{
  "competition": "fifa_world_cup_fantasy",
  "round": 6,
  "article": "transfers",
  "title": "Priority transfers this round — Round 6",
  "generated_at": "2026-07-08T00:31:14.645167+00:00",
  "sims": 50000,
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official FIFA World Cup Fantasy points table.",
  "entries": [
    {
      "name": "Lionel Messi",
      "team": "Argentina",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 5.58,
      "captain_ev": 11.16,
      "ceiling": 8.18,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.465,
      "price": 10,
      "ownership_pct": 40.4,
      "value": 0.558,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-12T01:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 4.515,
      "p_advance": 72.8,
      "priority_score": 7.802,
      "rank": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "Mbappé",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 5.44,
      "captain_ev": 10.88,
      "ceiling": 7.72,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.42,
      "price": 10.5,
      "ownership_pct": 59.2,
      "value": 0.518,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-09T20:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 4.375,
      "p_advance": 76.5,
      "priority_score": 7.722,
      "rank": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "Kane",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 5.45,
      "captain_ev": 10.9,
      "ceiling": 7.95,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.459,
      "price": 10.5,
      "ownership_pct": 40.6,
      "value": 0.519,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 4.385,
      "p_advance": 66.4,
      "priority_score": 7.297,
      "rank": 3
    },
    {
      "name": "Mike Maignan",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 4.29,
      "captain_ev": 8.58,
      "ceiling": 4.29,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5,
      "ownership_pct": 8.9,
      "value": 0.858,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-09T20:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 4.11,
      "p_advance": 76.5,
      "priority_score": 7.254,
      "rank": 4
    },
    {
      "name": "Emiliano Martinez",
      "team": "Argentina",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 4.34,
      "captain_ev": 8.68,
      "ceiling": 4.34,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5,
      "ownership_pct": 30,
      "value": 0.868,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-12T01:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 4.16,
      "p_advance": 72.8,
      "priority_score": 7.188,
      "rank": 5
    },
    {
      "name": "Unai Simon",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 4.09,
      "captain_ev": 8.19,
      "ceiling": 4.09,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5,
      "ownership_pct": 8.5,
      "value": 0.819,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-10T19:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 3.91,
      "p_advance": 74.6,
      "priority_score": 6.827,
      "rank": 6
    },
    {
      "name": "Oyarzabal",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 4.6,
      "captain_ev": 9.2,
      "ceiling": 7.65,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.663,
      "price": 8.1,
      "ownership_pct": 10.8,
      "value": 0.568,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-10T19:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 3.535,
      "p_advance": 74.6,
      "priority_score": 6.172,
      "rank": 7
    },
    {
      "name": "Jordan Pickford",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.68,
      "captain_ev": 7.36,
      "ceiling": 3.68,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 4.8,
      "ownership_pct": 15.9,
      "value": 0.767,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 3.5,
      "p_advance": 66.4,
      "priority_score": 5.824,
      "rank": 8
    },
    {
      "name": "Lautaro Martinez",
      "team": "Argentina",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 4.13,
      "captain_ev": 8.27,
      "ceiling": 7.43,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.796,
      "price": 8.8,
      "ownership_pct": 2.6,
      "value": 0.47,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-12T01:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 3.065,
      "p_advance": 72.8,
      "priority_score": 5.296,
      "rank": 9
    },
    {
      "name": "E. Haaland",
      "team": "Norway",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 4.91,
      "captain_ev": 9.82,
      "ceiling": 7.62,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.551,
      "price": 10.5,
      "ownership_pct": 28.6,
      "value": 0.468,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 3.845,
      "p_advance": 33.6,
      "priority_score": 5.137,
      "rank": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Dayot Upamecano",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.97,
      "captain_ev": 7.94,
      "ceiling": 3.97,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5.3,
      "ownership_pct": 4.9,
      "value": 0.749,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-09T20:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 2.515,
      "p_advance": 76.5,
      "priority_score": 4.439,
      "rank": 11
    },
    {
      "name": "Thuram",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 3.5,
      "captain_ev": 7.0,
      "ceiling": 7.42,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.12,
      "price": 7.5,
      "ownership_pct": 0.4,
      "value": 0.466,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-09T20:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 2.435,
      "p_advance": 76.5,
      "priority_score": 4.298,
      "rank": 12
    },
    {
      "name": "Lamine Yamal",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 4.5,
      "captain_ev": 9.0,
      "ceiling": 8.38,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.863,
      "price": 10,
      "ownership_pct": 39.3,
      "value": 0.45,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-10T19:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 2.46,
      "p_advance": 74.6,
      "priority_score": 4.295,
      "rank": 13
    },
    {
      "name": "Noni Madueke",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 3.56,
      "captain_ev": 7.13,
      "ceiling": 7.77,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.182,
      "price": 6.1,
      "ownership_pct": 0.3,
      "value": 0.584,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 2.495,
      "p_advance": 66.4,
      "priority_score": 4.152,
      "rank": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "Jules Kounde",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.79,
      "captain_ev": 7.57,
      "ceiling": 3.79,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5.4,
      "ownership_pct": 6.3,
      "value": 0.701,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-09T20:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 2.335,
      "p_advance": 76.5,
      "priority_score": 4.121,
      "rank": 15
    },
    {
      "name": "Ferran Torres",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 3.26,
      "captain_ev": 6.52,
      "ceiling": 7.1,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.178,
      "price": 7.8,
      "ownership_pct": 2.1,
      "value": 0.418,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-10T19:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 2.195,
      "p_advance": 74.6,
      "priority_score": 3.832,
      "rank": 16
    },
    {
      "name": "William Saliba",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.6,
      "captain_ev": 7.2,
      "ceiling": 3.6,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5.3,
      "ownership_pct": 13,
      "value": 0.679,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-09T20:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 2.145,
      "p_advance": 76.5,
      "priority_score": 3.786,
      "rank": 17
    },
    {
      "name": "Aymeric Laporte",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.61,
      "captain_ev": 7.22,
      "ceiling": 3.61,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 9.2,
      "value": 0.656,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-10T19:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 2.155,
      "p_advance": 74.6,
      "priority_score": 3.763,
      "rank": 18
    },
    {
      "name": "Gregor Kobel",
      "team": "Switzerland",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 2.79,
      "captain_ev": 5.59,
      "ceiling": 2.79,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 4.7,
      "ownership_pct": 3.9,
      "value": 0.594,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-12T01:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 2.61,
      "p_advance": 27.2,
      "priority_score": 3.32,
      "rank": 19
    },
    {
      "name": "Cucurella",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.33,
      "captain_ev": 6.66,
      "ceiling": 3.33,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5.1,
      "ownership_pct": 27,
      "value": 0.653,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-10T19:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 1.875,
      "p_advance": 74.6,
      "priority_score": 3.274,
      "rank": 20
    }
  ],
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)"
}