{
  "competition": "fantasy_premier_league",
  "gameweek": 5,
  "article": "defenders",
  "title": "Best defenders & keepers — Gameweek 5",
  "generated_at": "2026-09-17T13:12:25.793993+00:00",
  "sims": 50000,
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "entries": [
    {
      "name": "Hall",
      "team": "NEW",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 5.02,
      "captain_ev": 10.04,
      "ceiling": 11.74,
      "price": 5.2,
      "ownership_pct": 14.4,
      "value": 0.965,
      "bonus": 0.64,
      "defcon": 0.55,
      "p_defcon": 0.276,
      "cs_points": 1.44,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-19T14:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "0": 2828,
        "1": 7086,
        "7": 4275,
        "6": 4000,
        "2": 8604,
        "17": 216,
        "4": 4597,
        "10": 1656,
        "14": 703,
        "15": 430,
        "9": 2594,
        "11": 1371,
        "3": 3231,
        "12": 1263,
        "8": 4329,
        "5": 1749,
        "-1": 173,
        "18": 68,
        "21": 19,
        "13": 514,
        "20": 39,
        "16": 115,
        "19": 21,
        "-2": 86,
        "23": 8,
        "-4": 1,
        "22": 2,
        "-3": 20,
        "24": 2
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 4,
      "p90": 10,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.1285,
      "p_blank": 0.376,
      "start_prob": 0.9693552348533159,
      "player_id": 449,
      "ep_next": 4.5,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "Guéhi",
      "team": "MCI",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.9,
      "captain_ev": 9.81,
      "ceiling": 11.45,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 18.5,
      "value": 0.817,
      "bonus": 0.51,
      "defcon": 0.24,
      "p_defcon": 0.12,
      "cs_points": 1.8,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-20T13:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "1": 6773,
        "2": 10332,
        "6": 6336,
        "0": 3579,
        "9": 1704,
        "3": 1144,
        "4": 2039,
        "11": 818,
        "-1": 168,
        "5": 2693,
        "8": 4667,
        "15": 864,
        "7": 5573,
        "10": 1016,
        "13": 399,
        "12": 578,
        "20": 40,
        "17": 192,
        "14": 710,
        "16": 115,
        "-2": 95,
        "21": 58,
        "18": 63,
        "24": 6,
        "22": 5,
        "-3": 5,
        "19": 11,
        "23": 11,
        "27": 2,
        "26": 4
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 5,
      "p90": 9,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0978,
      "p_blank": 0.419,
      "start_prob": 0.9904895556441325,
      "player_id": 388,
      "ep_next": 6.5,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "N.Williams",
      "team": "NFO",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.81,
      "captain_ev": 9.61,
      "ceiling": 11.41,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 8.8,
      "value": 0.962,
      "bonus": 0.48,
      "defcon": 0.29,
      "p_defcon": 0.146,
      "cs_points": 1.57,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-19T16:30:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "1": 7836,
        "6": 5560,
        "2": 10234,
        "17": 213,
        "5": 2947,
        "-3": 17,
        "8": 3853,
        "7": 4997,
        "10": 1165,
        "9": 1684,
        "11": 1118,
        "15": 667,
        "14": 516,
        "4": 3154,
        "13": 363,
        "12": 882,
        "3": 1676,
        "0": 2531,
        "18": 95,
        "-1": 175,
        "21": 34,
        "-2": 99,
        "16": 118,
        "23": 10,
        "24": 6,
        "19": 18,
        "26": 2,
        "20": 24,
        "22": 3,
        "25": 2,
        "-4": 1
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 4,
      "p90": 10,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.1047,
      "p_blank": 0.4179,
      "start_prob": 0.9924108575342067,
      "player_id": 469,
      "ep_next": 4.2,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 3
    },
    {
      "name": "Thiaw",
      "team": "NEW",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.78,
      "captain_ev": 9.56,
