{
  "gameweek": 7,
  "generated_at": "2026-10-14T15:08:42.485571+00:00",
  "id": 398,
  "name": "Foden",
  "web_name": "Foden",
  "team": "MCI",
  "position": "MID",
  "price": 6.8,
  "ownership_pct": 1.5,
  "status": "a",
  "news": "",
  "flag": null,
  "kickoff": "2026-10-17T14:00:00+00:00",
  "projection": {
    "x_points": 1.89,
    "captain_ev": 3.77,
    "ceiling": 8.62,
    "value": 0.278,
    "bonus": 0.3,
    "defcon": 0.02,
    "p_defcon": 0.011,
    "cs_points": 0.15,
    "start_prob": 0.3727571053912429
  },
  "season": {
    "total_points": 9,
    "event_points": 0,
    "minutes": 217,
    "realized_ppm": 1.32
  },
  "transfers": {
    "in_event": 874,
    "out_event": 5461
  },
  "ranks": {
    "xpts_rank": 191,
    "own_rank": 142,
    "own_vs_xpts_gap": -49
  },
  "verdict_tier": "B",
  "verdict": {
    "tier": "B",
    "price_band": "Mid",
    "stance": "we do not own him",
    "rank_call": "hold"
  },
  "six_week_xpts": {
    "7": 1.89,
    "8": 1.64,
    "9": 1.46,
    "10": 1.48,
    "11": 1.46
  },
  "form_history": [
    {
      "round": 1,
      "total_points": 1,
      "minutes": 81,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 2,
      "total_points": 9,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 3,
      "total_points": 1,
      "minutes": 24,
      "starts": 0
    },
    {
      "round": 4,
      "total_points": -2,
      "minutes": 22,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 5,
      "total_points": 0,
      "minutes": 0,
      "starts": 0
    },
    {
      "round": 6,
      "total_points": 0,
      "minutes": 0,
      "starts": 0
    }
  ],
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "gw": 7,
      "opponent": "IPS",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-17T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 1,
      "lam_for": 2.783,
      "lam_against": 0.839,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 8,
      "opponent": "AVL",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-24T11:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": 1,
      "lam_for": 2.063,
      "lam_against": 1.177,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 9,
      "opponent": "BHA",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 10,
      "opponent": "NFO",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-07T17:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 11,
      "opponent": "FUL",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-21T12:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    }
  ],
  "squads": {
    "model": false,
    "consensus": false,
    "model_role": null,
    "consensus_role": null
  },
  "notes": [],
  "distribution": {
    "histogram": {
      "1": 1155,
      "2": 944,
      "6": 327,
      "5": 284,
      "13": 48,
      "3": 716,
      "11": 65,
      "16": 32,
      "12": 62,
      "23": 2,
      "8": 211,
      "9": 169,
      "10": 90,
      "4": 147,
      "19": 7,
      "-2": 19,
      "7": 114,
      "15": 43,
      "14": 50,
      "21": 10,
      "18": 14,
      "0": 5461,
      "-1": 14,
      "20": 5,
      "17": 9,
      "-3": 1,
      "22": 1
    },
    "sims": 10000,
    "p10": 0,
    "median": 0,
    "mode": 0,
    "p90": 6,
    "p_haul": 0.0438,
    "p_blank": 0.7594
  },
  "page": "/fpl/players/398-foden/",
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)",
  "publication_status": "provisional",
  "inputs_captured_at": "2026-10-14T14:05:25.316666+00:00",
  "account_submission": "unverified"
}