{
  "gameweek": 7,
  "generated_at": "2026-10-14T15:08:42.485571+00:00",
  "id": 469,
  "name": "N.Williams",
  "web_name": "N.Williams",
  "team": "NFO",
  "position": "DEF",
  "price": 5.0,
  "ownership_pct": 6.8,
  "status": "a",
  "news": "",
  "flag": null,
  "kickoff": "2026-10-18T15:30:00+00:00",
  "projection": {
    "x_points": 2.62,
    "captain_ev": 5.24,
    "ceiling": 8.32,
    "value": 0.524,
    "bonus": 0.24,
    "defcon": 0.13,
    "p_defcon": 0.067,
    "cs_points": 0.66,
    "start_prob": 0.9983717265604805
  },
  "season": {
    "total_points": 20,
    "event_points": 1,
    "minutes": 540,
    "realized_ppm": 4.0
  },
  "transfers": {
    "in_event": 1440,
    "out_event": 54537
  },
  "ranks": {
    "xpts_rank": 134,
    "own_rank": 55,
    "own_vs_xpts_gap": -79
  },
  "verdict_tier": "A",
  "verdict": {
    "tier": "A",
    "price_band": "Budget",
    "stance": "we own him, on our bench",
    "rank_call": "buy"
  },
  "six_week_xpts": {
    "7": 2.62,
    "8": 3.73,
    "9": 3.29,
    "10": 3.1,
    "11": 3.42
  },
  "form_history": [
    {
      "round": 1,
      "total_points": 2,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 2,
      "total_points": 6,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 3,
      "total_points": 7,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 4,
      "total_points": 2,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 5,
      "total_points": 2,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 6,
      "total_points": 1,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    }
  ],
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "gw": 7,
      "opponent": "ARS",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-18T15:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": 5,
      "lam_for": 0.844,
      "lam_against": 1.83,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 8,
      "opponent": "IPS",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-23T19:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 3,
      "lam_for": 1.519,
      "lam_against": 1.3,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 9,
      "opponent": "BRE",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 10,
      "opponent": "MCI",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-07T17:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 11,
      "opponent": "BOU",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-21T15:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    }
  ],
  "squads": {
    "model": true,
    "consensus": false,
    "model_role": "Bench",
    "consensus_role": null
  },
  "notes": [
    "N.Williams"
  ],
  "distribution": {
    "histogram": {
      "1": 3354,
      "8": 473,
      "6": 377,
      "2": 2245,
      "5": 298,
      "10": 69,
      "9": 154,
      "0": 1280,
      "4": 396,
      "7": 576,
      "-1": 174,
      "3": 365,
      "15": 35,
      "12": 62,
      "11": 59,
      "-2": 44,
      "-3": 9,
      "13": 4,
      "14": 16,
      "-4": 3,
      "16": 2,
      "17": 3,
      "21": 1,
      "18": 1
    },
    "sims": 10000,
    "p10": 0,
    "median": 2,
    "mode": 1,
    "p90": 7,
    "p_haul": 0.0252,
    "p_blank": 0.7109
  },
  "page": "/fpl/players/469-n-williams/",
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)",
  "publication_status": "provisional",
  "inputs_captured_at": "2026-10-14T14:05:25.316666+00:00",
  "account_submission": "unverified"
}