      "ceiling": 11.9,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 2.2,
      "value": 0.956,
      "bonus": 0.19,
      "defcon": 0.44,
      "p_defcon": 0.218,
      "cs_points": 1.47,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-19T14:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "1": 7916,
        "2": 10111,
        "6": 9964,
        "0": 2279,
        "26": 4,
        "4": 3193,
        "7": 2099,
        "9": 923,
        "5": 1926,
        "8": 4056,
        "12": 383,
        "16": 277,
        "13": 512,
        "3": 2436,
        "15": 910,
        "14": 791,
        "-1": 210,
        "17": 320,
        "18": 80,
        "10": 725,
        "11": 444,
        "23": 45,
        "-2": 99,
        "21": 128,
        "20": 60,
        "19": 38,
        "29": 3,
        "27": 10,
        "25": 4,
        "22": 25,
        "-3": 16,
        "24": 9,
        "-4": 2,
        "32": 2
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 4,
      "p90": 9,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0954,
      "p_blank": 0.4127,
      "start_prob": 0.986646951863984,
      "player_id": 445,
      "ep_next": 2.5,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 4
    },
    {
      "name": "Tarkowski",
      "team": "EVE",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.66,
      "captain_ev": 9.32,
      "ceiling": 11.03,
      "price": 6.1,
      "ownership_pct": 13.6,
      "value": 0.764,
      "bonus": 0.4,
      "defcon": 0.66,
      "p_defcon": 0.329,
      "cs_points": 1.41,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-19T14:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "6": 4044,
        "2": 9364,
        "9": 2498,
        "1": 7601,
        "5": 1810,
        "12": 458,
        "8": 3842,
        "3": 3910,
        "4": 4973,
        "10": 1500,
        "7": 4704,
        "11": 679,
        "0": 2451,
        "14": 468,
        "15": 514,
        "16": 152,
        "-1": 206,
        "13": 299,
        "18": 46,
        "19": 23,
        "-2": 89,
        "17": 269,
        "20": 24,
        "21": 33,
        "23": 13,
        "26": 1,
        "24": 4,
        "-3": 17,
        "-4": 1,
        "22": 7
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 4,
      "p90": 9,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0898,
      "p_blank": 0.3946,
      "start_prob": 0.994332159424281,
      "player_id": 229,
      "ep_next": 7.2,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 5
    },
    {
      "name": "Gvardiol",
      "team": "MCI",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.52,
      "captain_ev": 9.05,
      "ceiling": 10.76,
      "price": 5.7,
      "ownership_pct": 24.1,
      "value": 0.793,
      "bonus": 0.44,
      "defcon": 0.21,
      "p_defcon": 0.104,
      "cs_points": 1.75,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-20T13:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "0": 5084,
        "2": 10379,
        "1": 7145,
        "6": 7266,
        "7": 5147,
        "8": 4227,
        "10": 815,
        "17": 138,
        "4": 1664,
        "5": 2462,
        "14": 672,
        "3": 1049,
        "15": 717,
        "-1": 176,
        "13": 307,
        "11": 548,
        "9": 1520,
        "16": 118,
        "18": 43,
        "12": 314,
        "21": 46,
        "19": 21,
        "-2": 89,
        "20": 26,
        "23": 7,
        "22": 5,
        "-3": 8,
        "24": 3,
        "-4": 1,
        "29": 2,
        "26": 1
      },
      "p10": 0,
      "median": 4,
      "p90": 9,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0757,
      "p_blank": 0.4576,
      "start_prob": 0.953984819732722,
      "player_id": 391,
      "ep_next": 8.2,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 6
    },
    {
      "name": "Gabriel",
      "team": "ARS",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.46,
      "captain_ev": 8.92,
      "ceiling": 10.64,
      "price": 8.0,
      "ownership_pct": 23.3,
      "value": 0.557,
      "bonus": 0.32,
      "defcon": 0.42,
      "p_defcon": 0.212,
      "cs_points": 1.48,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-19T14:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "2": 10731,
