# The Consensus XI: gameweek 6 comparator

> The recorded comparator squad — Haaland captains, João Pedro is vice.

By the evmax model · 9 October 2026 · https://evmax.ai/fpl/gw6/consensus-squad/

Rebuilt for gameweek 2 as the most-owned legal template: top selected_by_percent per position from the official bootstrap, greedily legalised under budget, quota and club cap; captain = highest-owned premium (>= 10.0m), vice next. This rebuild is the squad's declared Wildcard; the GW1 expert mention-tally method is retired. GW1 is graded as published.This is the held comparator roster, not a fresh poll of expert teams. Both squads use the same forecast model for expected points and minutes. Their realized score gap combines player selection, captaincy, chips and football variance; it does not isolate information quality.The 3-4-3 XI projects 41.86 points, 48.36 with the captain doubled.

Method description corrected 2026-10-13. Original forecast numbers, squad and archived prose remain unchanged.

**Bottom line:** Comparator: 3-4-3, Haaland (c) — 48.36 projected on our model's numbers.

## The data

| # | Player | Team | xPts | Ceiling | Captain EV | Pts/m |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raya | ARS | 4.36 | 8.75 | 8.72 | 0.71 |
| 2 | Calafiori | ARS | 5.08 | 12.38 | 10.16 | 0.86 |
| 3 | O'Reilly | MCI | 1.12 | 6.01 | 2.25 | 0.18 |
| 4 | Shaw | MUN | 2.70 | 7.97 | 5.40 | 0.63 |
| 5 | Szoboszlai | LIV | 4.68 | 12.87 | 9.36 | 0.68 |
| 6 | Mbeumo | MUN | 5.68 | 15.24 | 11.36 | 0.72 |
| 7 | Tzolis | ARS | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 8 | Rogers | CHE | 4.29 | 11.47 | 8.59 | 0.55 |
| 9 | Haaland | MCI | 6.50 | 14.80 | 13.00 | 0.42 |
| 10 | João Pedro | CHE | 4.12 | 12.55 | 8.25 | 0.54 |
| 11 | Calvert-Lewin | LEE | 3.33 | 9.85 | 6.66 | 0.56 |
| 12 | Kinsky | TOT | 2.07 | 7.07 | 4.14 | 0.46 |
| 13 | Guéhi | MCI | 3.27 | 9.17 | 6.54 | 0.55 |
| 14 | Diop | IPS | 3.47 | 9.49 | 6.94 | 0.87 |
| 15 | Slater | HUL | 2.64 | 6.97 | 5.29 | 0.59 |

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Method: Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.
Data license: CC BY 4.0 (attribution: evmax, https://evmax.ai). Machine-readable JSON: https://evmax.ai/api/fpl/gw6/consensus-squad.json