{
  "competition": "fantasy_premier_league",
  "gameweek": 7,
  "article": "defenders",
  "title": "Best defenders & keepers — Gameweek 7",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-14T15:08:42.485571+00:00",
  "sims": 10000,
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "entries": [
    {
      "name": "De Cuyper",
      "team": "BHA",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 5.37,
      "captain_ev": 10.74,
      "ceiling": 13.69,
      "price": 5.1,
      "ownership_pct": 35.4,
      "value": 1.053,
      "bonus": 0.61,
      "defcon": 0.03,
      "p_defcon": 0.016,
      "cs_points": 1.44,
      "kickoff": "2026-10-18T13:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "1": 1586,
        "4": 524,
        "2": 1723,
        "7": 910,
        "11": 284,
        "10": 243,
        "0": 709,
        "5": 724,
        "8": 719,
        "6": 1001,
        "9": 277,
        "12": 337,
        "3": 112,
        "15": 269,
        "17": 66,
        "-1": 41,
        "18": 88,
        "20": 14,
        "14": 165,
        "23": 5,
        "13": 91,
        "24": 15,
        "21": 37,
        "-3": 5,
        "19": 6,
        "-2": 16,
        "16": 27,
        "33": 1,
        "22": 2,
        "30": 1,
        "26": 1,
        "25": 1
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 5,
      "p90": 12,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.1653,
      "p_blank": 0.408,
      "start_prob": 0.9905395252058297,
      "player_id": 115,
      "ep_next": 10.5,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "Van Hecke",
      "team": "TOT",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 5.1,
      "captain_ev": 10.19,
      "ceiling": 12.23,
      "price": 4.9,
      "ownership_pct": 6.3,
      "value": 1.041,
      "bonus": 0.43,
      "defcon": 0.6,
      "p_defcon": 0.299,
      "cs_points": 1.51,
      "kickoff": "2026-10-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "1": 1373,
        "6": 1036,
        "8": 858,
        "5": 373,
        "4": 841,
        "3": 643,
        "2": 1848,
        "13": 82,
        "14": 136,
        "15": 179,
        "12": 112,
        "7": 896,
        "0": 457,
        "11": 126,
        "9": 512,
        "-2": 11,
        "21": 19,
        "22": 7,
        "10": 268,
        "16": 48,
        "-1": 38,
        "17": 83,
        "20": 13,
        "18": 9,
        "25": 1,
        "19": 18,
        "26": 2,
        "23": 7,
        "-3": 2,
        "28": 1,
        "24": 1
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 4,
      "p90": 10,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.1112,
      "p_blank": 0.3729,
      "start_prob": 0.9983717265604805,
      "player_id": 112,
      "ep_next": 4.5,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "Gabriel",
      "team": "ARS",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.79,
      "captain_ev": 9.57,
      "ceiling": 10.84,
      "price": 7.9,
      "ownership_pct": 21.8,
      "value": 0.606,
      "bonus": 0.36,
      "defcon": 0.39,
      "p_defcon": 0.193,
      "cs_points": 1.76,
      "kickoff": "2026-10-18T15:30:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "5": 479,
        "3": 378,
        "6": 1496,
        "1": 1449,
        "10": 179,
        "7": 1152,
        "13": 56,
        "2": 2140,
        "9": 316,
        "0": 380,
        "8": 786,
        "-1": 35,
        "4": 618,
        "11": 82,
        "15": 153,
        "12": 80,
        "14": 98,
        "17": 54,
        "20": 6,
        "16": 25,
        "23": 5,
        "21": 8,
        "18": 10,
        "-2": 10,
        "19": 2,
        "22": 2,
        "-3": 1
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 4,
      "p90": 9,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.076,
      "p_blank": 0.4015,
      "start_prob": 0.9958983998169065,
      "player_id": 4,
      "ep_next": 1.5,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 3
    },
    {
      "name": "Silva",
      "team": "BOU",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.75,
      "captain_ev": 9.5,
      "ceiling": 11.43,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 0.6,
      "value": 0.95,
      "bonus": 0.21,
      "defcon": 0.78,
      "p_defcon": 0.39,
      "cs_points": 1.29,
      "kickoff": "2026-10-18T13:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "8": 991,
        "11": 109,
        "9": 282,
        "3": 969,
        "6": 1381,
        "2": 1660,
        "4": 1090,
        "1": 1432,
        "7": 465,
        "21": 12,
        "0": 472,
        "5": 313,
