# Gabriel leads the gameweek 4 defenders

> 4.77 expected points, with 1.92 of it from clean sheets alone.

By the evmax model · 11 September 2026 · https://evmax.ai/fpl/gw4/defenders/

Gabriel (ARS) projects 4.77: 1.92 from clean sheets, 0.32 from defensive contribution and 0.27 from bonus. Where a defender's points come from matters as much as the total — a clean-sheet projection lives or dies on one fixture, while defensive contribution pays regardless of the scoreline.

**Bottom line:** Gabriel at 8.0 is the defensive pick of the gameweek.

## The data

| # | Player | Team | xPts | CS pts | DefCon pts | Bonus | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel | ARS | 4.77 | 1.92 | 0.32 | 0.27 | 8.0 |
| 2 | Lacroix | CHE | 4.71 | 1.73 | 0.67 | 0.28 | 6.0 |
| 3 | De Cuyper | BHA | 4.61 | 1.24 | 0.06 | 0.42 | 4.8 |
| 4 | Calafiori | ARS | 4.50 | 1.82 | 0.06 | 0.22 | 5.8 |
| 5 | Emiliano Martínez Romero | CHE | 4.38 | 1.35 | 0.00 | 1.09 | 5.0 |
| 6 | Virgil | LIV | 4.38 | 1.37 | 0.45 | 0.30 | 6.5 |
| 7 | Dean Henderson | CRY | 4.30 | 1.31 | 0.00 | 0.73 | 5.0 |
| 8 | Raya | ARS | 4.27 | 1.93 | 0.00 | 0.59 | 6.0 |
| 9 | Richards | CRY | 4.22 | 1.28 | 0.66 | 0.26 | 5.0 |
| 10 | Van Hecke | TOT | 4.18 | 1.29 | 0.31 | 0.40 | 4.9 |
| 11 | White | ARS | 4.17 | 1.76 | 0.11 | 0.47 | 5.5 |
| 12 | Hall | NEW | 3.77 | 0.92 | 0.61 | 0.43 | 5.1 |
| 13 | Maatsen | AVL | 3.71 | 1.12 | 0.33 | 0.20 | 4.5 |
| 14 | Mitchell | CRY | 3.69 | 1.31 | 0.22 | 0.16 | 4.5 |
| 15 | N.Williams | NFO | 3.66 | 0.96 | 0.40 | 0.43 | 5.0 |
| 16 | Hato | CHE | 3.63 | 1.56 | 0.24 | 0.09 | 4.5 |
| 17 | Van de Ven | TOT | 3.62 | 1.16 | 0.37 | 0.21 | 5.0 |
| 18 | Canvot | CRY | 3.61 | 1.19 | 0.38 | 0.17 | 4.9 |
| 19 | A.Becker | LIV | 3.59 | 1.31 | 0.00 | 0.40 | 5.5 |
| 20 | Khalaili | CRY | 3.57 | 0.82 | 0.66 | 0.45 | 5.0 |

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Method: Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.
Data license: CC BY 4.0 (attribution: evmax, https://evmax.ai). Machine-readable JSON: https://evmax.ai/api/fpl/gw4/defenders.json