        "6": 6175,
        "15": 683,
        "5": 1981,
        "1": 8283,
        "7": 5000,
        "0": 2844,
        "10": 846,
        "12": 368,
        "4": 3298,
        "3": 2488,
        "9": 1668,
        "14": 491,
        "11": 439,
        "8": 3663,
        "16": 141,
        "-2": 92,
        "-1": 201,
        "13": 247,
        "17": 198,
        "22": 6,
        "23": 11,
        "21": 42,
        "19": 14,
        "20": 29,
        "18": 46,
        "-3": 11,
        "27": 1,
        "24": 1,
        "26": 1,
        "-4": 1
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 4,
      "p90": 9,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0713,
      "p_blank": 0.4433,
      "start_prob": 0.9808830461937613,
      "player_id": 4,
      "ep_next": 6.0,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 7
    },
    {
      "name": "Botman",
      "team": "NEW",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.45,
      "captain_ev": 8.89,
      "ceiling": 10.25,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 0.7,
      "value": 0.89,
      "bonus": 0.17,
      "defcon": 0.69,
      "p_defcon": 0.343,
      "cs_points": 1.45,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-19T14:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "3": 4044,
        "2": 8744,
        "1": 7120,
        "6": 7848,
        "0": 3039,
        "9": 1155,
        "7": 2772,
        "5": 1905,
        "14": 415,
        "-1": 212,
        "8": 4792,
        "12": 358,
        "13": 280,
        "15": 388,
        "10": 653,
        "4": 5172,
        "11": 483,
        "17": 213,
        "19": 24,
        "16": 177,
        "-2": 78,
        "-4": 1,
        "30": 1,
        "18": 45,
        "21": 16,
        "-3": 16,
        "23": 9,
        "20": 33,
        "22": 1,
        "33": 1,
        "27": 1,
        "24": 2,
        "25": 1,
        "26": 1
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 4,
      "p90": 8,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.062,
      "p_blank": 0.3842,
      "start_prob": 0.9635913291830931,
      "player_id": 447,
      "ep_next": 2.8,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 8
    },
    {
      "name": "Murillo",
      "team": "NFO",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.41,
      "captain_ev": 8.82,
      "ceiling": 9.9,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 2.0,
      "value": 0.802,
      "bonus": 0.29,
      "defcon": 0.69,
      "p_defcon": 0.344,
      "cs_points": 1.55,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-19T16:30:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "1": 7015,
        "8": 4638,
        "4": 5215,
        "2": 9037,
        "6": 5954,
        "7": 3859,
        "9": 2117,
        "11": 451,
        "3": 3789,
        "0": 3356,
        "10": 1269,
        "5": 1713,
        "17": 165,
        "15": 276,
        "-2": 91,
        "12": 261,
        "14": 250,
        "21": 8,
        "-3": 11,
        "13": 197,
        "-1": 201,
        "16": 84,
        "22": 5,
        "18": 14,
        "19": 10,
        "23": 2,
        "20": 10,
        "27": 1,
        "-4": 1
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 4,
      "p90": 9,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0601,
      "p_blank": 0.3942,
      "start_prob": 0.9712765367433901,
      "player_id": 472,
      "ep_next": 4.8,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 9
    },
    {
      "name": "Van Hecke",
      "team": "TOT",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.26,
      "captain_ev": 8.53,
      "ceiling": 10.73,
      "price": 4.9,
      "ownership_pct": 6.7,
      "value": 0.869,
      "bonus": 0.34,
      "defcon": 0.48,
      "p_defcon": 0.239,
      "cs_points": 1.28,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-19T11:30:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "6": 4647,
        "1": 9038,
        "2": 10171,
        "15": 724,
        "0": 3856,
        "9": 1920,
        "8": 3523,
        "5": 1604,
        "4": 3664,
        "10": 988,
        "11": 427,
        "3": 3031,
        "7": 4541,
        "14": 373,
        "13": 182,
