{
  "competition": "fifa_world_cup_fantasy",
  "round": 8,
  "article": "transfers",
  "title": "Priority transfers this round — Round 8",
  "generated_at": "2026-07-19T12:52:43.995807+00:00",
  "sims": 50000,
  "methodology": "Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official FIFA World Cup Fantasy points table.",
  "entries": [
    {
      "name": "Unai Simon",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.89,
      "captain_ev": 7.77,
      "ceiling": 3.89,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5,
      "ownership_pct": 8.5,
      "value": 0.777,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 3.73,
      "p_advance": 59.5,
      "priority_score": 5.949,
      "rank": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "Jordan Pickford",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.32,
      "captain_ev": 6.63,
      "ceiling": 3.32,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 4.8,
      "ownership_pct": 15.9,
      "value": 0.691,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 3.16,
      "p_advance": 50.1,
      "priority_score": 4.743,
      "rank": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "Mike Maignan",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.3,
      "captain_ev": 6.59,
      "ceiling": 3.3,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5,
      "ownership_pct": 8.9,
      "value": 0.659,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 3.14,
      "p_advance": 49.9,
      "priority_score": 4.707,
      "rank": 3
    },
    {
      "name": "Emiliano Martinez",
      "team": "Argentina",
      "position": "GK",
      "x_points": 3.36,
      "captain_ev": 6.72,
      "ceiling": 3.36,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5,
      "ownership_pct": 30,
      "value": 0.672,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 3.2,
      "p_advance": 40.5,
      "priority_score": 4.496,
      "rank": 4
    },
    {
      "name": "Kane",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 5.02,
      "captain_ev": 10.05,
      "ceiling": 7.78,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.549,
      "price": 10.5,
      "ownership_pct": 40.6,
      "value": 0.478,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 2.67,
      "p_advance": 50.1,
      "priority_score": 4.008,
      "rank": 5
    },
    {
      "name": "Lionel Messi",
      "team": "Argentina",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 4.8,
      "captain_ev": 9.59,
      "ceiling": 7.79,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.625,
      "price": 10,
      "ownership_pct": 40.4,
      "value": 0.48,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 2.45,
      "p_advance": 40.5,
      "priority_score": 3.442,
      "rank": 6
    },
    {
      "name": "Mbappé",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 4.51,
      "captain_ev": 9.02,
      "ceiling": 7.53,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.668,
      "price": 10.5,
      "ownership_pct": 59.2,
      "value": 0.43,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 2.16,
      "p_advance": 49.9,
      "priority_score": 3.238,
      "rank": 7
    },
    {
      "name": "Aymeric Laporte",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.28,
      "captain_ev": 6.55,
      "ceiling": 3.28,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 9.2,
      "value": 0.595,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 1.81,
      "p_advance": 59.5,
      "priority_score": 2.887,
      "rank": 8
    },
    {
      "name": "Oyarzabal",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "FWD",
      "x_points": 4.09,
      "captain_ev": 8.18,
      "ceiling": 7.44,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.819,
      "price": 8.1,
      "ownership_pct": 10.8,
      "value": 0.505,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 1.74,
      "p_advance": 59.5,
      "priority_score": 2.775,
      "rank": 9
    },
    {
      "name": "Cucurella",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 3.01,
      "captain_ev": 6.01,
      "ceiling": 3.01,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5.1,
      "ownership_pct": 27,
      "value": 0.589,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 1.54,
      "p_advance": 59.5,
      "priority_score": 2.456,
      "rank": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "Pau Cubarsi",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 2.92,
      "captain_ev": 5.84,
      "ceiling": 2.92,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5,
      "ownership_pct": 6.1,
      "value": 0.584,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 1.45,
      "p_advance": 59.5,
      "priority_score": 2.313,
      "rank": 11
    },
    {
      "name": "Bellingham",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.61,
      "captain_ev": 7.22,
      "ceiling": 3.61,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 8.3,
      "ownership_pct": 17,
      "value": 0.435,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 1.54,
      "p_advance": 50.1,
      "priority_score": 2.312,
      "rank": 12
    },
    {
      "name": "Lamine Yamal",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.51,
      "captain_ev": 7.01,
      "ceiling": 8.35,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.383,
      "price": 10,
      "ownership_pct": 39.3,
      "value": 0.351,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 1.44,
      "p_advance": 59.5,
      "priority_score": 2.297,
      "rank": 13
    },
    {
      "name": "Pedri",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.4,
      "captain_ev": 6.81,
      "ceiling": 3.4,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 8.1,
      "ownership_pct": 7.8,
      "value": 0.42,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 1.33,
      "p_advance": 59.5,
      "priority_score": 2.121,
      "rank": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "Ousmane Dembele",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.47,
      "captain_ev": 6.95,
      "ceiling": 3.47,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 10,
      "ownership_pct": 22.9,
      "value": 0.347,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 1.4,
      "p_advance": 49.9,
      "priority_score": 2.099,
      "rank": 15
    },
    {
      "name": "M. Llorente",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 2.77,
      "captain_ev": 5.55,
      "ceiling": 2.77,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5.5,
      "ownership_pct": 4.5,
      "value": 0.505,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 1.3,
      "p_advance": 59.5,
      "priority_score": 2.074,
      "rank": 16
    },
    {
      "name": "Dayot Upamecano",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 2.71,
      "captain_ev": 5.42,
      "ceiling": 2.71,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 5.3,
      "ownership_pct": 4.9,
      "value": 0.512,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 1.24,
      "p_advance": 49.9,
      "priority_score": 1.859,
      "rank": 17
    },
    {
      "name": "Michael Olise",
      "team": "France",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.23,
      "captain_ev": 6.47,
      "ceiling": 7.34,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.271,
      "price": 9.5,
      "ownership_pct": 34.1,
      "value": 0.34,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 1.16,
      "p_advance": 49.9,
      "priority_score": 1.739,
      "rank": 18
    },
    {
      "name": "Dani Olmo",
      "team": "Spain",
      "position": "MID",
      "x_points": 3.16,
      "captain_ev": 6.33,
      "ceiling": 8.42,
      "ceiling_ratio": 2.662,
      "price": 7.7,
      "ownership_pct": 1.9,
      "value": 0.411,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-19T19:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 1.09,
      "p_advance": 59.5,
      "priority_score": 1.739,
      "rank": 19
    },
    {
      "name": "Ezri Konsa",
      "team": "England",
      "position": "DEF",
      "x_points": 2.61,
      "captain_ev": 5.22,
      "ceiling": 2.61,
      "ceiling_ratio": 1.0,
      "price": 4.8,
      "ownership_pct": 3,
      "value": 0.543,
      "kickoff": "2026-07-18T21:00:00+00:00",
      "vor": 1.14,
      "p_advance": 50.1,
      "priority_score": 1.711,
      "rank": 20
    }
  ],
  "source": "https://evmax.ai",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "license_text": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with attribution to evmax (https://evmax.ai)"
}