{
  "competition": "fifa_world_cup_fantasy",
  "round": 7,
  "article": "risky",
  "title": "Risky chances — highest ceilings — Round 7",
  "generated_at": "2026-07-14T17:20:05.236996+00:00",
  "sims": 50000,
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official FIFA World Cup Fantasy points table.",
  "entries": [
    {
      "name": "Nico Williams",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.55,
      "captain_ev": 7.1,
      "ceiling": 8.68,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.444,
      "price": 7.8,
      "ownership_pct": 1.9,
      "value": 0.455,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "Bradley Barcola",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.02,
      "captain_ev": 6.05,
      "ceiling": 8.25,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.729,
      "price": 8,
      "ownership_pct": 1.5,
      "value": 0.378,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "Oyarzabal",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 3.89,
      "captain_ev": 7.79,
      "ceiling": 7.4,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.901,
      "price": 8.1,
      "ownership_pct": 10.8,
      "value": 0.481,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 3
    },
    {
      "name": "Thuram",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 3.22,
      "captain_ev": 6.44,
      "ceiling": 7.31,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.27,
      "price": 7.5,
      "ownership_pct": 0.4,
      "value": 0.429,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 4
    },
    {
      "name": "Lautaro Martinez",
      "team": "Argentina",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 3.21,
      "captain_ev": 6.41,
      "ceiling": 7.23,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.256,
      "price": 8.8,
      "ownership_pct": 2.6,
      "value": 0.364,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 5
    },
    {
      "name": "Ferran Torres",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 2.64,
      "captain_ev": 5.28,
      "ceiling": 7.05,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.669,
      "price": 7.8,
      "ownership_pct": 2.1,
      "value": 0.339,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 6
    },
    {
      "name": "Jean-Philippe Mateta",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 0.93,
      "captain_ev": 1.87,
      "ceiling": 5.69,
      "ceiling_ratio": 6.094,
      "price": 6.5,
      "ownership_pct": 0.2,
      "value": 0.144,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 7
    },
    {
      "name": "Ollie Watkins",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 0.45,
      "captain_ev": 0.91,
      "ceiling": 5.34,
      "ceiling_ratio": 11.745,
      "price": 7.9,
      "ownership_pct": 0.9,
      "value": 0.058,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 8
    },
    {
      "name": "Ivan Toney",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 0.19,
      "captain_ev": 0.38,
      "ceiling": 5.14,
      "ceiling_ratio": 26.764,
      "price": 7.5,
      "ownership_pct": 0.2,
      "value": 0.026,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 9
    },
    {
      "name": "Jordan Pickford",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.69,
      "captain_ev": 7.39,
      "ceiling": 3.69,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 4.8,
      "ownership_pct": 15.9,
      "value": 0.77,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Ousmane Dembele",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.59,
      "captain_ev": 7.19,
      "ceiling": 3.59,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 10,
      "ownership_pct": 22.9,
      "value": 0.359,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 11
    },
    {
      "name": "Bellingham",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.49,
      "captain_ev": 6.98,
      "ceiling": 3.49,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 8.3,
      "ownership_pct": 17,
      "value": 0.421,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 12
    },
    {
      "name": "Mike Maignan",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.42,
      "captain_ev": 6.85,
      "ceiling": 3.42,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5,
      "ownership_pct": 8.9,
      "value": 0.685,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 13
    },
    {
      "name": "Pedri",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.34,
      "captain_ev": 6.67,
      "ceiling": 3.34,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 8.1,
      "ownership_pct": 7.8,
      "value": 0.412,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "Unai Simon",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.19,
      "captain_ev": 6.39,
      "ceiling": 3.19,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5,
      "ownership_pct": 8.5,
      "value": 0.639,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 15
    },
    {
      "name": "Noni Madueke",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 3.14,
      "captain_ev": 6.29,
      "ceiling": 3.14,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 6.1,
      "ownership_pct": 0.3,
      "value": 0.515,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 16
    },
    {
      "name": "Dani Olmo",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.09,
      "captain_ev": 6.18,
      "ceiling": 3.09,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 7.7,
      "ownership_pct": 1.9,
      "value": 0.401,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-14T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 17
    },
    {
      "name": "Ezri Konsa",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.08,
      "captain_ev": 6.16,
      "ceiling": 3.08,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 4.8,
      "ownership_pct": 3,
      "value": 0.641,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 18
    },
    {
      "name": "Bukayo Saka",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.03,
      "captain_ev": 6.05,
      "ceiling": 3.03,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 9.5,
      "ownership_pct": 4.4,
      "value": 0.319,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 19
    },
    {
      "name": "Rice",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.0,
      "captain_ev": 6.01,
      "ceiling": 3.0,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 7,
      "ownership_pct": 6.7,
      "value": 0.429,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-15T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 20
    }
  ],
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)"
}