        "12": 77,
        "-2": 14,
        "13": 76,
        "15": 159,
        "18": 13,
        "10": 187,
        "-3": 5,
        "16": 56,
        "14": 99,
        "-1": 33,
        "20": 10,
        "19": 6,
        "17": 82,
        "22": 3,
        "23": 4
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 4,
      "p90": 9,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0893,
      "p_blank": 0.3616,
      "start_prob": 0.9839439872229657,
      "player_id": 566,
      "ep_next": 1.5,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 4
    },
    {
      "name": "Calafiori",
      "team": "ARS",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.61,
      "captain_ev": 9.21,
      "ceiling": 11.49,
      "price": 5.9,
      "ownership_pct": 52.3,
      "value": 0.781,
      "bonus": 0.2,
      "defcon": 0.04,
      "p_defcon": 0.021,
      "cs_points": 1.77,
      "kickoff": "2026-10-18T15:30:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "6": 3048,
        "0": 473,
        "1": 1818,
        "5": 529,
        "15": 302,
        "16": 24,
        "8": 341,
        "14": 173,
        "7": 300,
        "10": 96,
        "2": 2202,
        "9": 101,
        "18": 14,
        "4": 162,
        "13": 94,
        "11": 76,
        "12": 51,
        "3": 62,
        "-1": 48,
        "20": 10,
        "21": 26,
        "17": 18,
        "19": 4,
        "-2": 20,
        "26": 2,
        "-3": 4,
        "22": 2
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 5,
      "p90": 8,
      "mode": 6,
      "p_haul": 0.0892,
      "p_blank": 0.4565,
      "start_prob": 0.9926006308254746,
      "player_id": 8,
      "ep_next": 5.0,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 5
    },
    {
      "name": "Guéhi",
      "team": "MCI",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.57,
      "captain_ev": 9.15,
      "ceiling": 11.0,
      "price": 6.0,
      "ownership_pct": 17.9,
      "value": 0.762,
      "bonus": 0.33,
      "defcon": 0.15,
      "p_defcon": 0.075,
      "cs_points": 1.71,
      "kickoff": "2026-10-17T14:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "2": 2198,
        "9": 158,
        "6": 1881,
        "14": 121,
        "5": 557,
        "1": 1519,
        "8": 646,
        "4": 296,
        "7": 926,
        "15": 161,
        "0": 738,
        "12": 129,
        "3": 178,
        "10": 121,
        "13": 88,
        "11": 129,
        "17": 33,
        "20": 11,
        "-1": 43,
        "16": 18,
        "19": 3,
        "21": 10,
        "-2": 19,
        "-3": 3,
        "18": 8,
        "22": 4,
        "24": 1,
        "23": 1
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 5,
      "p90": 8,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0838,
      "p_blank": 0.452,
      "start_prob": 0.9979595054365514,
      "player_id": 388,
      "ep_next": 5.0,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 6
    },
    {
      "name": "Truffert",
      "team": "BOU",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.49,
      "captain_ev": 8.98,
      "ceiling": 10.69,
      "price": 5.4,
      "ownership_pct": 2.8,
      "value": 0.831,
      "bonus": 0.52,
      "defcon": 0.57,
      "p_defcon": 0.285,
      "cs_points": 1.32,
      "kickoff": "2026-10-18T13:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "8": 839,
        "2": 2001,
        "3": 780,
        "1": 1742,
        "9": 551,
        "0": 415,
        "12": 153,
        "7": 708,
        "11": 237,
        "5": 382,
        "4": 975,
        "10": 298,
        "6": 606,
        "-1": 51,
        "14": 87,
        "15": 59,
        "13": 42,
        "17": 21,
        "20": 1,
        "-2": 25,
        "16": 8,
        "21": 4,
        "18": 9,
        "-3": 5,
        "22": 1
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 3,
      "p90": 9,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.092,
      "p_blank": 0.4239,
      "start_prob": 0.9991961688083385,
      "player_id": 61,
      "ep_next": 0.5,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 7
    },
    {
      "name": "Vuskovic",
      "team": "BHA",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.39,
      "captain_ev": 8.78,
      "ceiling": 10.24,
      "price": 5.1,
      "ownership_pct": 4.6,
      "value": 0.861,
      "bonus": 0.14,
      "defcon": 0.69,
      "p_defcon": 0.345,
      "cs_points": 1.42,
      "kickoff": "2026-10-18T13:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "1": 1470,
        "4": 1045,
        "6": 1683,
        "2": 1732,
        "3": 791,
        "9": 167,
