# Gameweek 5 fixture ticker: MCI lead the clean sheets

> MCI project 0.47 expected clean sheets against SUN (H).

By the evmax model · 17 September 2026 · https://evmax.ai/fpl/gw5/ticker/

MCI top the ticker at 0.47 expected clean sheets (SUN (H)), conceding an expected 0.8. These numbers are market-derived.

**Bottom line:** Target MCI defenders — 0.47 expected clean sheets is the best on the board.

## The data

| # | Player | Team | Clean sheets | xGF | xGA | Fixtures | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MCI | SUN (H) | 0.47 | 2.34 | 0.76 | 1 | market |
| 2 | NFO | COV (H) | 0.39 | 1.89 | 0.95 | 1 | market |
| 3 | ARS | BHA (A) | 0.36 | 1.85 | 1.01 | 1 | market |
| 4 | NEW | HUL (H) | 0.36 | 2.02 | 1.03 | 1 | market |
| 5 | EVE | IPS (H) | 0.34 | 1.82 | 1.07 | 1 | market |
| 6 | LEE | CRY (H) | 0.34 | 1.79 | 1.07 | 1 | market |
| 7 | TOT | AVL (H) | 0.32 | 1.63 | 1.14 | 1 | market |
| 8 | MUN | FUL (A) | 0.27 | 1.80 | 1.34 | 1 | market |
| 9 | LIV | BOU (A) | 0.22 | 1.85 | 1.53 | 1 | market |
| 10 | CHE | BRE (A) | 0.20 | 1.77 | 1.62 | 1 | market |
| 11 | AVL | TOT (A) | 0.20 | 1.14 | 1.63 | 1 | market |
| 12 | BRE | CHE (H) | 0.17 | 1.62 | 1.77 | 1 | market |
| 13 | CRY | LEE (A) | 0.17 | 1.07 | 1.79 | 1 | market |
| 14 | FUL | MUN (H) | 0.17 | 1.34 | 1.80 | 1 | market |
| 15 | IPS | EVE (A) | 0.16 | 1.07 | 1.82 | 1 | market |
| 16 | BHA | ARS (H) | 0.16 | 1.01 | 1.85 | 1 | market |
| 17 | BOU | LIV (H) | 0.16 | 1.53 | 1.85 | 1 | market |
| 18 | COV | NFO (A) | 0.15 | 0.95 | 1.89 | 1 | market |
| 19 | HUL | NEW (A) | 0.13 | 1.03 | 2.02 | 1 | market |
| 20 | SUN | MCI (A) | 0.10 | 0.76 | 2.34 | 1 | market |

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Method: Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.
Data license: CC BY 4.0 (attribution: evmax, https://evmax.ai). Machine-readable JSON: https://evmax.ai/api/fpl/gw5/ticker.json