{
  "gameweek": 7,
  "generated_at": "2026-10-14T15:08:42.485571+00:00",
  "id": 1,
  "name": "Raya",
  "web_name": "Raya",
  "team": "ARS",
  "position": "GK",
  "price": 6.1,
  "ownership_pct": 43.7,
  "status": "a",
  "news": "",
  "flag": null,
  "kickoff": "2026-10-18T15:30:00+00:00",
  "projection": {
    "x_points": 4.18,
    "captain_ev": 8.36,
    "ceiling": 9.08,
    "value": 0.685,
    "bonus": 0.62,
    "defcon": 0.0,
    "p_defcon": 0.0,
    "cs_points": 1.7,
    "start_prob": 0.9987839476844095
  },
  "season": {
    "total_points": 33,
    "event_points": 3,
    "minutes": 540,
    "realized_ppm": 5.41
  },
  "transfers": {
    "in_event": 34469,
    "out_event": 32358
  },
  "ranks": {
    "xpts_rank": 36,
    "own_rank": 5,
    "own_vs_xpts_gap": -31
  },
  "verdict_tier": "S",
  "verdict": {
    "tier": "S",
    "price_band": "Mid",
    "stance": "we own him, in our XI",
    "rank_call": "buy"
  },
  "six_week_xpts": {
    "7": 4.18,
    "8": 4.45,
    "9": 3.63,
    "10": 3.96,
    "11": 3.49
  },
  "form_history": [
    {
      "round": 1,
      "total_points": 6,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 2,
      "total_points": 6,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 3,
      "total_points": 3,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 4,
      "total_points": 14,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 5,
      "total_points": 1,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 6,
      "total_points": 3,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    }
  ],
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "gw": 7,
      "opponent": "NFO",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-18T15:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": 1,
      "lam_for": 1.83,
      "lam_against": 0.844,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 8,
      "opponent": "EVE",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-24T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 1,
      "lam_for": 2.061,
      "lam_against": 0.714,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 9,
      "opponent": "LIV",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-01T16:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 10,
      "opponent": "HUL",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 11,
      "opponent": "NEW",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-21T17:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    }
  ],
  "squads": {
    "model": true,
    "consensus": true,
    "model_role": "XI",
    "consensus_role": "XI"
  },
  "notes": [
    "Raya"
  ],
  "distribution": {
    "histogram": {
      "8": 1110,
      "1": 1355,
      "9": 659,
      "6": 826,
      "11": 42,
      "2": 2608,
      "3": 957,
      "7": 928,
      "10": 419,
      "0": 711,
      "5": 230,
      "4": 93,
      "-1": 40,
      "12": 1,
      "-2": 18,
      "-3": 3
    },
    "sims": 10000,
    "p10": 1,
    "median": 3,
    "mode": 2,
    "p90": 9,
    "p_haul": 0.0462,
    "p_blank": 0.4735
  },
  "page": "/fpl/players/1-raya/",
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)",
  "publication_status": "provisional",
  "inputs_captured_at": "2026-10-14T14:05:25.316666+00:00",
  "account_submission": "unverified"
}