{ "competition": "fifa_world_cup_fantasy", "round": 6, "article": "captains", "title": "Best captain picks — Round 6", "generated_at": "2026-07-08T00:31:14.645167+00:00", "sims": 50000, "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official FIFA World Cup Fantasy points table.", "entries": [ { "name": "Lionel Messi", "team": "Argentina", "position": "FWD", "x_points": 5.58, "captain_ev": 11.16, "ceiling": 8.18, "ceiling_ratio": 1.465, "price": 10, "ownership_pct": 40.4, "value": 0.558, "kickoff": "2026-07-12T01:00:00+00:00", "rank": 1 }, { "name": "Kane", "team": "England", "position": "FWD", "x_points": 5.45, "captain_ev": 10.9, "ceiling": 7.95, "ceiling_ratio": 1.459, "price": 10.5, "ownership_pct": 40.6, "value": 0.519, "kickoff": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00", "rank": 2 }, { "name": "Mbappé", "team": "France", "position": "FWD", "x_points": 5.44, "captain_ev": 10.88, "ceiling": 7.72, "ceiling_ratio": 1.42, "price": 10.5, "ownership_pct": 59.2, "value": 0.518, "kickoff": "2026-07-09T20:00:00+00:00", "rank": 3 }, { "name": "E. Haaland", "team": "Norway", "position": "FWD", "x_points": 4.91, "captain_ev": 9.82, "ceiling": 7.62, "ceiling_ratio": 1.551, "price": 10.5, "ownership_pct": 28.6, "value": 0.468, "kickoff": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00", "rank": 4 }, { "name": "Oyarzabal", "team": "Spain", "position": "FWD", "x_points": 4.6, "captain_ev": 9.2, "ceiling": 7.65, "ceiling_ratio": 1.663, "price": 8.1, "ownership_pct": 10.8, "value": 0.568, "kickoff": "2026-07-10T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 5 }, { "name": "Lamine Yamal", "team": "Spain", "position": "MID", "x_points": 4.5, "captain_ev": 9.0, "ceiling": 8.38, "ceiling_ratio": 1.863, "price": 10, "ownership_pct": 39.3, "value": 0.45, "kickoff": "2026-07-10T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 6 }, { "name": "Emiliano Martinez", "team": "Argentina", "position": "GK", "x_points": 4.34, "captain_ev": 8.68, "ceiling": 4.34, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 5, "ownership_pct": 30, "value": 0.868, "kickoff": "2026-07-12T01:00:00+00:00", "rank": 7 }, { "name": "Mike Maignan", "team": "France", "position": "GK", "x_points": 4.29, "captain_ev": 8.58, "ceiling": 4.29, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 5, "ownership_pct": 8.9, "value": 0.858, "kickoff": "2026-07-09T20:00:00+00:00", "rank": 8 }, { "name": "Lautaro Martinez", "team": "Argentina", "position": "FWD", "x_points": 4.13, "captain_ev": 8.27, "ceiling": 7.43, "ceiling_ratio": 1.796, "price": 8.8, "ownership_pct": 2.6, "value": 0.47, "kickoff": "2026-07-12T01:00:00+00:00", "rank": 9 }, { "name": "Unai Simon", "team": "Spain", "position": "GK", "x_points": 4.09, "captain_ev": 8.19, "ceiling": 4.09, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 5, "ownership_pct": 8.5, "value": 0.819, "kickoff": "2026-07-10T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 10 }, { "name": "Dayot Upamecano", "team": "France", "position": "DEF", "x_points": 3.97, "captain_ev": 7.94, "ceiling": 3.97, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 5.3, "ownership_pct": 4.9, "value": 0.749, "kickoff": "2026-07-09T20:00:00+00:00", "rank": 11 }, { "name": "Dani Olmo", "team": "Spain", "position": "MID", "x_points": 3.85, "captain_ev": 7.7, "ceiling": 8.64, "ceiling_ratio": 2.245, "price": 7.7, "ownership_pct": 1.9, "value": 0.5, "kickoff": "2026-07-10T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 12 }, { "name": "Bellingham", "team": "England", "position": "MID", "x_points": 3.84, "captain_ev": 7.68, "ceiling": 8.88, "ceiling_ratio": 2.312, "price": 8.3, "ownership_pct": 17, "value": 0.463, "kickoff": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00", "rank": 13 }, { "name": "Ousmane Dembele", "team": "France", "position": "MID", "x_points": 3.83, "captain_ev": 7.65, "ceiling": 3.83, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 10, "ownership_pct": 22.9, "value": 0.383, "kickoff": "2026-07-09T20:00:00+00:00", "rank": 14 }, { "name": "Jules Kounde", "team": "France", "position": "DEF", "x_points": 3.79, "captain_ev": 7.57, "ceiling": 3.79, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 5.4, "ownership_pct": 6.3, "value": 0.701, "kickoff": "2026-07-09T20:00:00+00:00", "rank": 15 }, { "name": "Pedri", "team": "Spain", "position": "MID", "x_points": 3.76, "captain_ev": 7.52, "ceiling": 3.76, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 8.1, "ownership_pct": 7.8, "value": 0.464, "kickoff": "2026-07-10T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 16 }, { "name": "Bukayo Saka", "team": "England", "position": "MID", "x_points": 3.72, "captain_ev": 7.44, "ceiling": 7.69, "ceiling_ratio": 2.066, "price": 9.5, "ownership_pct": 4.4, "value": 0.392, "kickoff": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00", "rank": 17 }, { "name": "Michael Olise", "team": "France", "position": "MID", "x_points": 3.71, "captain_ev": 7.41, "ceiling": 7.55, "ceiling_ratio": 2.037, "price": 9.5, "ownership_pct": 34.1, "value": 0.39, "kickoff": "2026-07-09T20:00:00+00:00", "rank": 18 }, { "name": "Jordan Pickford", "team": "England", "position": "GK", "x_points": 3.68, "captain_ev": 7.36, "ceiling": 3.68, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 4.8, "ownership_pct": 15.9, "value": 0.767, "kickoff": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00", "rank": 19 }, { "name": "M. Ødegaard", "team": "Norway", "position": "MID", "x_points": 3.62, "captain_ev": 7.24, "ceiling": 3.62, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 7.7, "ownership_pct": 3.9, "value": 0.47, "kickoff": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00", "rank": 20 } ], "source": "https://evmax.ai", "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/", "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)" }