{
  "competition": "fifa_world_cup_fantasy",
  "round": 8,
  "article": "risky",
  "title": "Risky chances — highest ceilings — Round 8",
  "generated_at": "2026-07-19T12:52:43.995807+00:00",
  "sims": 50000,
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official FIFA World Cup Fantasy points table.",
  "entries": [
    {
      "name": "Dani Olmo",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.16,
      "captain_ev": 6.33,
      "ceiling": 8.42,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.662,
      "price": 7.7,
      "ownership_pct": 1.9,
      "value": 0.411,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "Bradley Barcola",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.21,
      "captain_ev": 6.42,
      "ceiling": 8.23,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.565,
      "price": 8,
      "ownership_pct": 1.5,
      "value": 0.401,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "Oyarzabal",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 4.09,
      "captain_ev": 8.18,
      "ceiling": 7.44,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.819,
      "price": 8.1,
      "ownership_pct": 10.8,
      "value": 0.505,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 3
    },
    {
      "name": "Thuram",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 3.04,
      "captain_ev": 6.08,
      "ceiling": 7.28,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.394,
      "price": 7.5,
      "ownership_pct": 0.4,
      "value": 0.405,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 4
    },
    {
      "name": "Ferran Torres",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 2.67,
      "captain_ev": 5.34,
      "ceiling": 7.03,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.636,
      "price": 7.8,
      "ownership_pct": 2.1,
      "value": 0.342,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 5
    },
    {
      "name": "Lautaro Martinez",
      "team": "Argentina",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 1.11,
      "captain_ev": 2.21,
      "ceiling": 5.79,
      "ceiling_ratio": 5.233,
      "price": 8.8,
      "ownership_pct": 2.6,
      "value": 0.126,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 6
    },
    {
      "name": "Jean-Philippe Mateta",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 0.96,
      "captain_ev": 1.93,
      "ceiling": 5.68,
      "ceiling_ratio": 5.891,
      "price": 6.5,
      "ownership_pct": 0.2,
      "value": 0.148,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 7
    },
    {
      "name": "Ollie Watkins",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 0.52,
      "captain_ev": 1.04,
      "ceiling": 5.36,
      "ceiling_ratio": 10.277,
      "price": 7.9,
      "ownership_pct": 0.9,
      "value": 0.066,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 8
    },
    {
      "name": "Ivan Toney",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 0.21,
      "captain_ev": 0.42,
      "ceiling": 5.15,
      "ceiling_ratio": 24.402,
      "price": 7.5,
      "ownership_pct": 0.2,
      "value": 0.028,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 9
    },
    {
      "name": "Unai Simon",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.89,
      "captain_ev": 7.77,
      "ceiling": 3.89,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5,
      "ownership_pct": 8.5,
      "value": 0.777,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Bellingham",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.61,
      "captain_ev": 7.22,
      "ceiling": 3.61,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 8.3,
      "ownership_pct": 17,
      "value": 0.435,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 11
    },
    {
      "name": "Ousmane Dembele",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.47,
      "captain_ev": 6.95,
      "ceiling": 3.47,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 10,
      "ownership_pct": 22.9,
      "value": 0.347,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 12
    },
    {
      "name": "Pedri",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.4,
      "captain_ev": 6.81,
      "ceiling": 3.4,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 8.1,
      "ownership_pct": 7.8,
      "value": 0.42,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 13
    },
    {
      "name": "Jordan Pickford",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.32,
      "captain_ev": 6.63,
      "ceiling": 3.32,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 4.8,
      "ownership_pct": 15.9,
      "value": 0.691,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "Mike Maignan",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.3,
      "captain_ev": 6.59,
      "ceiling": 3.3,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5,
      "ownership_pct": 8.9,
      "value": 0.659,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 15
    },
    {
      "name": "Aymeric Laporte",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.28,
      "captain_ev": 6.55,
      "ceiling": 3.28,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 9.2,
      "value": 0.595,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 16
    },
    {
      "name": "Noni Madueke",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 3.22,
      "captain_ev": 6.45,
      "ceiling": 3.22,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 6.1,
      "ownership_pct": 0.3,
      "value": 0.529,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 17
    },
    {
      "name": "Bukayo Saka",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.15,
      "captain_ev": 6.3,
      "ceiling": 3.15,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 9.5,
      "ownership_pct": 4.4,
      "value": 0.332,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 18
    },
    {
      "name": "Rice",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.08,
      "captain_ev": 6.16,
      "ceiling": 3.08,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 7,
      "ownership_pct": 6.7,
      "value": 0.44,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 19
    },
    {
      "name": "Alex Baena",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 2.99,
      "captain_ev": 5.98,
      "ceiling": 2.99,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 6,
      "ownership_pct": 0.2,
      "value": 0.498,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "rank": 20
    }
  ],
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)"
}