        "8": 1051,
        "7": 419,
        "-1": 36,
        "5": 332,
        "14": 81,
        "15": 108,
        "0": 667,
        "16": 43,
        "20": 4,
        "13": 42,
        "21": 11,
        "10": 118,
        "17": 51,
        "12": 46,
        "11": 72,
        "-2": 18,
        "-3": 3,
        "19": 3,
        "18": 5,
        "23": 2
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 4,
      "p90": 8,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0586,
      "p_blank": 0.3926,
      "start_prob": 0.9890143070472924,
      "player_id": 504,
      "ep_next": 8.0,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 8
    },
    {
      "name": "Hill",
      "team": "BOU",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.29,
      "captain_ev": 8.59,
      "ceiling": 9.8,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 0.8,
      "value": 0.78,
      "bonus": 0.25,
      "defcon": 0.77,
      "p_defcon": 0.385,
      "cs_points": 1.32,
      "kickoff": "2026-10-18T13:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "7": 718,
        "10": 188,
        "3": 990,
        "1": 1516,
        "5": 364,
        "6": 1087,
        "2": 1836,
        "4": 1256,
        "9": 358,
        "8": 790,
        "15": 41,
        "11": 107,
        "0": 445,
        "12": 89,
        "14": 56,
        "13": 51,
        "20": 3,
        "17": 25,
        "-2": 25,
        "-1": 33,
        "18": 1,
        "16": 13,
        "-3": 6,
        "24": 1,
        "22": 1
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 4,
      "p90": 8,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0576,
      "p_blank": 0.3861,
      "start_prob": 0.9926006308254746,
      "player_id": 60,
      "ep_next": 3.0,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 9
    },
    {
      "name": "Leno",
      "team": "FUL",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 4.18,
      "captain_ev": 8.35,
      "ceiling": 9.7,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 4.1,
      "value": 0.929,
      "bonus": 0.66,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 1.42,
      "kickoff": "2026-10-17T14:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "2": 2522,
        "10": 640,
        "3": 1576,
        "9": 729,
        "1": 1215,
        "11": 188,
        "7": 591,
        "8": 856,
        "4": 270,
        "6": 444,
        "0": 720,
        "5": 193,
        "-2": 9,
        "-1": 35,
        "12": 9,
        "-4": 2,
        "-3": 1
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 3,
      "p90": 9,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0837,
      "p_blank": 0.4504,
      "start_prob": 0.9991961688083385,
      "player_id": 250,
      "ep_next": 2.5,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Donnarumma",
      "team": "MCI",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 4.18,
      "captain_ev": 8.36,
      "ceiling": 9.25,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 7.6,
      "value": 0.76,
      "bonus": 0.46,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 1.63,
      "kickoff": "2026-10-17T14:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "3": 1558,
        "6": 1053,
        "8": 793,
        "11": 159,
        "10": 365,
        "2": 2069,
        "9": 614,
        "7": 884,
        "-1": 28,
        "5": 232,
        "1": 837,
        "4": 276,
        "0": 1110,
        "12": 12,
        "-2": 9,
        "13": 1
      },
      "p10": 0,
      "median": 3,
      "p90": 9,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0537,
      "p_blank": 0.4053,
      "start_prob": 0.9975472843126224,
      "player_id": 384,
      "ep_next": 5.5,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 11
    },
    {
      "name": "Raya",
      "team": "ARS",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 4.18,
      "captain_ev": 8.36,
      "ceiling": 9.08,
      "price": 6.1,
      "ownership_pct": 43.7,
      "value": 0.685,
      "bonus": 0.62,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 1.7,
      "kickoff": "2026-10-18T15:30:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "8": 1110,
        "1": 1355,
        "9": 659,
        "6": 826,
        "11": 42,
        "2": 2608,
        "3": 957,
        "7": 928,
        "10": 419,
        "0": 711,
        "5": 230,
        "4": 93,
        "-1": 40,
        "12": 1,
        "-2": 18,
        "-3": 3
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 3,
      "p90": 9,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0462,
      "p_blank": 0.4735,
