{
  "competition": "fifa_world_cup_fantasy",
  "round": 6,
  "article": "blowout-transfers",
  "title": "Blowout-fixture targets — Round 6",
  "generated_at": "2026-07-08T00:31:14.645167+00:00",
  "sims": 50000,
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official FIFA World Cup Fantasy points table.",
  "entries": [
    {
      "name": "Kane",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 5.45,
      "captain_ev": 10.9,
      "ceiling": 7.95,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.459,
      "price": 10.5,
      "ownership_pct": 40.6,
      "value": 0.519,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "E. Haaland",
      "team": "Norway",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 4.91,
      "captain_ev": 9.82,
      "ceiling": 7.62,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.551,
      "price": 10.5,
      "ownership_pct": 28.6,
      "value": 0.468,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "Oyarzabal",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 4.6,
      "captain_ev": 9.2,
      "ceiling": 7.65,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.663,
      "price": 8.1,
      "ownership_pct": 10.8,
      "value": 0.568,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-10T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 3
    },
    {
      "name": "Lamine Yamal",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 4.5,
      "captain_ev": 9.0,
      "ceiling": 8.38,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.863,
      "price": 10,
      "ownership_pct": 39.3,
      "value": 0.45,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-10T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 4
    },
    {
      "name": "Dani Olmo",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.85,
      "captain_ev": 7.7,
      "ceiling": 8.64,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.245,
      "price": 7.7,
      "ownership_pct": 1.9,
      "value": 0.5,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-10T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 5
    },
    {
      "name": "Bellingham",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.84,
      "captain_ev": 7.68,
      "ceiling": 8.88,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.312,
      "price": 8.3,
      "ownership_pct": 17,
      "value": 0.463,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 6
    },
    {
      "name": "Pedri",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.76,
      "captain_ev": 7.52,
      "ceiling": 3.76,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 8.1,
      "ownership_pct": 7.8,
      "value": 0.464,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-10T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 7
    },
    {
      "name": "Bukayo Saka",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.72,
      "captain_ev": 7.44,
      "ceiling": 7.69,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.066,
      "price": 9.5,
      "ownership_pct": 4.4,
      "value": 0.392,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 8
    },
    {
      "name": "M. Ødegaard",
      "team": "Norway",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.62,
      "captain_ev": 7.24,
      "ceiling": 3.62,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 7.7,
      "ownership_pct": 3.9,
      "value": 0.47,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 9
    },
    {
      "name": "Noni Madueke",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 3.56,
      "captain_ev": 7.13,
      "ceiling": 7.77,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.182,
      "price": 6.1,
      "ownership_pct": 0.3,
      "value": 0.584,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Lukaku",
      "team": "Belgium",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 3.46,
      "captain_ev": 6.91,
      "ceiling": 7.17,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.073,
      "price": 7.4,
      "ownership_pct": 1.5,
      "value": 0.467,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-10T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 11
    },
    {
      "name": "Kevin De Bruyne",
      "team": "Belgium",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.3,
      "captain_ev": 6.6,
      "ceiling": 3.3,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 7.5,
      "ownership_pct": 5.7,
      "value": 0.44,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-10T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 12
    },
    {
      "name": "Alexander Sørloth",
      "team": "Norway",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 3.27,
      "captain_ev": 6.54,
      "ceiling": 3.27,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 6.8,
      "ownership_pct": 0.9,
      "value": 0.481,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 13
    },
    {
      "name": "Ferran Torres",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 3.26,
      "captain_ev": 6.52,
      "ceiling": 7.1,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.178,
      "price": 7.8,
      "ownership_pct": 2.1,
      "value": 0.418,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-10T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "Rice",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.25,
      "captain_ev": 6.5,
      "ceiling": 3.25,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 7,
      "ownership_pct": 6.7,
      "value": 0.465,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 15
    },
    {
      "name": "Leandro Trossard",
      "team": "Belgium",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.23,
      "captain_ev": 6.46,
      "ceiling": 3.23,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 6.6,
      "ownership_pct": 3.4,
      "value": 0.49,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-10T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 16
    },
    {
      "name": "Elliot Anderson",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.08,
      "captain_ev": 6.17,
      "ceiling": 3.08,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 6.5,
      "ownership_pct": 1.1,
      "value": 0.474,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 17
    },
    {
      "name": "Marcus Rashford",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.08,
      "captain_ev": 6.16,
      "ceiling": 8.19,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.66,
      "price": 7.5,
      "ownership_pct": 2.6,
      "value": 0.411,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 18
    },
    {
      "name": "Youri Tielemans",
      "team": "Belgium",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 2.98,
      "captain_ev": 5.95,
      "ceiling": 2.98,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 6.1,
      "ownership_pct": 0.9,
      "value": 0.488,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-10T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 19
    },
    {
      "name": "Antonio Nusa",
      "team": "Norway",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 2.85,
      "captain_ev": 5.71,
      "ceiling": 2.85,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 6.1,
      "ownership_pct": 1.8,
      "value": 0.468,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 20
    }
  ],
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)"
}