{
  "competition": "fifa_world_cup_fantasy",
  "round": 6,
  "article": "risky",
  "title": "Risky chances — highest ceilings — Round 6",
  "generated_at": "2026-07-08T00:31:14.645167+00:00",
  "sims": 50000,
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official FIFA World Cup Fantasy points table.",
  "entries": [
    {
      "name": "Bellingham",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.84,
      "captain_ev": 7.68,
      "ceiling": 8.88,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.312,
      "price": 8.3,
      "ownership_pct": 17,
      "value": 0.463,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "Dani Olmo",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.85,
      "captain_ev": 7.7,
      "ceiling": 8.64,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.245,
      "price": 7.7,
      "ownership_pct": 1.9,
      "value": 0.5,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-10T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "Bradley Barcola",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.51,
      "captain_ev": 7.02,
      "ceiling": 8.32,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.369,
      "price": 8,
      "ownership_pct": 1.5,
      "value": 0.439,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-09T20:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 3
    },
    {
      "name": "Marcus Rashford",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.08,
      "captain_ev": 6.16,
      "ceiling": 8.19,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.66,
      "price": 7.5,
      "ownership_pct": 2.6,
      "value": 0.411,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 4
    },
    {
      "name": "Anthony Gordon",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 2.68,
      "captain_ev": 5.35,
      "ceiling": 7.97,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.978,
      "price": 7,
      "ownership_pct": 1.2,
      "value": 0.382,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 5
    },
    {
      "name": "Noni Madueke",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 3.56,
      "captain_ev": 7.13,
      "ceiling": 7.77,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.182,
      "price": 6.1,
      "ownership_pct": 0.3,
      "value": 0.584,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 6
    },
    {
      "name": "Bukayo Saka",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.72,
      "captain_ev": 7.44,
      "ceiling": 7.69,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.066,
      "price": 9.5,
      "ownership_pct": 4.4,
      "value": 0.392,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 7
    },
    {
      "name": "Oyarzabal",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 4.6,
      "captain_ev": 9.2,
      "ceiling": 7.65,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.663,
      "price": 8.1,
      "ownership_pct": 10.8,
      "value": 0.568,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-10T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 8
    },
    {
      "name": "Mikel Merino",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 2.4,
      "captain_ev": 4.81,
      "ceiling": 7.61,
      "ceiling_ratio": 3.168,
      "price": 6.2,
      "ownership_pct": 0.3,
      "value": 0.388,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-10T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 9
    },
    {
      "name": "Morgan Rogers",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 2.01,
      "captain_ev": 4.02,
      "ceiling": 7.48,
      "ceiling_ratio": 3.724,
      "price": 7.2,
      "ownership_pct": 0.6,
      "value": 0.279,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Lautaro Martinez",
      "team": "Argentina",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 4.13,
      "captain_ev": 8.27,
      "ceiling": 7.43,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.796,
      "price": 8.8,
      "ownership_pct": 2.6,
      "value": 0.47,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-12T01:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 11
    },
    {
      "name": "Thuram",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 3.5,
      "captain_ev": 7.0,
      "ceiling": 7.42,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.12,
      "price": 7.5,
      "ownership_pct": 0.4,
      "value": 0.466,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-09T20:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 12
    },
    {
      "name": "Nico Williams",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 1.8,
      "captain_ev": 3.61,
      "ceiling": 7.2,
      "ceiling_ratio": 3.991,
      "price": 7.8,
      "ownership_pct": 1.9,
      "value": 0.231,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-10T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 13
    },
    {
      "name": "Lukaku",
      "team": "Belgium",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 3.46,
      "captain_ev": 6.91,
      "ceiling": 7.17,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.073,
      "price": 7.4,
      "ownership_pct": 1.5,
      "value": 0.467,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-10T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "Ferran Torres",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 3.26,
      "captain_ev": 6.52,
      "ceiling": 7.1,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.178,
      "price": 7.8,
      "ownership_pct": 2.1,
      "value": 0.418,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-10T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 15
    },
    {
      "name": "Embolo",
      "team": "Switzerland",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 3.02,
      "captain_ev": 6.04,
      "ceiling": 7.04,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.33,
      "price": 7.5,
      "ownership_pct": 1.5,
      "value": 0.403,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-12T01:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 16
    },
    {
      "name": "Ismael Saibari",
      "team": "Morocco",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 1.39,
      "captain_ev": 2.78,
      "ceiling": 7.0,
      "ceiling_ratio": 5.034,
      "price": 6.8,
      "ownership_pct": 14.9,
      "value": 0.205,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-09T20:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 17
    },
    {
      "name": "Julian Alvarez",
      "team": "Argentina",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 2.88,
      "captain_ev": 5.76,
      "ceiling": 6.94,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.412,
      "price": 8.6,
      "ownership_pct": 9.1,
      "value": 0.335,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-12T01:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 18
    },
    {
      "name": "Maghnes Akliouche",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 0.6,
      "captain_ev": 1.19,
      "ceiling": 6.43,
      "ceiling_ratio": 10.786,
      "price": 6.4,
      "ownership_pct": 0,
      "value": 0.093,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-09T20:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 19
    },
    {
      "name": "Jean-Philippe Mateta",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 1.08,
      "captain_ev": 2.15,
      "ceiling": 5.72,
      "ceiling_ratio": 5.316,
      "price": 6.5,
      "ownership_pct": 0.2,
      "value": 0.165,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-09T20:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 20
    }
  ],
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)"
}