{
  "competition": "fifa_world_cup_fantasy",
  "round": 6,
  "article": "matches",
  "title": "Match predictions & games to watch — Round 6",
  "generated_at": "2026-07-08T00:31:14.645167+00:00",
  "sims": 50000,
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official FIFA World Cup Fantasy points table.",
  "entries": [
    {
      "match": "France vs Morocco",
      "home": "France",
      "away": "Morocco",
      "kickoff": "2026-07-09T20:00:00+00:00",
      "exp_home_goals": 1.8,
      "exp_away_goals": 0.82,
      "exp_total": 2.62,
      "top_scoreline": "1-0",
      "p_home": 0.61,
      "p_draw": 0.23,
      "p_away": 0.16,
      "close": false,
      "p_cs_home": 0.44,
      "p_cs_away": 0.162,
      "p_advance_home": 0.765,
      "p_advance_away": 0.235
    },
    {
      "match": "Spain vs Belgium",
      "home": "Spain",
      "away": "Belgium",
      "kickoff": "2026-07-10T19:00:00+00:00",
      "exp_home_goals": 1.87,
      "exp_away_goals": 0.91,
      "exp_total": 2.78,
      "top_scoreline": "1-0",
      "p_home": 0.6,
      "p_draw": 0.22,
      "p_away": 0.18,
      "close": false,
      "p_cs_home": 0.4,
      "p_cs_away": 0.155,
      "p_advance_home": 0.746,
      "p_advance_away": 0.254
    },
    {
      "match": "Norway vs England",
      "home": "Norway",
      "away": "England",
      "kickoff": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00",
      "exp_home_goals": 1.13,
      "exp_away_goals": 1.75,
      "exp_total": 2.88,
      "top_scoreline": "1-1",
      "p_home": 0.24,
      "p_draw": 0.24,
      "p_away": 0.52,
      "close": false,
      "p_cs_home": 0.172,
      "p_cs_away": 0.323,
      "p_advance_home": 0.336,
      "p_advance_away": 0.664
    },
    {
      "match": "Argentina vs Switzerland",
      "home": "Argentina",
      "away": "Switzerland",
      "kickoff": "2026-07-12T01:00:00+00:00",
      "exp_home_goals": 1.57,
      "exp_away_goals": 0.79,
      "exp_total": 2.37,
      "top_scoreline": "1-0",
      "p_home": 0.56,
      "p_draw": 0.25,
      "p_away": 0.19,
      "close": false,
      "p_cs_home": 0.452,
      "p_cs_away": 0.205,
      "p_advance_home": 0.728,
      "p_advance_away": 0.272
    }
  ],
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)"
}