      "start_prob": 0.9987839476844095,
      "player_id": 1,
      "ep_next": 2.0,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 12
    },
    {
      "name": "Mukiele",
      "team": "SUN",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.87,
      "captain_ev": 7.74,
      "ceiling": 10.55,
      "price": 5.4,
      "ownership_pct": 1.8,
      "value": 0.717,
      "bonus": 0.37,
      "defcon": 0.85,
      "p_defcon": 0.425,
      "cs_points": 0.81,
      "kickoff": "2026-10-18T13:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "3": 1394,
        "2": 1542,
        "7": 523,
        "4": 1150,
        "6": 347,
        "1": 1697,
        "-1": 61,
        "0": 1217,
        "8": 508,
        "9": 452,
        "10": 351,
        "14": 54,
        "5": 217,
        "17": 44,
        "11": 174,
        "15": 45,
        "12": 108,
        "21": 4,
        "-2": 25,
        "13": 35,
        "16": 27,
        "18": 11,
        "-3": 3,
        "19": 5,
        "20": 4,
        "23": 2
      },
      "p10": 0,
      "median": 3,
      "p90": 9,
      "mode": 1,
      "p_haul": 0.0864,
      "p_blank": 0.4545,
      "start_prob": 0.9115468063798532,
      "player_id": 533,
      "ep_next": 1.5,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 13
    },
    {
      "name": "Kinsky",
      "team": "TOT",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.83,
      "captain_ev": 7.67,
      "ceiling": 8.97,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 15.7,
      "value": 0.851,
      "bonus": 0.48,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 1.47,
      "kickoff": "2026-10-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "1": 1465,
        "6": 880,
        "2": 2608,
        "4": 147,
        "8": 786,
        "7": 790,
        "10": 320,
        "3": 1185,
        "9": 594,
        "-2": 20,
        "5": 231,
        "-1": 43,
        "0": 855,
        "11": 68,
        "-3": 3,
        "12": 5
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 3,
      "p90": 8,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0393,
      "p_blank": 0.4994,
      "start_prob": 0.9864173139665398,
      "player_id": 496,
      "ep_next": 2.5,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "Bassey",
      "team": "FUL",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.82,
      "captain_ev": 7.64,
      "ceiling": 9.1,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 1.0,
      "value": 0.849,
      "bonus": 0.27,
      "defcon": 0.28,
      "p_defcon": 0.139,
      "cs_points": 1.42,
      "kickoff": "2026-10-17T14:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "2": 2447,
        "8": 550,
        "6": 1263,
        "0": 756,
        "3": 376,
        "5": 359,
        "7": 1122,
        "1": 2005,
        "9": 267,
        "-1": 37,
        "14": 69,
        "4": 457,
        "15": 82,
        "10": 75,
        "12": 24,
        "13": 18,
        "11": 34,
        "21": 6,
        "-2": 28,
        "17": 11,
        "16": 9,
        "18": 2,
        "19": 1,
        "23": 2
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 2,
      "p90": 8,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0333,
      "p_blank": 0.5273,
      "start_prob": 0.9950739575690485,
      "player_id": 257,
      "ep_next": 4.0,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 15
    },
    {
      "name": "Muharemović",
      "team": "LEE",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.81,
      "captain_ev": 7.62,
      "ceiling": 9.62,
      "price": 5.0,
      "ownership_pct": 4.6,
      "value": 0.762,
      "bonus": 0.21,
      "defcon": 0.91,
      "p_defcon": 0.455,
      "cs_points": 0.97,
      "kickoff": "2026-10-18T13:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "2": 1667,
        "4": 1284,
        "7": 650,
        "9": 470,
        "1": 1619,
        "3": 1447,
        "0": 903,
        "5": 216,
        "6": 594,
        "8": 605,
        "11": 59,
        "12": 45,
        "19": 3,
        "10": 175,
        "17": 41,
        "14": 25,
        "-1": 63,
        "20": 3,
        "13": 33,
        "-2": 29,
        "22": 1,
        "16": 14,
        "15": 48,
        "21": 1,
        "-4": 1,
        "18": 1,
        "24": 1,
        "-3": 2
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 3,
      "p90": 8,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.045,
      "p_blank": 0.4284,
      "start_prob": 0.9890143070472924,
      "player_id": 334,
      "ep_next": 5.0,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 16
    },
    {
      "name": "Tarkowski",
