{ "competition": "fifa_world_cup_fantasy", "round": 7, "article": "efficiency", "title": "Best value — points per million — Round 7", "generated_at": "2026-07-14T17:20:05.236996+00:00", "sims": 50000, "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official FIFA World Cup Fantasy points table.", "entries": [ { "name": "Jordan Pickford", "team": "England", "position": "GK", "x_points": 3.69, "captain_ev": 7.39, "ceiling": 3.69, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 4.8, "ownership_pct": 15.9, "value": 0.77, "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 1, "tier": "Budget" }, { "name": "Emiliano Martinez", "team": "Argentina", "position": "GK", "x_points": 3.53, "captain_ev": 7.07, "ceiling": 3.53, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 5, "ownership_pct": 30, "value": 0.707, "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 2, "tier": "Budget" }, { "name": "Mike Maignan", "team": "France", "position": "GK", "x_points": 3.42, "captain_ev": 6.85, "ceiling": 3.42, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 5, "ownership_pct": 8.9, "value": 0.685, "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 3, "tier": "Budget" }, { "name": "Ezri Konsa", "team": "England", "position": "DEF", "x_points": 3.08, "captain_ev": 6.16, "ceiling": 3.08, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 4.8, "ownership_pct": 3, "value": 0.641, "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 4, "tier": "Budget" }, { "name": "Unai Simon", "team": "Spain", "position": "GK", "x_points": 3.19, "captain_ev": 6.39, "ceiling": 3.19, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 5, "ownership_pct": 8.5, "value": 0.639, "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 5, "tier": "Budget" }, { "name": "Nico O'Reilly", "team": "England", "position": "DEF", "x_points": 2.8, "captain_ev": 5.6, "ceiling": 2.8, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 4.7, "ownership_pct": 10.8, "value": 0.596, "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 6, "tier": "Budget" }, { "name": "Facundo Medina", "team": "Argentina", "position": "DEF", "x_points": 2.33, "captain_ev": 4.67, "ceiling": 2.33, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 4, "ownership_pct": 9.4, "value": 0.584, "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 7, "tier": "Budget" }, { "name": "Marc Guehi", "team": "England", "position": "DEF", "x_points": 2.83, "captain_ev": 5.66, "ceiling": 2.83, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 5.1, "ownership_pct": 6.2, "value": 0.555, "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 8, "tier": "Budget" }, { "name": "Dayot Upamecano", "team": "France", "position": "DEF", "x_points": 2.85, "captain_ev": 5.7, "ceiling": 2.85, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 5.3, "ownership_pct": 4.9, "value": 0.538, "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 9, "tier": "Budget" }, { "name": "Djed Spence", "team": "England", "position": "DEF", "x_points": 2.4, "captain_ev": 4.81, "ceiling": 2.4, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 4.5, "ownership_pct": 0.5, "value": 0.534, "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 10, "tier": "Budget" }, { "name": "V. Livramento", "team": "England", "position": "DEF", "x_points": 2.42, "captain_ev": 4.83, "ceiling": 2.42, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 4.6, "ownership_pct": 0.1, "value": 0.525, "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 11, "tier": "Budget" }, { "name": "Lisandro Martinez", "team": "Argentina", "position": "DEF", "x_points": 2.41, "captain_ev": 4.81, "ceiling": 2.41, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 4.6, "ownership_pct": 7, "value": 0.523, "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 12, "tier": "Budget" }, { "name": "Noni Madueke", "team": "England", "position": "FWD", "x_points": 3.14, "captain_ev": 6.29, "ceiling": 3.14, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 6.1, "ownership_pct": 0.3, "value": 0.515, "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 13, "tier": "Mid" }, { "name": "Jules Kounde", "team": "France", "position": "DEF", "x_points": 2.76, "captain_ev": 5.52, "ceiling": 2.76, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 5.4, "ownership_pct": 6.3, "value": 0.511, "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 14, "tier": "Budget" }, { "name": "M. Llorente", "team": "Spain", "position": "DEF", "x_points": 2.73, "captain_ev": 5.46, "ceiling": 2.73, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 5.5, "ownership_pct": 4.5, "value": 0.496, "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 15, "tier": "Mid" }, { "name": "William Saliba", "team": "France", "position": "DEF", "x_points": 2.62, "captain_ev": 5.24, "ceiling": 2.62, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 5.3, "ownership_pct": 13, "value": 0.494, "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 16, "tier": "Budget" }, { "name": "Cristian Romero", "team": "Argentina", "position": "DEF", "x_points": 2.38, "captain_ev": 4.75, "ceiling": 2.38, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 4.9, "ownership_pct": 5.8, "value": 0.485, "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 17, "tier": "Budget" }, { "name": "Lionel Messi", "team": "Argentina", "position": "FWD", "x_points": 4.82, "captain_ev": 9.64, "ceiling": 7.84, "ceiling_ratio": 1.626, "price": 10, "ownership_pct": 40.4, "value": 0.482, "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 18, "tier": "Premium" }, { "name": "Oyarzabal", "team": "Spain", "position": "FWD", "x_points": 3.89, "captain_ev": 7.79, "ceiling": 7.4, "ceiling_ratio": 1.901, "price": 8.1, "ownership_pct": 10.8, "value": 0.481, "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 19, "tier": "Premium" }, { "name": "Mbappé", "team": "France", "position": "FWD", "x_points": 4.92, "captain_ev": 9.84, "ceiling": 7.59, "ceiling_ratio": 1.542, "price": 10.5, "ownership_pct": 59.2, "value": 0.469, "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 20, "tier": "Premium" } ], "source": "https://evmax.ai", "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/", "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)" }