{
  "competition": "fifa_world_cup_fantasy",
  "round": 8,
  "article": "matches",
  "title": "Match predictions & games to watch — Round 8",
  "generated_at": "2026-07-19T12:52:43.995807+00:00",
  "sims": 50000,
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official FIFA World Cup Fantasy points table.",
  "entries": [
    {
      "match": "France vs England",
      "home": "France",
      "away": "England",
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "exp_home_goals": 1.35,
      "exp_away_goals": 1.36,
      "exp_total": 2.71,
      "top_scoreline": "1-1",
      "p_home": 0.37,
      "p_draw": 0.25,
      "p_away": 0.37,
      "close": true,
      "p_cs_home": 0.257,
      "p_cs_away": 0.263,
      "p_advance_home": 0.499,
      "p_advance_away": 0.501,
      "final_score": "4-6",
      "finished": true
    },
    {
      "match": "Spain vs Argentina",
      "home": "Spain",
      "away": "Argentina",
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "exp_home_goals": 1.32,
      "exp_away_goals": 1.01,
      "exp_total": 2.33,
      "top_scoreline": "1-1",
      "p_home": 0.44,
      "p_draw": 0.28,
      "p_away": 0.28,
      "close": true,
      "p_cs_home": 0.364,
      "p_cs_away": 0.269,
      "p_advance_home": 0.595,
      "p_advance_away": 0.405
    }
  ],
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)"
}