{
  "gameweek": 7,
  "generated_at": "2026-10-14T15:08:42.485571+00:00",
  "id": 184,
  "name": "Grimes",
  "web_name": "Grimes",
  "team": "COV",
  "position": "MID",
  "price": 4.9,
  "ownership_pct": 0.1,
  "status": "a",
  "news": "",
  "flag": null,
  "kickoff": "2026-10-19T19:00:00+00:00",
  "projection": {
    "x_points": 2.34,
    "captain_ev": 4.68,
    "ceiling": 5.52,
    "value": 0.478,
    "bonus": 0.07,
    "defcon": 0.11,
    "p_defcon": 0.055,
    "cs_points": 0.12,
    "start_prob": 0.9890143070472924
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  "season": {
    "total_points": 13,
    "event_points": 2,
    "minutes": 525,
    "realized_ppm": 2.65
  },
  "transfers": {
    "in_event": 105,
    "out_event": 348
  },
  "ranks": {
    "xpts_rank": 158,
    "own_rank": 420,
    "own_vs_xpts_gap": 262
  },
  "verdict_tier": "B",
  "verdict": {
    "tier": "B",
    "price_band": "Budget",
    "stance": "we do not own him",
    "rank_call": "hold"
  },
  "six_week_xpts": {
    "7": 2.34,
    "8": 2.62,
    "9": 2.61,
    "10": 2.59,
    "11": 2.67
  },
  "form_history": [
    {
      "round": 1,
      "total_points": 2,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 2,
      "total_points": 2,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 3,
      "total_points": 2,
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    },
    {
      "round": 4,
      "total_points": 2,
      "minutes": 83,
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    },
    {
      "round": 5,
      "total_points": 3,
      "minutes": 90,
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    },
    {
      "round": 6,
      "total_points": 2,
      "minutes": 82,
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  ],
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "gw": 7,
      "opponent": "TOT",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-19T19:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 5,
      "lam_for": 0.994,
      "lam_against": 2.176,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 8,
      "opponent": "FUL",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-24T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 3,
      "lam_for": 1.343,
      "lam_against": 1.531,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 9,
      "opponent": "SUN",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 10,
      "opponent": "EVE",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-06T20:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 11,
      "opponent": "CRY",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-21T15:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    }
  ],
  "squads": {
    "model": false,
    "consensus": false,
    "model_role": null,
    "consensus_role": null
  },
  "notes": [],
  "distribution": {
    "histogram": {
      "4": 421,
      "2": 5963,
      "1": 1072,
      "3": 958,
      "5": 343,
      "0": 626,
      "9": 110,
      "6": 124,
      "10": 43,
      "7": 94,
      "11": 28,
      "-1": 75,
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      "12": 6,
      "16": 2,
      "15": 3,
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      "21": 1
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    "sims": 10000,
    "p10": 1,
    "median": 2,
    "mode": 2,
    "p90": 4,
    "p_haul": 0.0093,
    "p_blank": 0.7757
  },
  "page": "/fpl/players/184-grimes/",
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)",
  "publication_status": "provisional",
  "inputs_captured_at": "2026-10-14T14:05:25.316666+00:00",
  "account_submission": "unverified"
}