{
  "gameweek": 7,
  "generated_at": "2026-10-14T15:08:42.485571+00:00",
  "id": 649,
  "name": "Maitland-Niles",
  "web_name": "Maitland-Niles",
  "team": "EVE",
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  "status": "a",
  "news": "",
  "flag": null,
  "kickoff": "2026-10-17T11:30:00+00:00",
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    "captain_ev": 4.15,
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    "defcon": 0.15,
    "p_defcon": 0.073,
    "cs_points": 0.58,
    "start_prob": 0.6613146624076552
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    "event_points": 4,
    "minutes": 254,
    "realized_ppm": 5.56
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    "out_event": 4308
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  "ranks": {
    "xpts_rank": 178,
    "own_rank": 144,
    "own_vs_xpts_gap": -34
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  "verdict_tier": "B",
  "verdict": {
    "tier": "B",
    "price_band": "Budget",
    "stance": "we do not own him",
    "rank_call": "hold"
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  "six_week_xpts": {
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    "8": 1.53,
    "9": 2.08,
    "10": 2.4,
    "11": 2.12
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  "form_history": [
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      "round": 3,
      "total_points": 7,
      "minutes": 13,
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    },
    {
      "round": 4,
      "total_points": 6,
      "minutes": 74,
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    {
      "round": 5,
      "total_points": 8,
      "minutes": 90,
      "starts": 1
    },
    {
      "round": 6,
      "total_points": 4,
      "minutes": 77,
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  ],
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "gw": 7,
      "opponent": "CHE",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-17T11:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": 4,
      "lam_for": 1.315,
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      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 8,
      "opponent": "ARS",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-24T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": 5,
      "lam_for": 0.714,
      "lam_against": 2.061,
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    },
    {
      "gw": 9,
      "opponent": "NEW",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-02T20:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 10,
      "opponent": "COV",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-06T20:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
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      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 11,
      "opponent": "BRE",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-23T20:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    }
  ],
  "squads": {
    "model": false,
    "consensus": false,
    "model_role": null,
    "consensus_role": null
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  "notes": [],
  "distribution": {
    "histogram": {
      "1": 2372,
      "6": 847,
      "0": 3521,
      "7": 260,
      "4": 424,
      "2": 1403,
      "3": 300,
      "12": 66,
      "5": 300,
      "8": 157,
      "18": 2,
      "10": 49,
      "-2": 28,
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      "11": 52,
      "14": 29,
      "15": 18,
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      "13": 13,
      "-3": 9,
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    "sims": 10000,
    "p10": 0,
    "median": 1,
    "mode": 0,
    "p90": 6,
    "p_haul": 0.0241,
    "p_blank": 0.741
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  "page": "/fpl/players/649-maitland-niles/",
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)",
  "publication_status": "provisional",
  "inputs_captured_at": "2026-10-14T14:05:25.316666+00:00",
  "account_submission": "unverified"
}