{ "competition": "fifa_world_cup_fantasy", "round": 8, "article": "blowout-transfers", "title": "Blowout-fixture targets — Round 8", "generated_at": "2026-07-19T12:52:43.995807+00:00", "sims": 50000, "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official FIFA World Cup Fantasy points table.", "entries": [ { "name": "Kane", "team": "England", "position": "FWD", "x_points": 5.02, "captain_ev": 10.05, "ceiling": 7.78, "ceiling_ratio": 1.549, "price": 10.5, "ownership_pct": 40.6, "value": 0.478, "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00", "rank": 1 }, { "name": "Lionel Messi", "team": "Argentina", "position": "FWD", "x_points": 4.8, "captain_ev": 9.59, "ceiling": 7.79, "ceiling_ratio": 1.625, "price": 10, "ownership_pct": 40.4, "value": 0.48, "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 2 }, { "name": "Mbappé", "team": "France", "position": "FWD", "x_points": 4.51, "captain_ev": 9.02, "ceiling": 7.53, "ceiling_ratio": 1.668, "price": 10.5, "ownership_pct": 59.2, "value": 0.43, "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00", "rank": 3 }, { "name": "Oyarzabal", "team": "Spain", "position": "FWD", "x_points": 4.09, "captain_ev": 8.18, "ceiling": 7.44, "ceiling_ratio": 1.819, "price": 8.1, "ownership_pct": 10.8, "value": 0.505, "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 4 }, { "name": "Bellingham", "team": "England", "position": "MID", "x_points": 3.61, "captain_ev": 7.22, "ceiling": 3.61, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 8.3, "ownership_pct": 17, "value": 0.435, "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00", "rank": 5 }, { "name": "Lamine Yamal", "team": "Spain", "position": "MID", "x_points": 3.51, "captain_ev": 7.01, "ceiling": 8.35, "ceiling_ratio": 2.383, "price": 10, "ownership_pct": 39.3, "value": 0.351, "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 6 }, { "name": "Ousmane Dembele", "team": "France", "position": "MID", "x_points": 3.47, "captain_ev": 6.95, "ceiling": 3.47, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 10, "ownership_pct": 22.9, "value": 0.347, "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00", "rank": 7 }, { "name": "Pedri", "team": "Spain", "position": "MID", "x_points": 3.4, "captain_ev": 6.81, "ceiling": 3.4, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 8.1, "ownership_pct": 7.8, "value": 0.42, "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 8 }, { "name": "Michael Olise", "team": "France", "position": "MID", "x_points": 3.23, "captain_ev": 6.47, "ceiling": 7.34, "ceiling_ratio": 2.271, "price": 9.5, "ownership_pct": 34.1, "value": 0.34, "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00", "rank": 9 }, { "name": "Noni Madueke", "team": "England", "position": "FWD", "x_points": 3.22, "captain_ev": 6.45, "ceiling": 3.22, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 6.1, "ownership_pct": 0.3, "value": 0.529, "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00", "rank": 10 }, { "name": "Bradley Barcola", "team": "France", "position": "MID", "x_points": 3.21, "captain_ev": 6.42, "ceiling": 8.23, "ceiling_ratio": 2.565, "price": 8, "ownership_pct": 1.5, "value": 0.401, "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00", "rank": 11 }, { "name": "Dani Olmo", "team": "Spain", "position": "MID", "x_points": 3.16, "captain_ev": 6.33, "ceiling": 8.42, "ceiling_ratio": 2.662, "price": 7.7, "ownership_pct": 1.9, "value": 0.411, "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 12 }, { "name": "Bukayo Saka", "team": "England", "position": "MID", "x_points": 3.15, "captain_ev": 6.3, "ceiling": 3.15, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 9.5, "ownership_pct": 4.4, "value": 0.332, "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00", "rank": 13 }, { "name": "Rice", "team": "England", "position": "MID", "x_points": 3.08, "captain_ev": 6.16, "ceiling": 3.08, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 7, "ownership_pct": 6.7, "value": 0.44, "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00", "rank": 14 }, { "name": "Thuram", "team": "France", "position": "FWD", "x_points": 3.04, "captain_ev": 6.08, "ceiling": 7.28, "ceiling_ratio": 2.394, "price": 7.5, "ownership_pct": 0.4, "value": 0.405, "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00", "rank": 15 }, { "name": "Alex Baena", "team": "Spain", "position": "MID", "x_points": 2.99, "captain_ev": 5.98, "ceiling": 2.99, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 6, "ownership_pct": 0.2, "value": 0.498, "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 16 }, { "name": "Thiago Almada", "team": "Argentina", "position": "MID", "x_points": 2.98, "captain_ev": 5.96, "ceiling": 2.98, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 6.5, "ownership_pct": 0.3, "value": 0.458, "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 17 }, { "name": "Elliot Anderson", "team": "England", "position": "MID", "x_points": 2.96, "captain_ev": 5.91, "ceiling": 2.96, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 6.5, "ownership_pct": 1.1, "value": 0.455, "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00", "rank": 18 }, { "name": "Alexis Mac Allister", "team": "Argentina", "position": "MID", "x_points": 2.8, "captain_ev": 5.61, "ceiling": 2.8, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 6.6, "ownership_pct": 3.9, "value": 0.425, "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 19 }, { "name": "Rodri Hernandez", "team": "Spain", "position": "MID", "x_points": 2.7, "captain_ev": 5.4, "ceiling": 2.7, "ceiling_ratio": 1.0, "price": 7.5, "ownership_pct": 1.6, "value": 0.36, "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00", "rank": 20 } ], "source": "https://evmax.ai", "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/", "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)" }