{
  "gameweek": 7,
  "generated_at": "2026-10-14T15:08:42.485571+00:00",
  "id": 159,
  "name": "Caicedo",
  "web_name": "Caicedo",
  "team": "CHE",
  "position": "MID",
  "price": 5.3,
  "ownership_pct": 1.0,
  "status": "a",
  "news": "",
  "flag": null,
  "kickoff": "2026-10-17T11:30:00+00:00",
  "projection": {
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    "captain_ev": 1.9,
    "ceiling": 4.07,
    "value": 0.179,
    "bonus": 0.04,
    "defcon": 0.08,
    "p_defcon": 0.04,
    "cs_points": 0.08,
    "start_prob": 0.2840409654432714
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    "total_points": 3,
    "event_points": 2,
    "minutes": 84,
    "realized_ppm": 0.57
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  "transfers": {
    "in_event": 3466,
    "out_event": 1884
  },
  "ranks": {
    "xpts_rank": 260,
    "own_rank": 175,
    "own_vs_xpts_gap": -85
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  "verdict_tier": "B",
  "verdict": {
    "tier": "B",
    "price_band": "Budget",
    "stance": "we do not own him",
    "rank_call": "hold"
  },
  "six_week_xpts": {
    "7": 0.95,
    "8": 0.93,
    "9": 0.92,
    "10": 0.9,
    "11": 0.92
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  "form_history": [
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      "round": 1,
      "total_points": 0,
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    {
      "round": 2,
      "total_points": 1,
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    {
      "round": 3,
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    {
      "round": 4,
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    },
    {
      "round": 5,
      "total_points": 0,
      "minutes": 0,
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    {
      "round": 6,
      "total_points": 2,
      "minutes": 71,
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  ],
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "gw": 7,
      "opponent": "EVE",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-17T11:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": 2,
      "lam_for": 1.634,
      "lam_against": 1.315,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 8,
      "opponent": "TOT",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 9,
      "opponent": "MUN",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-31T12:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 10,
      "opponent": "SUN",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
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      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 11,
      "opponent": "LEE",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-21T15:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    }
  ],
  "squads": {
    "model": false,
    "consensus": false,
    "model_role": null,
    "consensus_role": null
  },
  "notes": [],
  "distribution": {
    "histogram": {
      "2": 1225,
      "1": 1522,
      "9": 32,
      "3": 534,
      "4": 255,
      "6": 86,
      "5": 211,
      "8": 53,
      "12": 4,
      "0": 5970,
      "-2": 22,
      "10": 14,
      "11": 10,
      "7": 39,
      "13": 5,
      "15": 2,
      "-1": 13,
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    "sims": 10000,
    "p10": 0,
    "median": 0,
    "mode": 0,
    "p90": 3,
    "p_haul": 0.0037,
    "p_blank": 0.8753
  },
  "page": "/fpl/players/159-caicedo/",
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)",
  "publication_status": "provisional",
  "inputs_captured_at": "2026-10-14T14:05:25.316666+00:00",
  "account_submission": "unverified"
}