{
  "gameweek": 7,
  "generated_at": "2026-10-14T15:08:42.485571+00:00",
  "id": 238,
  "name": "Grealish",
  "web_name": "Grealish",
  "team": "EVE",
  "position": "MID",
  "price": 6.5,
  "ownership_pct": 0.5,
  "status": "a",
  "news": "",
  "flag": null,
  "kickoff": "2026-10-17T11:30:00+00:00",
  "projection": {
    "x_points": 1.75,
    "captain_ev": 3.49,
    "ceiling": 6.6,
    "value": 0.269,
    "bonus": 0.18,
    "defcon": 0.07,
    "p_defcon": 0.033,
    "cs_points": 0.1,
    "start_prob": 0.4929000303202989
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  "season": {
    "total_points": 8,
    "event_points": 2,
    "minutes": 220,
    "realized_ppm": 1.23
  },
  "transfers": {
    "in_event": 1975,
    "out_event": 2779
  },
  "ranks": {
    "xpts_rank": 201,
    "own_rank": 248,
    "own_vs_xpts_gap": 47
  },
  "verdict_tier": "B",
  "verdict": {
    "tier": "B",
    "price_band": "Mid",
    "stance": "we do not own him",
    "rank_call": "hold"
  },
  "six_week_xpts": {
    "7": 1.75,
    "8": 1.4,
    "9": 1.75,
    "10": 1.9,
    "11": 1.72
  },
  "form_history": [
    {
      "round": 1,
      "total_points": 1,
      "minutes": 8,
      "starts": 0
    },
    {
      "round": 2,
      "total_points": 0,
      "minutes": 0,
      "starts": 0
    },
    {
      "round": 3,
      "total_points": 1,
      "minutes": 24,
      "starts": 0
    },
    {
      "round": 4,
      "total_points": 1,
      "minutes": 25,
      "starts": 0
    },
    {
      "round": 5,
      "total_points": 3,
      "minutes": 78,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 6,
      "total_points": 2,
      "minutes": 85,
      "starts": 1
    }
  ],
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "gw": 7,
      "opponent": "CHE",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-17T11:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": 4,
      "lam_for": 1.315,
      "lam_against": 1.634,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 8,
      "opponent": "ARS",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-24T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 5,
      "lam_for": 0.714,
      "lam_against": 2.061,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 9,
      "opponent": "NEW",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-02T20:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 10,
      "opponent": "COV",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-06T20:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 11,
      "opponent": "BRE",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-23T20:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    }
  ],
  "squads": {
    "model": false,
    "consensus": false,
    "model_role": null,
    "consensus_role": null
  },
  "notes": [],
  "distribution": {
    "histogram": {
      "1": 1252,
      "2": 2276,
      "0": 4322,
      "3": 650,
      "6": 257,
      "10": 99,
      "9": 123,
      "4": 278,
      "5": 372,
      "-1": 23,
      "11": 60,
      "8": 98,
      "14": 9,
      "7": 95,
      "18": 3,
      "-2": 17,
      "13": 24,
      "15": 11,
      "12": 21,
      "16": 5,
      "23": 1,
      "19": 1,
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    "sims": 10000,
    "p10": 0,
    "median": 1,
    "mode": 0,
    "p90": 5,
    "p_haul": 0.0235,
    "p_blank": 0.7892
  },
  "page": "/fpl/players/238-grealish/",
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)",
  "publication_status": "provisional",
  "inputs_captured_at": "2026-10-14T14:05:25.316666+00:00",
  "account_submission": "unverified"
}