{
  "gameweek": 7,
  "generated_at": "2026-10-14T15:08:42.485571+00:00",
  "id": 416,
  "name": "De Ligt",
  "web_name": "De Ligt",
  "team": "MUN",
  "position": "DEF",
  "price": 4.9,
  "ownership_pct": 0.0,
  "status": "a",
  "news": "",
  "flag": null,
  "kickoff": "2026-10-18T13:00:00+00:00",
  "projection": {
    "x_points": 0.2,
    "captain_ev": 0.39,
    "ceiling": 1.18,
    "value": 0.041,
    "bonus": 0.0,
    "defcon": 0.0,
    "p_defcon": 0.0,
    "cs_points": 0.0,
    "start_prob": 0.003532813678652251
  },
  "season": {
    "total_points": 0,
    "event_points": 0,
    "minutes": 0,
    "realized_ppm": 0.0
  },
  "transfers": {
    "in_event": 78,
    "out_event": 63
  },
  "ranks": {
    "xpts_rank": 433,
    "own_rank": 540,
    "own_vs_xpts_gap": 107
  },
  "verdict_tier": "C",
  "verdict": {
    "tier": "C",
    "price_band": "Budget",
    "stance": "we do not own him",
    "rank_call": "hold"
  },
  "six_week_xpts": {
    "7": 0.2,
    "8": 0.2,
    "9": 0.19,
    "10": 0.18,
    "11": 0.19
  },
  "form_history": [],
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "gw": 7,
      "opponent": "LEE",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-18T13:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 3,
      "lam_for": 1.426,
      "lam_against": 1.586,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 8,
      "opponent": "BOU",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-25T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 9,
      "opponent": "CHE",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-31T12:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 10,
      "opponent": "AVL",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-08T16:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 11,
      "opponent": "LIV",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-22T16:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    }
  ],
  "squads": {
    "model": false,
    "consensus": false,
    "model_role": null,
    "consensus_role": null
  },
  "notes": [],
  "distribution": {
    "histogram": {
      "1": 1651,
      "4": 21,
      "0": 8247,
      "3": 3,
      "7": 21,
      "-2": 17,
      "2": 13,
      "6": 7,
      "-1": 12,
      "5": 5,
      "-3": 1,
      "8": 2
    },
    "sims": 10000,
    "p10": 0,
    "median": 0,
    "mode": 0,
    "p90": 1,
    "p_haul": 0.0,
    "p_blank": 0.9941
  },
  "page": "/fpl/players/416-de-ligt/",
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)",
  "publication_status": "provisional",
  "inputs_captured_at": "2026-10-14T14:05:25.316666+00:00",
  "account_submission": "unverified"
}