{
  "gameweek": 7,
  "generated_at": "2026-10-14T15:08:42.485571+00:00",
  "id": 579,
  "name": "Araujo",
  "web_name": "Araujo",
  "team": "LIV",
  "position": "DEF",
  "price": 5.4,
  "ownership_pct": 3.1,
  "status": "a",
  "news": "",
  "flag": null,
  "kickoff": "2026-10-17T14:00:00+00:00",
  "projection": {
    "x_points": 2.37,
    "captain_ev": 4.75,
    "ceiling": 7.43,
    "value": 0.439,
    "bonus": 0.07,
    "defcon": 0.3,
    "p_defcon": 0.148,
    "cs_points": 0.68,
    "start_prob": 0.7910406501081088
  },
  "season": {
    "total_points": 22,
    "event_points": 0,
    "minutes": 358,
    "realized_ppm": 4.07
  },
  "transfers": {
    "in_event": 8636,
    "out_event": 10879
  },
  "ranks": {
    "xpts_rank": 155,
    "own_rank": 102,
    "own_vs_xpts_gap": -53
  },
  "verdict_tier": "B",
  "verdict": {
    "tier": "B",
    "price_band": "Budget",
    "stance": "we do not own him",
    "rank_call": "hold"
  },
  "six_week_xpts": {
    "7": 2.37,
    "8": 2.49,
    "9": 2.34,
    "10": 2.67,
    "11": 2.56
  },
  "form_history": [
    {
      "round": 1,
      "total_points": 1,
      "minutes": 20,
      "starts": 0
    },
    {
      "round": 2,
      "total_points": 0,
      "minutes": 13,
      "starts": 0
    },
    {
      "round": 3,
      "total_points": 8,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 4,
      "total_points": 6,
      "minutes": 71,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 5,
      "total_points": 7,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 6,
      "total_points": 0,
      "minutes": 74,
      "starts": 1
    }
  ],
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "gw": 7,
      "opponent": "BRE",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-17T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 3,
      "lam_for": 1.489,
      "lam_against": 1.62,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 8,
      "opponent": "BHA",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-25T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 9,
      "opponent": "ARS",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-01T16:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 10,
      "opponent": "CRY",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 11,
      "opponent": "MUN",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-22T16:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    }
  ],
  "squads": {
    "model": false,
    "consensus": false,
    "model_role": null,
    "consensus_role": null
  },
  "notes": [],
  "distribution": {
    "histogram": {
      "7": 284,
      "1": 2582,
      "2": 1723,
      "0": 2427,
      "6": 1008,
      "3": 535,
      "9": 61,
      "5": 252,
      "10": 42,
      "12": 29,
      "8": 264,
      "-1": 96,
      "15": 29,
      "4": 546,
      "11": 24,
      "-2": 40,
      "13": 13,
      "14": 14,
      "17": 7,
      "-3": 12,
      "16": 7,
      "20": 1,
      "18": 2,
      "23": 1,
      "25": 1
    },
    "sims": 10000,
    "p10": 0,
    "median": 1,
    "mode": 1,
    "p90": 6,
    "p_haul": 0.017,
    "p_blank": 0.688
  },
  "page": "/fpl/players/579-araujo/",
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)",
  "publication_status": "provisional",
  "inputs_captured_at": "2026-10-14T14:05:25.316666+00:00",
  "account_submission": "unverified"
}