{
  "gameweek": 7,
  "generated_at": "2026-10-14T15:08:42.485571+00:00",
  "id": 619,
  "name": "Exequiel Palacios",
  "web_name": "Palacios",
  "team": "IPS",
  "position": "MID",
  "price": 5.0,
  "ownership_pct": 0.1,
  "status": "a",
  "news": "",
  "flag": null,
  "kickoff": "2026-10-17T14:00:00+00:00",
  "projection": {
    "x_points": 1.59,
    "captain_ev": 3.18,
    "ceiling": 4.92,
    "value": 0.318,
    "bonus": 0.05,
    "defcon": 0.41,
    "p_defcon": 0.206,
    "cs_points": 0.04,
    "start_prob": 0.5261061337589461
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  "season": {
    "total_points": 12,
    "event_points": 1,
    "minutes": 302,
    "realized_ppm": 2.4
  },
  "transfers": {
    "in_event": 157,
    "out_event": 442
  },
  "ranks": {
    "xpts_rank": 221,
    "own_rank": 412,
    "own_vs_xpts_gap": 191
  },
  "verdict_tier": "B",
  "verdict": {
    "tier": "B",
    "price_band": "Budget",
    "stance": "we do not own him",
    "rank_call": "hold"
  },
  "six_week_xpts": {
    "7": 1.59,
    "8": 1.75,
    "9": 1.83,
    "10": 1.79,
    "11": 1.76
  },
  "form_history": [
    {
      "round": 2,
      "total_points": 1,
      "minutes": 28,
      "starts": 0
    },
    {
      "round": 3,
      "total_points": 4,
      "minutes": 77,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 4,
      "total_points": 4,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 5,
      "total_points": 2,
      "minutes": 80,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 6,
      "total_points": 1,
      "minutes": 27,
      "starts": 0
    }
  ],
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "gw": 7,
      "opponent": "MCI",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-17T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 5,
      "lam_for": 0.839,
      "lam_against": 2.783,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 8,
      "opponent": "NFO",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-23T19:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 3,
      "lam_for": 1.3,
      "lam_against": 1.519,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 9,
      "opponent": "HUL",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-31T15:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 10,
      "opponent": "BOU",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-08T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 11,
      "opponent": "TOT",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-21T15:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    }
  ],
  "squads": {
    "model": false,
    "consensus": false,
    "model_role": null,
    "consensus_role": null
  },
  "notes": [],
  "distribution": {
    "histogram": {
      "4": 1550,
      "2": 1925,
      "3": 411,
      "1": 1372,
      "5": 206,
      "6": 51,
      "7": 81,
      "9": 30,
      "0": 4199,
      "-1": 37,
      "11": 28,
      "8": 39,
      "-3": 6,
      "12": 11,
      "-2": 15,
      "10": 36,
      "13": 2,
      "15": 1
    },
    "sims": 10000,
    "p10": 0,
    "median": 1,
    "mode": 0,
    "p90": 4,
    "p_haul": 0.0078,
    "p_blank": 0.7554
  },
  "page": "/fpl/players/619-palacios/",
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)",
  "publication_status": "provisional",
  "inputs_captured_at": "2026-10-14T14:05:25.316666+00:00",
  "account_submission": "unverified"
}