{
  "competition": "fifa_world_cup_fantasy",
  "round": 5,
  "article": "wildcard",
  "title": "Best XI & wildcard draft — the optimal squad under budget — Round 5",
  "generated_at": "2026-07-04T12:51:50.420146+00:00",
  "sims": 50000,
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official FIFA World Cup Fantasy points table.",
  "entries": [
    {
      "name": "Lionel Messi",
      "team": "Argentina",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 7.36,
      "captain_ev": 14.73,
      "ceiling": 13.56,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.841,
      "price": 10,
      "ownership_pct": 40.4,
      "value": 0.736,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-07T16:00:00+00:00",
      "role": "XI",
      "rank": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "Mbappé",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 6.12,
      "captain_ev": 12.23,
      "ceiling": 12.95,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.117,
      "price": 10.5,
      "ownership_pct": 59.2,
      "value": 0.583,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-04T21:00:00+00:00",
      "role": "XI",
      "rank": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "Ismael Saibari",
      "team": "Morocco",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 5.58,
      "captain_ev": 11.17,
      "ceiling": 9.13,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.634,
      "price": 6.8,
      "ownership_pct": 14.9,
      "value": 0.821,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-04T17:00:00+00:00",
      "role": "XI",
      "rank": 3
    },
    {
      "name": "Matheus Cunha",
      "team": "Brazil",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 5.42,
      "captain_ev": 10.84,
      "ceiling": 8.29,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.53,
      "price": 7.3,
      "ownership_pct": 4.4,
      "value": 0.742,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-05T20:00:00+00:00",
      "role": "XI",
      "rank": 4
    },
    {
      "name": "Vinicius Jr",
      "team": "Brazil",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 5.35,
      "captain_ev": 10.71,
      "ceiling": 7.83,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.463,
      "price": 10,
      "ownership_pct": 34.5,
      "value": 0.535,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-05T20:00:00+00:00",
      "role": "XI",
      "rank": 5
    },
    {
      "name": "Mike Maignan",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 5.03,
      "captain_ev": 10.07,
      "ceiling": 5.03,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5,
      "ownership_pct": 8.9,
      "value": 1.007,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-04T21:00:00+00:00",
      "role": "XI",
      "rank": 6
    },
    {
      "name": "Dayot Upamecano",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 5.03,
      "captain_ev": 10.06,
      "ceiling": 4.61,
      "ceiling_ratio": 0.917,
      "price": 5.3,
      "ownership_pct": 4.9,
      "value": 0.949,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-04T21:00:00+00:00",
      "role": "XI",
      "rank": 7
    },
    {
      "name": "Achraf Hakimi",
      "team": "Morocco",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 4.99,
      "captain_ev": 9.99,
      "ceiling": 4.06,
      "ceiling_ratio": 0.812,
      "price": 6,
      "ownership_pct": 28,
      "value": 0.832,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-04T17:00:00+00:00",
      "role": "XI",
      "rank": 8
    },
    {
      "name": "Michael Olise",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 4.89,
      "captain_ev": 9.77,
      "ceiling": 7.93,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.623,
      "price": 9.5,
      "ownership_pct": 34.1,
      "value": 0.514,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-04T21:00:00+00:00",
      "role": "XI",
      "rank": 9
    },
    {
      "name": "Bradley Barcola",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 4.89,
      "captain_ev": 9.78,
      "ceiling": 8.72,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.782,
      "price": 8,
      "ownership_pct": 1.5,
      "value": 0.611,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-04T21:00:00+00:00",
      "role": "XI",
      "rank": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Christian Pulisic",
      "team": "United States",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 4.75,
      "captain_ev": 9.49,
      "ceiling": 9.05,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.906,
      "price": 7,
      "ownership_pct": 4.5,
      "value": 0.678,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-07T00:00:00+00:00",
      "role": "XI",
      "rank": 11
    },
    {
      "name": "Luc De Fougerolles",
      "team": "Canada",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 1.98,
      "captain_ev": 3.96,
      "ceiling": 1.91,
      "ceiling_ratio": 0.964,
      "price": 3.5,
      "ownership_pct": 0.9,
      "value": 0.566,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-04T17:00:00+00:00",
      "role": "Bench",
      "rank": 12
    },
    {
      "name": "Orlando Gill",
      "team": "Paraguay",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 1.93,
      "captain_ev": 3.86,
      "ceiling": 1.93,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 3.5,
      "ownership_pct": 0.5,
      "value": 0.552,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-04T21:00:00+00:00",
      "role": "Bench",
      "rank": 13
    },
    {
      "name": "Redouane Halhal",
      "team": "Morocco",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 0.78,
      "captain_ev": 1.57,
      "ceiling": 0.74,
      "ceiling_ratio": 0.95,
      "price": 3.5,
      "ownership_pct": 2.3,
      "value": 0.224,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-04T17:00:00+00:00",
      "role": "Bench",
      "rank": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "Kamal Miller",
      "team": "Canada",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 0.11,
      "captain_ev": 0.21,
      "ceiling": 0.1,
      "ceiling_ratio": 0.959,
      "price": 3.5,
      "ownership_pct": 0.1,
      "value": 0.03,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-04T17:00:00+00:00",
      "role": "Bench",
      "rank": 15
    }
  ],
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)",
  "squad": {
    "total_cost": 99.4,
    "xi_xpoints": 59.41,
    "formation": "2-5-3",
    "budget": 100.0,
    "left_over": 0.6
  }
}