# B.Fernandes is the gameweek 2 captain

> 17.23 captain EV, 19.44 ceiling — the best armband in the model.

By the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · https://evmax.ai/fpl/gw2/captains/

B.Fernandes (MUN) projects 17.23 captained, off 8.61 expected points, with a ceiling of 19.44 — the average of his best 15% of simulations.Haaland is the alternative at 14.62. He kicks off first, so he is the safer vice.

**Bottom line:** Captain B.Fernandes — 17.23 is the highest doubled projection on the board.

## The data

| # | Player | Team | Captain EV | xPts | Ceiling | Price | Owned % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B.Fernandes | MUN | 17.23 | 8.61 | 19.44 | 12.0 | 49.8% |
| 2 | Haaland | MCI | 14.62 | 7.31 | 16.35 | 15.5 | 68.6% |
| 3 | M.Sangaré | BRE | 12.11 | 6.05 | 11.49 | 5.5 | 6.0% |
| 4 | Szoboszlai | LIV | 11.81 | 5.91 | 15.25 | 7.0 | 42.6% |
| 5 | Thiago | BRE | 10.34 | 5.17 | 13.09 | 8.0 | 17.1% |
| 6 | Mbeumo | MUN | 10.21 | 5.10 | 14.75 | 8.0 | 37.0% |
| 7 | Virgil | LIV | 10.15 | 5.07 | 11.79 | 6.5 | 19.6% |
| 8 | Tavernier | BOU | 9.44 | 4.72 | 14.46 | 6.0 | 2.0% |
| 9 | E.Le Fée | SUN | 9.21 | 4.61 | 13.25 | 6.0 | 9.4% |
| 10 | Saka | ARS | 9.17 | 4.59 | 15.42 | 9.5 | 10.3% |
| 11 | Senesi | TOT | 9.12 | 4.56 | 11.55 | 6.0 | 8.0% |
| 12 | Calvert-Lewin | LEE | 9.12 | 4.56 | 12.88 | 6.0 | 29.8% |
| 13 | Gakpo | LIV | 9.08 | 4.54 | 13.75 | 7.0 | 4.9% |
| 14 | Isak | LIV | 8.72 | 4.36 | 11.71 | 9.0 | 16.8% |
| 15 | Evanilson | BOU | 8.62 | 4.31 | 11.94 | 6.0 | 2.7% |
| 16 | Truffert | BOU | 8.54 | 4.27 | 10.43 | 5.5 | 4.3% |
| 17 | Gabriel | ARS | 8.52 | 4.26 | 11.27 | 8.0 | 29.4% |
| 18 | Wirtz | LIV | 8.33 | 4.16 | 13.80 | 7.5 | 12.1% |
| 19 | Calafiori | ARS | 8.29 | 4.15 | 11.30 | 5.5 | 41.1% |
| 20 | Ndiaye | EVE | 8.27 | 4.14 | 12.76 | 6.0 | 16.1% |

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Method: Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.
Data license: CC BY 4.0 (attribution: evmax, https://evmax.ai). Machine-readable JSON: https://evmax.ai/api/fpl/gw2/captains.json