{
  "competition": "fifa_world_cup_fantasy",
  "round": 5,
  "article": "defenders",
  "title": "Best defenders — Round 5",
  "generated_at": "2026-07-03T13:38:41.827646+00:00",
  "sims": 50000,
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official FIFA World Cup Fantasy points table.",
  "entries": [
    {
      "name": "Dayot Upamecano",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 5.16,
      "captain_ev": 10.31,
      "ceiling": 4.74,
      "ceiling_ratio": 0.919,
      "price": 5.3,
      "ownership_pct": 4.9,
      "value": 0.973,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-04T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "Achraf Hakimi",
      "team": "Morocco",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.93,
      "captain_ev": 9.86,
      "ceiling": 4.04,
      "ceiling_ratio": 0.821,
      "price": 6,
      "ownership_pct": 28,
      "value": 0.821,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-04T17:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "Jules Kounde",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.83,
      "captain_ev": 9.66,
      "ceiling": 4.7,
      "ceiling_ratio": 0.973,
      "price": 5.4,
      "ownership_pct": 6.3,
      "value": 0.894,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-04T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 3
    },
    {
      "name": "William Saliba",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.61,
      "captain_ev": 9.21,
      "ceiling": 4.31,
      "ceiling_ratio": 0.936,
      "price": 5.3,
      "ownership_pct": 13,
      "value": 0.869,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-04T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 4
    },
    {
      "name": "Chadi Riad",
      "team": "Morocco",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.0,
      "captain_ev": 8.0,
      "ceiling": 3.84,
      "ceiling_ratio": 0.959,
      "price": 3.9,
      "ownership_pct": 1.4,
      "value": 1.026,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-04T17:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 5
    },
    {
      "name": "Noussair Mazraoui",
      "team": "Morocco",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.56,
      "captain_ev": 7.11,
      "ceiling": 3.3,
      "ceiling_ratio": 0.928,
      "price": 4.4,
      "ownership_pct": 3.6,
      "value": 0.808,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-04T17:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 6
    },
    {
      "name": "Gabriel Magalhães",
      "team": "Brazil",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.39,
      "captain_ev": 6.78,
      "ceiling": 2.71,
      "ceiling_ratio": 0.8,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 18.8,
      "value": 0.617,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-05T20:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 7
    },
    {
      "name": "Ezri Konsa",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.25,
      "captain_ev": 6.5,
      "ceiling": 3.16,
      "ceiling_ratio": 0.973,
      "price": 4.8,
      "ownership_pct": 3,
      "value": 0.677,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-06T00:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 8
    },
    {
      "name": "Marquinhos",
      "team": "Brazil",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.2,
      "captain_ev": 6.4,
      "ceiling": 3.05,
      "ceiling_ratio": 0.953,
      "price": 5.2,
      "ownership_pct": 8,
      "value": 0.616,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-05T20:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 9
    },
    {
      "name": "Aymeric Laporte",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.19,
      "captain_ev": 6.39,
      "ceiling": 2.99,
      "ceiling_ratio": 0.936,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 9.2,
      "value": 0.581,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-06T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Douglas Santos",
      "team": "Brazil",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.17,
      "captain_ev": 6.35,
      "ceiling": 2.94,
      "ceiling_ratio": 0.927,
      "price": 4.3,
      "ownership_pct": 2.4,
      "value": 0.738,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-05T20:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 11
    },
    {
      "name": "M. Llorente",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.14,
      "captain_ev": 6.29,
      "ceiling": 2.7,
      "ceiling_ratio": 0.859,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 4.5,
      "value": 0.571,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-06T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 12
    },
    {
      "name": "Theo Hernandez",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 2.98,
      "captain_ev": 5.96,
      "ceiling": 2.87,
      "ceiling_ratio": 0.964,
      "price": 5,
      "ownership_pct": 3.1,
      "value": 0.596,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-04T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 13
    },
    {
      "name": "Cucurella",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 2.97,
      "captain_ev": 5.95,
      "ceiling": 2.83,
      "ceiling_ratio": 0.953,
      "price": 5.1,
      "ownership_pct": 27,
      "value": 0.583,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-06T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "R. Rodriguez",
      "team": "Switzerland",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 2.92,
      "captain_ev": 5.84,
      "ceiling": 2.3,
      "ceiling_ratio": 0.789,
      "price": 4.5,
      "ownership_pct": 1.2,
      "value": 0.649,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-07T20:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 15
    }
  ],
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)"
}