{
  "competition": "fifa_world_cup_fantasy",
  "round": 8,
  "article": "efficiency",
  "title": "Best value — points per million — Round 8",
  "generated_at": "2026-07-19T12:52:43.995807+00:00",
  "sims": 50000,
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official FIFA World Cup Fantasy points table.",
  "entries": [
    {
      "name": "Unai Simon",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.89,
      "captain_ev": 7.77,
      "ceiling": 3.89,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5,
      "ownership_pct": 8.5,
      "value": 0.777,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 1,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Jordan Pickford",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.32,
      "captain_ev": 6.63,
      "ceiling": 3.32,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 4.8,
      "ownership_pct": 15.9,
      "value": 0.691,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 2,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Emiliano Martinez",
      "team": "Argentina",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.36,
      "captain_ev": 6.72,
      "ceiling": 3.36,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5,
      "ownership_pct": 30,
      "value": 0.672,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 3,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Mike Maignan",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.3,
      "captain_ev": 6.59,
      "ceiling": 3.3,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5,
      "ownership_pct": 8.9,
      "value": 0.659,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 4,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Aymeric Laporte",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.28,
      "captain_ev": 6.55,
      "ceiling": 3.28,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 9.2,
      "value": 0.595,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 5,
      "tier": "Mid"
    },
    {
      "name": "Cucurella",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.01,
      "captain_ev": 6.01,
      "ceiling": 3.01,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5.1,
      "ownership_pct": 27,
      "value": 0.589,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 6,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Pau Cubarsi",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 2.92,
      "captain_ev": 5.84,
      "ceiling": 2.92,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5,
      "ownership_pct": 6.1,
      "value": 0.584,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 7,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Ezri Konsa",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 2.61,
      "captain_ev": 5.22,
      "ceiling": 2.61,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 4.8,
      "ownership_pct": 3,
      "value": 0.543,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 8,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Facundo Medina",
      "team": "Argentina",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 2.13,
      "captain_ev": 4.27,
      "ceiling": 2.13,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 4,
      "ownership_pct": 9.4,
      "value": 0.533,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 9,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Noni Madueke",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 3.22,
      "captain_ev": 6.45,
      "ceiling": 3.22,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 6.1,
      "ownership_pct": 0.3,
      "value": 0.529,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 10,
      "tier": "Mid"
    },
    {
      "name": "Nico O'Reilly",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 2.44,
      "captain_ev": 4.88,
      "ceiling": 2.44,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 4.7,
      "ownership_pct": 10.8,
      "value": 0.519,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 11,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Dayot Upamecano",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 2.71,
      "captain_ev": 5.42,
      "ceiling": 2.71,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5.3,
      "ownership_pct": 4.9,
      "value": 0.512,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 12,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Oyarzabal",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 4.09,
      "captain_ev": 8.18,
      "ceiling": 7.44,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.819,
      "price": 8.1,
      "ownership_pct": 10.8,
      "value": 0.505,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 13,
      "tier": "Premium"
    },
    {
      "name": "M. Llorente",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 2.77,
      "captain_ev": 5.55,
      "ceiling": 2.77,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 4.5,
      "value": 0.505,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 14,
      "tier": "Mid"
    },
    {
      "name": "Alex Baena",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 2.99,
      "captain_ev": 5.98,
      "ceiling": 2.99,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 6,
      "ownership_pct": 0.2,
      "value": 0.498,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 15,
      "tier": "Mid"
    },
    {
      "name": "Lisandro Martinez",
      "team": "Argentina",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 2.23,
      "captain_ev": 4.46,
      "ceiling": 2.23,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 4.6,
      "ownership_pct": 7,
      "value": 0.484,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 16,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Lionel Messi",
      "team": "Argentina",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 4.8,
      "captain_ev": 9.59,
      "ceiling": 7.79,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.625,
      "price": 10,
      "ownership_pct": 40.4,
      "value": 0.48,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 17,
      "tier": "Premium"
    },
    {
      "name": "Kane",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 5.02,
      "captain_ev": 10.05,
      "ceiling": 7.78,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.549,
      "price": 10.5,
      "ownership_pct": 40.6,
      "value": 0.478,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 18,
      "tier": "Premium"
    },
    {
      "name": "Marc Guehi",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 2.42,
      "captain_ev": 4.85,
      "ceiling": 2.42,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5.1,
      "ownership_pct": 6.2,
      "value": 0.475,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 19,
      "tier": "Budget"
    },
    {
      "name": "Jules Kounde",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 2.55,
      "captain_ev": 5.1,
      "ceiling": 2.55,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5.4,
      "ownership_pct": 6.3,
      "value": 0.472,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 20,
      "tier": "Budget"
    }
  ],
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)"
}