      "team": "EVE",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.79,
      "captain_ev": 7.59,
      "ceiling": 9.86,
      "price": 6.2,
      "ownership_pct": 18.4,
      "value": 0.611,
      "bonus": 0.31,
      "defcon": 0.94,
      "p_defcon": 0.47,
      "cs_points": 0.84,
      "kickoff": "2026-10-17T11:30:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "4": 1308,
        "3": 1620,
        "1": 1795,
        "7": 546,
        "9": 471,
        "2": 1681,
        "11": 106,
        "15": 28,
        "6": 324,
        "-1": 78,
        "0": 773,
        "8": 555,
        "5": 160,
        "10": 367,
        "17": 39,
        "20": 1,
        "12": 40,
        "14": 32,
        "16": 16,
        "-2": 24,
        "13": 19,
        "-3": 5,
        "18": 3,
        "19": 5,
        "23": 2,
        "-4": 1,
        "21": 1
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 3,
      "p90": 9,
      "mode": 1,
      "p_haul": 0.0659,
      "p_blank": 0.4357,
      "start_prob": 0.9987839476844095,
      "player_id": 229,
      "ep_next": 8.5,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 17
    },
    {
      "name": "Hall",
      "team": "NEW",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.79,
      "captain_ev": 7.59,
      "ceiling": 10.26,
      "price": 5.3,
      "ownership_pct": 20.7,
      "value": 0.715,
      "bonus": 0.55,
      "defcon": 0.49,
      "p_defcon": 0.245,
      "cs_points": 0.95,
      "kickoff": "2026-10-17T16:30:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "8": 715,
        "2": 1741,
        "-1": 61,
        "1": 2098,
        "3": 855,
        "7": 513,
        "11": 188,
        "6": 396,
        "4": 849,
        "13": 39,
        "0": 1221,
        "9": 507,
        "14": 58,
        "12": 142,
        "10": 271,
        "-3": 9,
        "5": 234,
        "15": 38,
        "17": 21,
        "-2": 24,
        "19": 4,
        "20": 3,
        "18": 3,
        "16": 6,
        "26": 1,
        "22": 1,
        "21": 2
      },
      "p10": 0,
      "median": 2,
      "p90": 9,
      "mode": 1,
      "p_haul": 0.0777,
      "p_blank": 0.5154,
      "start_prob": 0.9934250730733326,
      "player_id": 449,
      "ep_next": 4.3,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 18
    },
    {
      "name": "Verbruggen",
      "team": "BHA",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.76,
      "captain_ev": 7.52,
      "ceiling": 8.98,
      "price": 4.6,
      "ownership_pct": 21.9,
      "value": 0.817,
      "bonus": 0.47,
      "defcon": 0.0,
      "p_defcon": 0.0,
      "cs_points": 1.4,
      "kickoff": "2026-10-18T13:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "1": 1573,
        "3": 1210,
        "9": 599,
        "7": 694,
        "0": 801,
        "6": 857,
        "2": 2677,
        "8": 735,
        "5": 219,
        "10": 344,
        "11": 53,
        "4": 163,
        "-1": 52,
        "-2": 15,
        "13": 1,
        "12": 5,
        "-3": 2
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 2,
      "p90": 9,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0403,
      "p_blank": 0.512,
      "start_prob": 0.9991961688083385,
      "player_id": 109,
      "ep_next": 7.5,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 19
    },
    {
      "name": "Boscagli",
      "team": "BHA",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.75,
      "captain_ev": 7.51,
      "ceiling": 8.95,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 0.3,
      "value": 0.833,
      "bonus": 0.26,
      "defcon": 0.17,
      "p_defcon": 0.084,
      "cs_points": 1.45,
      "kickoff": "2026-10-18T13:00:00+00:00",
      "distribution": {
        "0": 740,
        "1": 2072,
        "2": 2407,
        "6": 1561,
        "-1": 53,
        "7": 767,
        "14": 32,
        "9": 164,
        "10": 125,
        "5": 590,
        "8": 492,
        "3": 261,
        "12": 109,
        "-3": 3,
        "4": 424,
        "-2": 24,
        "15": 28,
        "13": 25,
        "11": 110,
        "17": 6,
        "18": 3,
        "16": 1,
        "21": 2,
        "19": 1
      },
      "p10": 1,
      "median": 2,
      "p90": 8,
      "mode": 2,
      "p_haul": 0.0442,
      "p_blank": 0.5299,
      "start_prob": 0.9872417562143977,
      "player_id": 114,
      "ep_next": 5.5,
      "fixtures": 1,
      "rank": 20
    }
  ],
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)",
  "publication_status": "provisional",
  "inputs_captured_at": "2026-10-14T14:05:25.316666+00:00",
  "account_submission": "unverified"
}