        "12": 344,
        "17": 278,
        "-1": 255,
        "19": 15,
        "23": 16,
        "16": 136,
        "18": 45,
        "-2": 108,
        "21": 50,
        "-3": 20,
        "-4": 1,
        "20": 23,
        "27": 4,
        "31": 1,
        "22": 10,
        "25": 1,
        "24": 2,
        "26": 1,
        "-5": 1
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 3,
      "p90": 9,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0724,
      "p_blank": 0.469,
      "start_prob": 0.9924108575342067,
      "player_id": 112,
      "ep_next": 4.5,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Muharemović",
      "team": "LEE",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.22,
      "captain_ev": 8.43,
      "ceiling": 9.92,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 4.1,
      "value": 0.844,
      "bonus": 0.33,
      "defcon": 0.93,
      "p_defcon": 0.464,
      "cs_points": 1.28,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-20T13:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "8": 4332,
        "1": 6248,
        "4": 7019,
        "5": 1241,
        "3": 5740,
        "2": 7216,
        "7": 3405,
        "10": 1722,
        "11": 588,
        "6": 2981,
        "9": 2651,
        "0": 5562,
        "12": 259,
        "-2": 75,
        "-1": 141,
        "17": 123,
        "-3": 18,
        "14": 202,
        "13": 213,
        "16": 85,
        "15": 143,
        "23": 5,
        "18": 11,
        "20": 3,
        "21": 6,
        "19": 8,
        "22": 1,
        "-4": 1,
        "24": 1
      },
      "p10": 0,
      "median": 3,
      "p90": 9,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0674,
      "p_blank": 0.3852,
      "start_prob": 0.9487973046295215,
      "player_id": 334,
      "ep_next": 5.2,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 11
    },
    {
      "name": "Calafiori",
      "team": "ARS",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.12,
      "captain_ev": 8.23,
      "ceiling": 10.65,
      "price": 5.8,
      "ownership_pct": 50.2,
      "value": 0.71,
      "bonus": 0.16,
      "defcon": 0.05,
      "p_defcon": 0.024,
      "cs_points": 1.47,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-19T14:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "8": 1801,
        "9": 515,
        "19": 17,
        "2": 11143,
        "6": 12839,
        "1": 10507,
        "15": 993,
        "17": 77,
        "7": 1705,
        "14": 759,
        "4": 793,
        "10": 426,
        "5": 2246,
        "3": 473,
        "0": 3975,
        "-2": 123,
        "12": 249,
        "13": 402,
        "11": 371,
        "-1": 245,
        "-3": 28,
        "20": 53,
        "21": 94,
        "23": 10,
        "18": 51,
        "16": 75,
        "24": 5,
        "27": 14,
        "22": 7,
        "26": 2,
        "-4": 2
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 2,
      "p90": 8,
      "mode": 6,
      "p_haul": 0.0721,
      "p_blank": 0.5205,
      "start_prob": 0.9655126310731674,
      "player_id": 8,
      "ep_next": 7.0,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 12
    },
    {
      "name": "Justin",
      "team": "LEE",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.06,
      "captain_ev": 8.11,
      "ceiling": 10.23,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 1.5,
      "value": 0.902,
      "bonus": 0.25,
      "defcon": 0.49,
      "p_defcon": 0.244,
      "cs_points": 1.3,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-20T13:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "6": 6726,
        "3": 2966,
        "2": 9378,
        "4": 4003,
        "8": 3337,
        "-2": 122,
        "1": 8297,
        "17": 194,
        "9": 1350,
        "7": 3154,
        "12": 414,
        "0": 5377,
        "5": 1902,
        "15": 445,
        "14": 382,
        "10": 699,
        "-1": 212,
        "11": 522,
        "21": 25,
        "13": 249,
        "16": 129,
        "20": 12,
        "-3": 27,
        "18": 45,
        "23": 8,
        "19": 13,
        "-4": 1,
        "27": 2,
        "22": 5,
        "24": 3,
        "26": 1
      },
      "p10": 0,
      "median": 3,
