# The gameweek 4 draft squad: 3-5-2

> A legal 15 for 98.4m, with an XI projecting 59.3 points.

By the evmax model · 11 September 2026 · https://evmax.ai/fpl/gw4/wildcard/

The model's draft squad lines up 3-5-2 and costs 98.4m of the 100.0m budget, leaving 1.6m in the bank. The starting XI projects 59.3 points.The bench is deliberately cheap — four enablers that make the 15 legal so the spending sits in the XI. No club contributes more than three players, which is the squad rule that most often forces a compromise on the premium picks.

**Bottom line:** Build around this 3-5-2: 59.3 projected points for 98.4m.

## The data

| # | Player | Team | xPts | Price | Captain EV | Ceiling | Owned % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cole Palmer | CHE | 7.75 | 9.7 | 15.50 | 18.94 | 24.5% |
| 2 | Saka | ARS | 6.54 | 9.5 | 13.07 | 16.15 | 11.4% |
| 3 | Szoboszlai | LIV | 5.72 | 7.0 | 11.45 | 14.75 | 38.4% |
| 4 | B.Fernandes | MUN | 5.43 | 12.0 | 10.85 | 14.50 | 44.6% |
| 5 | Thiago | BRE | 5.30 | 7.9 | 10.61 | 13.40 | 11.5% |
| 6 | Tavernier | BOU | 5.07 | 6.0 | 10.14 | 13.18 | 3.4% |
| 7 | Calvert-Lewin | LEE | 5.02 | 6.0 | 10.04 | 13.33 | 23.0% |
| 8 | Gabriel | ARS | 4.77 | 8.0 | 9.54 | 10.93 | 24.4% |
| 9 | Lacroix | CHE | 4.71 | 6.0 | 9.42 | 10.43 | 8.1% |
| 10 | De Cuyper | BHA | 4.61 | 4.8 | 9.22 | 12.97 | 20.8% |
| 11 | Emiliano Martínez Romero | CHE | 4.38 | 5.0 | 8.77 | 10.79 | 5.0% |
| 12 | Bobby Thomas | COV | 2.94 | 4.0 | 5.89 | 9.35 | 8.9% |
| 13 | Diop | IPS | 2.66 | 4.0 | 5.33 | 8.51 | 14.6% |
| 14 | Danns | LIV | 0.99 | 4.5 | 1.97 | 4.82 | 0.1% |
| 15 | Cairns | LEE | 0.26 | 4.0 | 0.51 | 1.72 | 0.2% |

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Method: Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.
Data license: CC BY 4.0 (attribution: evmax, https://evmax.ai). Machine-readable JSON: https://evmax.ai/api/fpl/gw4/wildcard.json