{
  "gameweek": 4,
  "generated_at": "2026-09-08T10:50:22.302728+00:00",
  "id": 653,
  "name": "Samba",
  "web_name": "Samba",
  "team": "MCI",
  "position": "MID",
  "price": 4.5,
  "ownership_pct": 0.0,
  "status": "a",
  "news": "",
  "flag": null,
  "kickoff": "2026-09-13T15:30:00+00:00",
  "projection": {
    "x_points": 0.75,
    "captain_ev": 1.51,
    "ceiling": 3.32,
    "value": 0.167,
    "bonus": 0.04,
    "defcon": 0.0,
    "p_defcon": 0.0,
    "cs_points": 0.06,
    "start_prob": 0.25
  },
  "season": {
    "total_points": 0,
    "event_points": 0,
    "minutes": 0,
    "realized_ppm": 0.0
  },
  "transfers": {
    "in_event": 1847,
    "out_event": 413
  },
  "ranks": {
    "xpts_rank": 346,
    "own_rank": 634,
    "own_vs_xpts_gap": 288
  },
  "verdict_tier": "C",
  "verdict": {
    "tier": "C",
    "price_band": "Budget",
    "stance": "we do not own him",
    "rank_call": "hold"
  },
  "six_week_xpts": null,
  "form_history": [],
  "fixtures": [
    {
      "gw": 4,
      "opponent": "MUN",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-09-13T15:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": 2,
      "lam_for": 1.811,
      "lam_against": 1.526,
      "source": "market"
    },
    {
      "gw": 5,
      "opponent": "SUN",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-09-20T13:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 6,
      "opponent": "LIV",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-11T15:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 7,
      "opponent": "IPS",
      "venue": "H",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-17T14:00:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    },
    {
      "gw": 8,
      "opponent": "AVL",
      "venue": "A",
      "kickoff": "2026-10-24T11:30:00Z",
      "difficulty": null,
      "lam_for": null,
      "lam_against": null,
      "source": "unpriced"
    }
  ],
  "squads": {
    "model": false,
    "consensus": false,
    "model_role": null,
    "consensus_role": null
  },
  "notes": [],
  "distribution": {
    "histogram": {
      "2": 5910,
      "1": 8161,
      "0": 31704,
      "3": 2281,
      "5": 503,
      "-2": 83,
      "4": 323,
      "6": 360,
      "9": 102,
      "7": 193,
      "8": 172,
      "-1": 68,
      "10": 46,
      "12": 18,
      "13": 15,
      "15": 9,
      "11": 23,
      "16": 5,
      "-3": 9,
      "14": 14,
      "18": 1
    },
    "sims": 50000,
    "p10": 0,
    "median": 0,
    "mode": 0,
    "p90": 2,
    "p_haul": 0.0026,
    "p_blank": 0.9187
  },
  "page": "/fpl/players/653-samba/",
  "preview": {
    "gameweek": 4,
    "as_of": "2026-09-08T10:50:22.302728+00:00",
    "deadline": "2026-09-12T12:30:00+00:00"
  },
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.",
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)"
}