      "p90": 8,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.063,
      "p_blank": 0.4683,
      "start_prob": 0.9635913291830931,
      "player_id": 332,
      "ep_next": 4.5,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 13
    },
    {
      "name": "Bogle",
      "team": "LEE",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.02,
      "captain_ev": 8.04,
      "ceiling": 10.45,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 4.2,
      "value": 0.893,
      "bonus": 0.27,
      "defcon": 0.11,
      "p_defcon": 0.057,
      "cs_points": 1.35,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-20T13:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "6": 9023,
        "3": 982,
        "2": 10905,
        "10": 676,
        "0": 4740,
        "1": 9942,
        "13": 244,
        "7": 3013,
        "11": 758,
        "5": 2661,
        "4": 1937,
        "8": 1802,
        "-1": 242,
        "-3": 27,
        "9": 796,
        "17": 125,
        "14": 471,
        "-2": 131,
        "12": 601,
        "15": 655,
        "18": 98,
        "21": 44,
        "20": 32,
        "23": 6,
        "16": 64,
        "27": 6,
        "19": 7,
        "24": 7,
        "28": 1,
        "26": 2,
        "22": 2
      },
      "p10": 0,
      "median": 2,
      "p90": 8,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.076,
      "p_blank": 0.5197,
      "start_prob": 0.9847256499739099,
      "player_id": 330,
      "ep_next": 9.2,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "Donnarumma",
      "team": "MCI",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 4.02,
      "captain_ev": 8.04,
      "ceiling": 8.89,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 7.7,
      "value": 0.731,
      "bonus": 0.45,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 1.72,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-20T13:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "1": 5016,
        "3": 5571,
        "2": 11125,
        "6": 6799,
        "9": 3036,
        "8": 4000,
        "7": 4367,
        "5": 1526,
        "4": 568,
        "10": 1347,
        "0": 6107,
        "11": 292,
        "-1": 166,
        "-2": 62,
        "12": 11,
        "-3": 7
      },
      "p10": 0,
      "median": 3,
      "p90": 8,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.033,
      "p_blank": 0.4497,
      "start_prob": 0.9885682537540583,
      "player_id": 384,
      "ep_next": 4.2,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 15
    },
    {
      "name": "Mykolenko",
      "team": "EVE",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.01,
      "captain_ev": 8.03,
      "ceiling": 9.39,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 3.2,
      "value": 0.891,
      "bonus": 0.31,
      "defcon": 0.46,
      "p_defcon": 0.231,
      "cs_points": 1.4,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-19T14:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "5": 2315,
        "2": 10925,
        "4": 4166,
        "9": 1596,
        "1": 9043,
        "6": 5376,
        "7": 4443,
        "3": 3061,
        "8": 3240,
        "0": 2943,
        "-1": 215,
        "10": 929,
        "11": 577,
        "12": 478,
        "15": 109,
        "17": 37,
        "-3": 25,
        "-2": 120,
        "14": 191,
        "13": 169,
        "16": 25,
        "18": 10,
        "19": 2,
        "20": 4,
        "-4": 1
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 3,
      "p90": 8,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0506,
      "p_blank": 0.4654,
      "start_prob": 0.986646951863984,
      "player_id": 233,
      "ep_next": 5.5,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 16
    },
    {
      "name": "Horníček",
      "team": "NEW",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 4.01,
      "captain_ev": 8.03,
      "ceiling": 9.88,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 1.5,
      "value": 0.802,
      "bonus": 0.65,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 1.3,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-19T14:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "2": 10050,
        "3": 8651,
        "8": 2609,
        "9": 3322,
        "4": 2129,
