "realized_ppm": 0.0
  },
  "transfers": {
    "in_event": 1845,
    "out_event": 106
  },
  "ranks": {
    "xpts_rank": 240,
    "own_rank": 546,
    "own_vs_xpts_gap": 306
  },
  "verdict_tier": "B",
  "verdict": {
    "tier": "B",
    "price_band": "Mid",
    "stance": "we do not own him",
    "rank_call": "hold"
  },
  "six_week_xpts": {
    "3": 1.22,
    "4": 1.06,
    "5": 1.32,
    "6": 1.22,
    "7": 1.17
  },
  "form_history": [],
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "gw": 3,
      "opponent": "BOU",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-09-05T11:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": 2,
      "lam_for": 1.708,
      "lam_against": 1.416,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 4,
      "opponent": "LEE",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-09-14T19:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 3,
      "lam_for": 1.412,
      "lam_against": 1.492,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 5,
      "opponent": "HUL",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-09-19T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 6,
      "opponent": "COV",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-12T19:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 7,
      "opponent": "AVL",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-17T16:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    }
  ],
  "squads": {
    "model": false,
    "consensus": false,
    "model_role": null,
    "consensus_role": null
  },
  "notes": [],
  "distribution": {
    "histogram": {
      "12": 265,
      "5": 1570,
      "8": 301,
      "4": 386,
      "2": 4295,
      "1": 1662,
      "7": 246,
      "13": 187,
      "6": 1583,
      "11": 304,
      "10": 321,
      "16": 158,
      "0": 37717,
      "15": 165,
      "21": 12,
      "-1": 68,
      "3": 43,
      "20": 36,
      "18": 35,
      "22": 13,
      "9": 369,
      "17": 48,
      "-3": 1,
      "23": 14,
      "14": 104,
      "26": 3,
      "19": 50,
      "-2": 24,
      "24": 10,
      "30": 1,
      "29": 3,
      "34": 1,
      "28": 3,
      "38": 1,
      "27": 1
    },
    "sims": 50000,
    "p10": 0,
    "median": 0,
    "mode": 0,
    "p90": 5,
    "p_haul": 0.0347,
    "p_blank": 0.8753
  },
  "page": "/fpl/players/634-fernandez-pardo/",
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)"
}