{ "competition": "fifa_world_cup_fantasy", "round": 7, "article": "captains", "title": "Best captain picks — Round 7", "generated_at": "2026-07-14T17:20:05.236996+00:00", "sims": 50000, "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official FIFA World Cup Fantasy points table.", "entries": [ { "name": "Mbappé", "team": "France", "position": "FWD", "x_points": 4.92, "captain_ev": 9.84, "ceiling": 7.59, "ceiling_ratio": 1.542, "price": 10.5, "ownership_pct": 59.2, "value": 0.469, "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 1 }, { "name": "Lionel Messi", "team": "Argentina", "position": "FWD", "x_points": 4.82, "captain_ev": 9.64, "ceiling": 7.84, "ceiling_ratio": 1.626, "price": 10, "ownership_pct": 40.4, "value": 0.482, "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 2 }, { "name": "Kane", "team": "England", "position": "FWD", "x_points": 4.8, "captain_ev": 9.61, "ceiling": 7.71, "ceiling_ratio": 1.606, "price": 10.5, "ownership_pct": 40.6, "value": 0.457, "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 3 }, { "name": "Oyarzabal", "team": "Spain", "position": "FWD", "x_points": 3.89, "captain_ev": 7.79, "ceiling": 7.4, "ceiling_ratio": 1.901, "price": 8.1, "ownership_pct": 10.8, "value": 0.481, "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 4 }, { "name": "Jordan Pickford", "team": "England", "position": "GK", "x_points": 3.69, "captain_ev": 7.39, "ceiling": 3.69, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 4.8, "ownership_pct": 15.9, "value": 0.77, "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 5 }, { "name": "Ousmane Dembele", "team": "France", "position": "MID", "x_points": 3.59, "captain_ev": 7.19, "ceiling": 3.59, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 10, "ownership_pct": 22.9, "value": 0.359, "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 6 }, { "name": "Nico Williams", "team": "Spain", "position": "MID", "x_points": 3.55, "captain_ev": 7.1, "ceiling": 8.68, "ceiling_ratio": 2.444, "price": 7.8, "ownership_pct": 1.9, "value": 0.455, "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 7 }, { "name": "Emiliano Martinez", "team": "Argentina", "position": "GK", "x_points": 3.53, "captain_ev": 7.07, "ceiling": 3.53, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 5, "ownership_pct": 30, "value": 0.707, "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 8 }, { "name": "Bellingham", "team": "England", "position": "MID", "x_points": 3.49, "captain_ev": 6.98, "ceiling": 3.49, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 8.3, "ownership_pct": 17, "value": 0.421, "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 9 }, { "name": "Lamine Yamal", "team": "Spain", "position": "MID", "x_points": 3.47, "captain_ev": 6.94, "ceiling": 8.36, "ceiling_ratio": 2.408, "price": 10, "ownership_pct": 39.3, "value": 0.347, "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 10 }, { "name": "Mike Maignan", "team": "France", "position": "GK", "x_points": 3.42, "captain_ev": 6.85, "ceiling": 3.42, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 5, "ownership_pct": 8.9, "value": 0.685, "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 11 }, { "name": "Pedri", "team": "Spain", "position": "MID", "x_points": 3.34, "captain_ev": 6.67, "ceiling": 3.34, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 8.1, "ownership_pct": 7.8, "value": 0.412, "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 12 }, { "name": "Thuram", "team": "France", "position": "FWD", "x_points": 3.22, "captain_ev": 6.44, "ceiling": 7.31, "ceiling_ratio": 2.27, "price": 7.5, "ownership_pct": 0.4, "value": 0.429, "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 13 }, { "name": "Michael Olise", "team": "France", "position": "MID", "x_points": 3.2, "captain_ev": 6.41, "ceiling": 7.36, "ceiling_ratio": 2.298, "price": 9.5, "ownership_pct": 34.1, "value": 0.337, "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 14 }, { "name": "Lautaro Martinez", "team": "Argentina", "position": "FWD", "x_points": 3.21, "captain_ev": 6.41, "ceiling": 7.23, "ceiling_ratio": 2.256, "price": 8.8, "ownership_pct": 2.6, "value": 0.364, "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 15 }, { "name": "Unai Simon", "team": "Spain", "position": "GK", "x_points": 3.19, "captain_ev": 6.39, "ceiling": 3.19, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 5, "ownership_pct": 8.5, "value": 0.639, "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 16 }, { "name": "Noni Madueke", "team": "England", "position": "FWD", "x_points": 3.14, "captain_ev": 6.29, "ceiling": 3.14, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 6.1, "ownership_pct": 0.3, "value": 0.515, "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 17 }, { "name": "Dani Olmo", "team": "Spain", "position": "MID", "x_points": 3.09, "captain_ev": 6.18, "ceiling": 3.09, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 7.7, "ownership_pct": 1.9, "value": 0.401, "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 18 }, { "name": "Ezri Konsa", "team": "England", "position": "DEF", "x_points": 3.08, "captain_ev": 6.16, "ceiling": 3.08, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 4.8, "ownership_pct": 3, "value": 0.641, "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 19 }, { "name": "Bradley Barcola", "team": "France", "position": "MID", "x_points": 3.02, "captain_ev": 6.05, "ceiling": 8.25, "ceiling_ratio": 2.729, "price": 8, "ownership_pct": 1.5, "value": 0.378, "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 20 } ], "source": "https://evmax.ai", "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/", "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)" }