        "0": 7547,
        "1": 4013,
        "7": 3018,
        "5": 1210,
        "6": 2490,
        "10": 3094,
        "11": 1474,
        "12": 178,
        "-1": 155,
        "-2": 38,
        "-4": 1,
        "-3": 8,
        "13": 13
      },
      "p10": 0,
      "median": 3,
      "p90": 9,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0952,
      "p_blank": 0.4362,
      "start_prob": 0.9251652913816083,
      "player_id": 567,
      "ep_next": 2.8,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 17
    },
    {
      "name": "Branthwaite",
      "team": "EVE",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.91,
      "captain_ev": 7.83,
      "ceiling": 9.38,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 2.2,
      "value": 0.711,
      "bonus": 0.12,
      "defcon": 0.65,
      "p_defcon": 0.327,
      "cs_points": 1.32,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-19T14:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "6": 7763,
        "4": 5012,
        "1": 7945,
        "3": 4098,
        "2": 9162,
        "12": 184,
        "8": 4657,
        "14": 210,
        "9": 882,
        "7": 1981,
        "10": 404,
        "0": 4859,
        "15": 338,
        "11": 232,
        "5": 1492,
        "17": 163,
        "13": 157,
        "-2": 99,
        "16": 111,
        "-3": 16,
        "-1": 187,
        "23": 6,
        "20": 7,
        "21": 13,
        "19": 9,
        "18": 11,
        "22": 2
      },
      "p10": 0,
      "median": 3,
      "p90": 8,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0369,
      "p_blank": 0.4454,
      "start_prob": 0.9366931027220537,
      "player_id": 230,
      "ep_next": 4.8,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 18
    },
    {
      "name": "Rúben",
      "team": "MCI",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.85,
      "captain_ev": 7.69,
      "ceiling": 8.34,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 1.9,
      "value": 0.7,
      "bonus": 0.15,
      "defcon": 0.17,
      "p_defcon": 0.086,
      "cs_points": 1.75,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-20T13:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "3": 976,
        "1": 7808,
        "0": 4656,
        "4": 1692,
        "6": 13141,
        "2": 11749,
        "14": 130,
        "7": 2635,
        "5": 2791,
        "8": 2172,
        "10": 455,
        "9": 537,
        "11": 478,
        "-1": 173,
        "15": 137,
        "13": 127,
        "12": 181,
        "-2": 113,
        "17": 10,
        "16": 19,
        "18": 8,
        "20": 1,
        "19": 2,
        "-3": 6,
        "-4": 1,
        "21": 2
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 3,
      "p90": 7,
      "mode": 6,
      "p_haul": 0.031,
      "p_blank": 0.4901,
      "start_prob": 0.9693552348533159,
      "player_id": 390,
      "ep_next": 4.0,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 19
    },
    {
      "name": "Aina",
      "team": "NFO",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.84,
      "captain_ev": 7.69,
      "ceiling": 8.87,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 2.6,
      "value": 0.853,
      "bonus": 0.16,
      "defcon": 0.24,
      "p_defcon": 0.122,
      "cs_points": 1.53,
      "kickoff": "2026-09-19T16:30:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "5": 2717,
        "6": 11216,
        "2": 11248,
        "4": 2595,
        "1": 9059,
        "8": 2236,
        "12": 382,
        "0": 4020,
        "3": 1555,
        "7": 2272,
        "9": 614,
        "11": 591,
        "17": 58,
        "-1": 198,
        "10": 526,
        "14": 191,
        "20": 3,
        "13": 151,
        "15": 176,
        "-2": 110,
        "16": 28,
        "-3": 16,
        "24": 2,
        "18": 26,
        "21": 6,
        "23": 2,
        "-4": 2
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 3,
      "p90": 7,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0428,
      "p_blank": 0.4931,
      "start_prob": 0.9578274235128704,
      "player_id": 473,
      "ep_next": 2.0,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 20
    }
  ],
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)"
}