{
  "competition": "fifa_world_cup_fantasy",
  "round": 7,
  "article": "matches",
  "title": "Match predictions & games to watch — Round 7",
  "generated_at": "2026-07-14T17:20:05.236996+00:00",
  "sims": 50000,
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official FIFA World Cup Fantasy points table.",
  "entries": [
    {
      "match": "France vs Spain",
      "home": "France",
      "away": "Spain",
      "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00",
      "exp_home_goals": 1.42,
      "exp_away_goals": 1.27,
      "exp_total": 2.69,
      "top_scoreline": "1-1",
      "p_home": 0.41,
      "p_draw": 0.26,
      "p_away": 0.34,
      "close": true,
      "p_cs_home": 0.281,
      "p_cs_away": 0.241,
      "p_advance_home": 0.542,
      "p_advance_away": 0.458
    },
    {
      "match": "England vs Argentina",
      "home": "England",
      "away": "Argentina",
      "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00",
      "exp_home_goals": 1.21,
      "exp_away_goals": 1.11,
      "exp_total": 2.32,
      "top_scoreline": "1-1",
      "p_home": 0.38,
      "p_draw": 0.29,
      "p_away": 0.33,
      "close": true,
      "p_cs_home": 0.329,
      "p_cs_away": 0.299,
      "p_advance_home": 0.529,
      "p_advance_away": 0.471
    }
  ],
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)"
}