{
  "gameweek": 7,
  "generated_at": "2026-10-14T15:08:42.485571+00:00",
  "id": 522,
  "name": "Gray",
  "web_name": "Gray",
  "team": "TOT",
  "position": "MID",
  "price": 4.9,
  "ownership_pct": 0.2,
  "status": "a",
  "news": "",
  "flag": null,
  "kickoff": "2026-10-19T19:00:00+00:00",
  "projection": {
    "x_points": 2.38,
    "captain_ev": 4.75,
    "ceiling": 7.74,
    "value": 0.486,
    "bonus": 0.19,
    "defcon": 0.15,
    "p_defcon": 0.075,
    "cs_points": 0.24,
    "start_prob": 0.6411130570690161
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  "season": {
    "total_points": 12,
    "event_points": 3,
    "minutes": 397,
    "realized_ppm": 2.45
  },
  "transfers": {
    "in_event": 585,
    "out_event": 504
  },
  "ranks": {
    "xpts_rank": 154,
    "own_rank": 335,
    "own_vs_xpts_gap": 181
  },
  "verdict_tier": "B",
  "verdict": {
    "tier": "B",
    "price_band": "Budget",
    "stance": "we do not own him",
    "rank_call": "hold"
  },
  "six_week_xpts": {
    "7": 2.38,
    "8": 2.0,
    "9": 2.16,
    "10": 2.05,
    "11": 2.16
  },
  "form_history": [
    {
      "round": 1,
      "total_points": 2,
      "minutes": 85,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 2,
      "total_points": 2,
      "minutes": 67,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 3,
      "total_points": 0,
      "minutes": 0,
      "starts": 0
    },
    {
      "round": 4,
      "total_points": 3,
      "minutes": 84,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 5,
      "total_points": 2,
      "minutes": 71,
      "starts": 0
    },
    {
      "round": 6,
      "total_points": 3,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    }
  ],
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "gw": 7,
      "opponent": "COV",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-19T19:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 1,
      "lam_for": 2.176,
      "lam_against": 0.994,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 8,
      "opponent": "CHE",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-24T16:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 9,
      "opponent": "CRY",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-31T17:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 10,
      "opponent": "LEE",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-07T12:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 11,
      "opponent": "IPS",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-21T15:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    }
  ],
  "squads": {
    "model": false,
    "consensus": false,
    "model_role": null,
    "consensus_role": null
  },
  "notes": [],
  "distribution": {
    "histogram": {
      "8": 181,
      "1": 968,
      "3": 1500,
      "2": 2325,
      "5": 443,
      "14": 19,
      "6": 328,
      "4": 382,
      "-2": 10,
      "9": 177,
      "11": 54,
      "0": 3181,
      "10": 129,
      "13": 33,
      "-1": 23,
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      "15": 21,
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      "16": 16,
      "-3": 1,
      "18": 2,
      "23": 1,
      "17": 2,
      "19": 1,
      "22": 1,
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    "sims": 10000,
    "p10": 0,
    "median": 2,
    "mode": 0,
    "p90": 6,
    "p_haul": 0.0326,
    "p_blank": 0.6508
  },
  "page": "/fpl/players/522-gray/",
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)",
  "publication_status": "provisional",
  "inputs_captured_at": "2026-10-14T14:05:25.316666+00:00",
  "account_submission": "unverified"
}