{
  "gameweek": 7,
  "generated_at": "2026-10-14T15:08:42.485571+00:00",
  "id": 330,
  "name": "Bogle",
  "web_name": "Bogle",
  "team": "LEE",
  "position": "DEF",
  "price": 4.7,
  "ownership_pct": 9.0,
  "status": "a",
  "news": "",
  "flag": null,
  "kickoff": "2026-10-18T13:00:00+00:00",
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    "captain_ev": 6.62,
    "ceiling": 8.87,
    "value": 0.704,
    "bonus": 0.12,
    "defcon": 0.05,
    "p_defcon": 0.023,
    "cs_points": 1.03,
    "start_prob": 0.9967228420647645
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    "event_points": 1,
    "minutes": 450,
    "realized_ppm": 9.15
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  "transfers": {
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    "out_event": 18384
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  "ranks": {
    "xpts_rank": 85,
    "own_rank": 38,
    "own_vs_xpts_gap": -47
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  "verdict_tier": "A",
  "verdict": {
    "tier": "A",
    "price_band": "Budget",
    "stance": "we do not own him",
    "rank_call": "buy"
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  "six_week_xpts": {
    "7": 3.31,
    "8": 3.18,
    "9": 3.08,
    "10": 3.17,
    "11": 2.9
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  "form_history": [
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      "round": 1,
      "total_points": 6,
      "minutes": 90,
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    },
    {
      "round": 2,
      "total_points": 2,
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    {
      "round": 3,
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      "minutes": 60,
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    {
      "round": 4,
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    },
    {
      "round": 5,
      "total_points": 5,
      "minutes": 66,
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    {
      "round": 6,
      "total_points": 1,
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  ],
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "gw": 7,
      "opponent": "MUN",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-18T13:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 3,
      "lam_for": 1.586,
      "lam_against": 1.426,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 8,
      "opponent": "SUN",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-25T16:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
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      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 9,
      "opponent": "BOU",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 10,
      "opponent": "TOT",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-07T12:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 11,
      "opponent": "CHE",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-21T15:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    }
  ],
  "squads": {
    "model": false,
    "consensus": false,
    "model_role": null,
    "consensus_role": null
  },
  "notes": [],
  "distribution": {
    "histogram": {
      "2": 2241,
      "7": 292,
      "1": 2642,
      "4": 374,
      "6": 1819,
      "0": 1069,
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    "sims": 10000,
    "p10": 0,
    "median": 2,
    "mode": 1,
    "p90": 7,
    "p_haul": 0.0483,
    "p_blank": 0.608
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  "page": "/fpl/players/330-bogle/",
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)",
  "publication_status": "provisional",
  "inputs_captured_at": "2026-10-14T14:05:25.316666+00:00",
  "account_submission": "unverified"
}