{
  "gameweek": 7,
  "generated_at": "2026-10-14T15:08:42.485571+00:00",
  "id": 453,
  "name": "Barnes",
  "web_name": "Barnes",
  "team": "NEW",
  "position": "MID",
  "price": 6.1,
  "ownership_pct": 8.1,
  "status": "a",
  "news": "",
  "flag": null,
  "kickoff": "2026-10-17T16:30:00+00:00",
  "projection": {
    "x_points": 4.04,
    "captain_ev": 8.08,
    "ceiling": 11.28,
    "value": 0.662,
    "bonus": 0.47,
    "defcon": 0.08,
    "p_defcon": 0.038,
    "cs_points": 0.24,
    "start_prob": 0.9913639674536876
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  "season": {
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    "event_points": 2,
    "minutes": 540,
    "realized_ppm": 4.92
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  "transfers": {
    "in_event": 33125,
    "out_event": 27844
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  "ranks": {
    "xpts_rank": 41,
    "own_rank": 44,
    "own_vs_xpts_gap": 3
  },
  "verdict_tier": "A",
  "verdict": {
    "tier": "A",
    "price_band": "Mid",
    "stance": "we do not own him",
    "rank_call": "buy"
  },
  "six_week_xpts": {
    "7": 4.04,
    "8": 3.86,
    "9": 3.92,
    "10": 3.59,
    "11": 3.32
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  "form_history": [
    {
      "round": 1,
      "total_points": 2,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 2,
      "total_points": 3,
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      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 3,
      "total_points": 12,
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    },
    {
      "round": 4,
      "total_points": 2,
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      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 5,
      "total_points": 9,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 6,
      "total_points": 2,
      "minutes": 90,
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  ],
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "gw": 7,
      "opponent": "AVL",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-17T16:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": 3,
      "lam_for": 1.647,
      "lam_against": 1.416,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 8,
      "opponent": "CRY",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-25T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 9,
      "opponent": "EVE",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-02T20:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 10,
      "opponent": "FUL",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-07T15:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 11,
      "opponent": "ARS",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-21T17:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    }
  ],
  "squads": {
    "model": false,
    "consensus": false,
    "model_role": null,
    "consensus_role": null
  },
  "notes": [],
  "distribution": {
    "histogram": {
      "5": 498,
      "4": 270,
      "1": 689,
      "3": 1375,
      "2": 3799,
      "17": 10,
      "11": 111,
      "14": 77,
      "12": 83,
      "10": 458,
      "16": 52,
      "15": 126,
      "13": 126,
      "8": 367,
      "6": 371,
      "9": 516,
      "7": 218,
      "0": 769,
      "18": 11,
      "-1": 40,
      "21": 7,
      "23": 1,
      "20": 9,
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    "sims": 10000,
    "p10": 1,
    "median": 2,
    "mode": 2,
    "p90": 10,
    "p_haul": 0.108,
    "p_blank": 0.5305
  },
  "page": "/fpl/players/453-barnes/",
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)",
  "publication_status": "provisional",
  "inputs_captured_at": "2026-10-14T14:05:25.316666+00:00",
  "account_submission": "unverified"
}