{
  "gameweek": 7,
  "generated_at": "2026-10-14T15:08:42.485571+00:00",
  "id": 618,
  "name": "Goretzka",
  "web_name": "Goretzka",
  "team": "AVL",
  "position": "MID",
  "price": 5.9,
  "ownership_pct": 0.0,
  "status": "d",
  "news": "Knee injury - 75% chance of playing",
  "flag": null,
  "kickoff": "2026-10-17T16:30:00+00:00",
  "projection": {
    "x_points": 0.66,
    "captain_ev": 1.31,
    "ceiling": 3.53,
    "value": 0.112,
    "bonus": 0.09,
    "defcon": 0.0,
    "p_defcon": 0.0,
    "cs_points": 0.03,
    "start_prob": 0.1875
  },
  "season": {
    "total_points": 0,
    "event_points": 0,
    "minutes": 0,
    "realized_ppm": 0.0
  },
  "transfers": {
    "in_event": 26,
    "out_event": 92
  },
  "ranks": {
    "xpts_rank": 307,
    "own_rank": 563,
    "own_vs_xpts_gap": 256
  },
  "verdict_tier": "B",
  "verdict": {
    "tier": "B",
    "price_band": "Mid",
    "stance": "we do not own him",
    "rank_call": "hold"
  },
  "six_week_xpts": {
    "7": 0.66,
    "8": 0.64,
    "9": 0.69,
    "10": 0.65,
    "11": 0.68
  },
  "form_history": [],
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "gw": 7,
      "opponent": "NEW",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-17T16:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": 3,
      "lam_for": 1.416,
      "lam_against": 1.647,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 8,
      "opponent": "MCI",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-24T11:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": 5,
      "lam_for": 1.177,
      "lam_against": 2.063,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 9,
      "opponent": "FUL",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-31T20:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 10,
      "opponent": "MUN",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-08T16:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 11,
      "opponent": "SUN",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-21T15:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    }
  ],
  "squads": {
    "model": false,
    "consensus": false,
    "model_role": null,
    "consensus_role": null
  },
  "notes": [],
  "distribution": {
    "histogram": {
      "2": 667,
      "7": 57,
      "0": 7139,
      "1": 1451,
      "8": 39,
      "9": 31,
      "3": 238,
      "5": 108,
      "13": 7,
      "4": 90,
      "6": 88,
      "11": 9,
      "10": 18,
      "12": 13,
      "-1": 10,
      "16": 3,
      "-2": 20,
      "14": 5,
      "-3": 3,
      "15": 3,
      "19": 1
    },
    "sims": 10000,
    "p10": 0,
    "median": 0,
    "mode": 0,
    "p90": 2,
    "p_haul": 0.0059,
    "p_blank": 0.929
  },
  "page": "/fpl/players/618-goretzka/",
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)",
  "publication_status": "provisional",
  "inputs_captured_at": "2026-10-14T14:05:25.316666+00:00",
  "account_submission": "unverified"
}